ScareLol Posted February 1, 2020 Share Posted February 1, 2020 Adu debuts at #1, Underwater and Judy underperform at #7 and #8. No signs of Volando Juntos, Operación Panda and Waves 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 3, 2020 Share Posted February 3, 2020 Adu debuts at #2 with €1.1M (First Spanish film to pass €1M OW on 2020) but Doctor Dolittle retains the #1 spot. Everyone drops less than 50% 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 4, 2020 Share Posted February 4, 2020 Top 20 actuals. No sign of WAVES at the top 20. Pretty lackluster debuts for everyone except Adú 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 Bad news for Birds Of Prey pre-sales, they are extremely poor all across the board. Marketing is pretty big tho, posters and ads are everywhere in Madrid with one underground station decorated with the film. Let's see if WOM and walk-ups are good 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) Pre-sales for tomorrow with 4 releases (4 theaters tracked). It's Margot Robbie's time with Bombshell and BoP releasing BIRDS OF PREY - 381/7.314 tickets (5,21% sold from 4 theaters) Let's put some context. Dolittle (€1.7M) sold 572 tickets, Bad Boys For Life (€2M) sold 333 tickets and Little Women sold 367 so this is a bit screwed up. With the theater I've always tracked, Shazam (€1.5M) sold 97 tickets and BoP sold 68 so this is a bit alarming. One of the theatres is doing gangbusters numbers (+200 tickets sold) so there's an audience. Let's be cautious and put €1.35M OW for BoP (-10% less than Shazam). Walk-ups could be strong with female audiences and WoM. BOMBSHELL - 62/1.949 tickets (3,18% sold from 4 theaters) Comp here is Judy with 24 tickets (233K OW) which translates to 495K OW and that seems reasonable but it can go higher with strong walk-ups. €500K OW A HIDDEN LIFE - 6/723 tickets (0,83% sold from 1 theatre) Terrence Malick new film. Semi-wide release (60 theatres), €100K OW would be great. LE LION - 17/603 tickets (2,82% sold from 2 theatres) French comedy film. It's not a super wide release (+60 theatres) so we can expect the film to do €70K OW, out of Top 10. Edited February 7, 2020 by ScareLol 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 (edited) With no competition, BoP debuts at #1 and Bombshell at #5. No signs of Hidden Life and Le Lion. Pre-sales for BoP look horrible today again Edited February 8, 2020 by ScareLol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 (edited) Well, pre-sales were spot on. Birds Of Prey grosses €340K on Friday, with an €1.1M gross OW. This is terrible. The film is pretty good and could have legs (3x) EDIT: Checked and BoP sold out 8-10PM shows today on 3 of 4 theaters I've tracked. Let's wait for OW numbers on Sunday but we could see +€1.1M if today increases a lot Edited February 8, 2020 by ScareLol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 (edited) Saturday was better with BoP grossing $1.4M (~1.3M€) OW. Predictions were pretty much on point Edited February 9, 2020 by ScareLol 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 10, 2020 Share Posted February 10, 2020 Actuals will be out tomorrow but Adu was close to win the weekend. BoP would need really good legs 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 (edited) Parasite explodes after the Oscars and goes up to #3 on Monday Edited February 11, 2020 by ScareLol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Top 20 actuals. Parasite enters the Top 10 for the first time after 16 weekends 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Well, this is incredible. Parasite goes up to #1 on Tuesday on its 111th day passing Birds of Prey. The film is expanding this weekend and WOM is super strong. 4 1 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Let's go spain! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 Independently that competition is not exactly strong right now, the fact that a Korean film has climbed in this way after nearly 4 months is astonishing. And Spain uses to make very good numbers for BP winners (Green Book did the same than SH films, for example), so we can expect big things from Parasite here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 The film is expanding to 300 theaters this weekend (it grossed 220K last weekend). Can we see €1M this weekend? I've checked pre-sales today (Discount Wednesday) and the film is selling out like crazy. €6M could be a pretty good target for the film at the end but the ceiling is uncertain 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted February 12, 2020 Share Posted February 12, 2020 37 minutes ago, ScareLol said: The film is expanding to 300 theaters this weekend (it grossed 220K last weekend). Can we see €1M this weekend? I've checked pre-sales today (Discount Wednesday) and the film is selling out like crazy. €6M could be a pretty good target for the film at the end but the ceiling is uncertain If it makes €1m this weekend, I would say it can try even €10m. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 14, 2020 Share Posted February 14, 2020 (edited) Couldn't post yesterday but I checked pre-sales for 3 new releases and the wide release of Parasite: SONIC THE HEDGEHOG - 612/3.565 tickets (17,17% sold from 4 theatres) Yeah, this looks strong. Dolittle sold 572 tickets (1.74M OW) and that would be the direct comparison, that would give Sonic €1.86M and I think €1.8M+ OW could be conservative. Pikachu did €1.95M a year ago. FANTASY ISLAND - 58/1.577 tickets (3,67% sold from 3 theatres) Direct comp is Underwater (43 tickets - 372K), that would put Fantasy Island with 500K, let's low it down to €450K OW if WOM is toxic (and that seems realistic) HASTA QUE LA BODA NOS SEPARE - 140/2.636 tickets (5,31% sold from 4 theatres) Spanish romantic comedy produced by AtresMedia but distribution is not by a major and that could hurt a lot. Spanish films are tricky to predict because they are not pre-sale heavy and 140 tickets sold are a good amount. €900K OW but could be the wildcard of the weekend PARASITE - 225/3.777 tickets (5,95% sold from 4 theatres): Strong pre-sales, walk-up heavy movie, let's risk and say €900K+ Edited February 14, 2020 by ScareLol 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 15, 2020 Share Posted February 15, 2020 Sonic debuts at #1, Parasite is #2, Hasta que la Boda nos Separe debuts at #3 and Fantasy Island at #6. It looks like a great weekend 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 16, 2020 Share Posted February 16, 2020 Pikachu comparison was perfect. Sonic debuts with $2M (€1.85M OW). Impressive numbers 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScareLol Posted February 17, 2020 Share Posted February 17, 2020 Good debuts for Sonic and Hasta Que la Boda nos Separe. Parasite goes up 500% compared to last weekend. It could target 10M 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
