Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Has a foreign language picture ever been nominated for Best Picture in this CAYOM?Not that I know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted March 27, 2013 Author Share Posted March 27, 2013 No Hunch not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 I have a bad feeling that Nebula's release pattern will be detrimental. Sub-$10M expansion.An R-rated sci-fi movie in the same month as other tentpoles is destined to die.It'd be safer in a month with not as much market demand, like February or October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted March 27, 2013 Author Share Posted March 27, 2013 It's a Lars von Trier movie. It's not aiming for major box office at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 It's a Lars von Trier movie. It's not aiming for major box office at all.It'd do better, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted March 27, 2013 Author Share Posted March 27, 2013 It'd do better, though. Again, probably not a big concern for Hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hunch Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 (edited) The limited first week would be only in the biggest theatres in major cities, and it's meant to create buzz and positive word of mouth, but with only 85 theatres anything above 2m would be incredible, it's not exactly going to remove millions from the opening weekend. I really, really doubt it would get less than a 3k PTA the next weekend, it's not a low budget arthouse film. Besides as Numbers said it's not really meant as a huge blockbuster, but in presentation at least it will probably be somewhat blockbustery, but it's not really a traditional Hollywood film. PS. The only reason I mention it's not a low budget arthouse film despite it being Lars Von Trier is because the scope and visuals would only be achievable with support of a major studio, but this is not just me tacking on his name to a regular blockbuster to create buzz or whatever. Edited March 27, 2013 by Hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Did it about a half hour ago, but yes, I did post yet another major animated film. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 The limited first week would be only in the biggest theatres in major cities, and it's meant to create buzz and positive word of mouth, but with only 85 theatres anything above 2m would be incredible, it's not exactly going to remove millions from the opening weekend. I really, really doubt it would get less than a 3k PTA the next weekend, it's not a low budget arthouse film.Unfortunately it would fall below any of those forecasts.I'm gonna wait until the film is posted to make my predictions, but for now, the bar's really low.This is what I came up with.Limited OW: $1MWide OW: $8M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Yeah, July is really crowded... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Did it about a half hour ago, but yes, I did post yet another major animated film. You could change the title to something else, since it sounds too much like a Les Miz parody (which it actually is, but it'd be more accessible). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hunch Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Um...I haven't even posted the cast, or the budget, or the plot. A bit premature to be making predictions, especially when an R rated sci-fi film opened to 50 million last summer. But I don't really care about box office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Yeah, July is really crowded...Yeah, considering the competition, Cloud Atlas numbers would be a dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Um...I haven't even posted the cast, or the budget, or the plot. A bit premature to be making predictions, especially when an R rated sci-fi film opened to 50 million last summer. But I don't really care about box office.Well just keep a low budget so it won't be viewed as a huge bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Um...I haven't even posted the cast, or the budget, or the plot. A bit premature to be making predictions, especially when an R rated sci-fi film opened to 50 million last summer. But I don't really care about box office. I'm not referring to that stuff yet; I'm referring to three sci-fi's already being released in that month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hunch Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 I don't really care if it bombs, the budget will be whatever the plot I write requires (probably not as much as most Hollywood films, he's the kind of director who can get amazing visuals out of a modest budget, like Danny Boyle or Guillermo del Toro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted March 27, 2013 Author Share Posted March 27, 2013 Unfortunately it would fall below any of those forecasts.I'm gonna wait until the film is posted to make my predictions, but for now, the bar's really low.This is what I came up with.Limited OW: $1MWide OW: $8M Lars von Trier + a big-concept sci-fi movie is worth at least a $15,000 PTA in its limited opening. The "film elite" crowd will be too intrigued to pass it up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Remember, Skyline (a sci-fi movie) was made with only $10 million.So Nebula could be made with only $15-20 million. It'd still be a success even if it only debuted to $8 million, with overseas numbers it'd break even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted March 27, 2013 Author Share Posted March 27, 2013 Alpha, stop telling Hunch, a CAYOM 1.0 veteran who has made loads of big hits, how to make his film. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted March 27, 2013 Share Posted March 27, 2013 Lars von Trier + a big-concept sci-fi movie is worth at least a $15,000 PTA in its limited opening. The "film elite" crowd will be too intrigued to pass it up.Could be popular among cinephiles, but nobody else really. $2M would be the high, $1M the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
