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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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49 minutes ago, POTUS said:

and a bump tomorrow, at least 20%.  That locks up $240m, $250m+ very possible depending on next week's releases which are looking weak atm

Its going to be a tight race for the weekend in the mid $40's

Sony will be rushing to get a sequel out in 2 years with numbers like this

Still 9,4 on Maoyan

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Best 2nd wknd for import films

Furious 7 - ¥560.52M / $90.29M (first full-wknd because it opened on Sunday)
Zootopia - ¥388.09M / $59.55M (increase)
The Fate of the Furious - ¥379.62M / $55.15M
Transformers: Age of Extinction - ¥355.53M / $57.18M
Avengers: Infinity War - ¥346.77M / $54.75M
Coco - ¥292.64M / $44.18M (increase)
Ready Player One - ¥275.53M / $43.92M
Jurassic World - ¥241.39M / $38.90M
Dangal - ¥236.32M / $34.24M (increase)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - ¥222.92M / $34.63M
Mission: Impossible - Fallout - ¥214.23M / $31.36M

The Meg - ¥212.37M / $31.02M
Transformers: The Last Knight - ¥210.19M / $30.75M

Captain America: Civil War - ¥208.45M / $32.09M

 

Venom is looking to make ¥300-350M on its 2nd wknd(yeah, IW's 2nd wknd is in danger)

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36 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Best 2nd wknd for import films

Furious 7 - ¥560.52M / $90.29M (first full-wknd because it opened on Sunday)
Zootopia - ¥388.09M / $59.55M (increase)
The Fate of the Furious - ¥379.62M / $55.15M
Transformers: Age of Extinction - ¥355.53M / $57.18M
Avengers: Infinity War - ¥346.77M / $54.75M
Coco - ¥292.64M / $44.18M (increase)
Ready Player One - ¥275.53M / $43.92M
Jurassic World - ¥241.39M / $38.90M
Dangal - ¥236.32M / $34.24M (increase)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - ¥222.92M / $34.63M
Mission: Impossible - Fallout - ¥214.23M / $31.36M

The Meg - ¥212.37M / $31.02M
Transformers: The Last Knight - ¥210.19M / $30.75M

Captain America: Civil War - ¥208.45M / $32.09M

 

Venom is looking to make ¥300-350M on its 2nd wknd(yeah, IW's 2nd wknd is in danger)

Venom is no going to make more than FB2 this weekend.

 

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23 minutes ago, peludo said:

Data say that it can happen

This is the Data right now:

 

                      Friday.           Saturday.     Sunday.   

FB2.                 3376.           1403.            540

VENOM.          1133.             568.             190

 

How can Venom grow more on this weekend that FB2.  base on this Data

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5 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

This is the Data right now:

 

                      Friday.           Saturday.     Sunday.   

FB2.                 3376.           1403.            540

VENOM.          1133.             568.             190

 

How can Venom grow more on this weekend that FB2.  base on this Data

2nd weekends are more walkover friendly than opening weekends, would be my guess.

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32 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

This is the Data right now:

 

                      Friday.           Saturday.     Sunday.   

FB2.                 3376.           1403.            540

VENOM.          1133.             568.             190

 

How can Venom grow more on this weekend that FB2.  base on this Data

Maoyan predictions

                      Friday.           Saturday.     Sunday.   

FB2.                 103.7m           140m           105

VENOM.          81.1m            132m.           100

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1 hour ago, Olive said:

Friday est

Venom 62.3M/1069M,-10%

JW2 same day 47.6m/1105m

JW2 +15% on Friday, Venom will catch its total druing the weekend

Next week only has WIR2, 1.7B is locked for Mr Hardy..

your lock $244m is higher than my lock $240m.

Thats a first

Well looks like Vm mite bump 30% tomorrow. If so I must raise to $250m

58 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

This is the Data right now:

 

                      Friday.           Saturday.     Sunday.   

FB2.                 3376.           1403.            540

VENOM.          1133.             568.             190

 

How can Venom grow more on this weekend that FB2.  base on this Data

OD Presale multi is expected to be 3-3.5x for FB2.  Saturday will be 4-4.5x 

Vm's PSm , since its second weekend, will be 7x+.  Also Vm PS for Sat and Sunday will increase more percentage wise before showtime.

 

Weekend forecast

        Vm                                FB2

Fr      80m                            100m

Sa    150    could be 160m   125  25% bump because its a sequel with more shows. Could be 30%+

Su    115                                 90

Tot   345                               315

$Tot  49m                             45m

 

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1 hour ago, Brinatico said:

This is the Data right now:

 

                      Friday.           Saturday.     Sunday.   

FB2.                 3376.           1403.            540

VENOM.          1133.             568.             190

 

How can Venom grow more on this weekend that FB2.  base on this Data

I would not compare directly presales of an OW with a 2nd weekend. And I have not said that Venom will win the weekend for sure, but the chance definitely exists.

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5 hours ago, POTUS said:

your lock $244m is higher than my lock $240m.

Thats a first

Well looks like Vm mite bump 30% tomorrow. If so I must raise to $250m

OD Presale multi is expected to be 3-3.5x for FB2.  Saturday will be 4-4.5x 

Vm's PSm , since its second weekend, will be 7x+.  Also Vm PS for Sat and Sunday will increase more percentage wise before showtime.

 

Weekend forecast

        Vm                                FB2

Fr      80m                            100m

Sa    150    could be 160m   125  25% bump because its a sequel with more shows. Could be 30%+

Su    115                                 90

Tot   345                               315

$Tot  49m                             45m

 

You going to tell me FB2 jus going to do 3-3.5 of PS.

TR do 5+ with a mere 8.2 rated

RP1 do 6+ with good Rated

Ramp. Do 7+ with normal rated

This 3 have something in common. 

You predicted low box office and you get wrong the 3 times by a lot.

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