redfirebird2008 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Thanks Rth for confirming the 70M OD number. I expect better OW multiplier than IM2 but not as good as TA, that shocking Sunday drop. 70M Friday 57M Saturday 45M Sunday 172M OW I'm thinking 60 for Saturday, so 175 total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I think Sat min is 55 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 So funny to think just a few hours ago, an opening in the 140s was looking likely. I'm glad it's not the other way around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I think Sat min is 55 million. 55-57m max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 55-57m max. It depends... IM3 should do quite well during the day and sure night wont be as busy but it pretty much puts the floor for Saturday at 55 million which is just nuts!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 So funny to think just a few hours ago, an opening in the 140s was looking likely. I'm glad it's not the other way around.140s? When/how did that happen? I must be asleep at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 (edited) I'm thinking 60 for Saturday, so 175 total. 60M Saturday would be awesome. Damn man, did you get any sleep? Edited May 4, 2013 by druv10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 It depends... IM3 should do quite well during the day and sure night wont be as busy but it pretty much puts the floor for Saturday at 55 million which is just nuts!!! Oh well, I'm not good at predicting day-for-day, but I'm saying 54m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Oh well, I'm not good at predicting day-for-day, but I'm saying 54m. Reasonable however Saturday is looking to outgross Friday non previews here as Night time shows are busy and day time shows are wayyy busier then yesterday. Remember both TA and IM2 increased from the Friday day gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Oh well, I'm not good at predicting day-for-day, but I'm saying 54m. That would be a drop minus the previews. Hell even IM2 increased without the previews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Damn I go to sleep and I miss our lord and savior descend with a Friday number that exactly matches my prediction in the Box Office Alliance and War games. Rth, I will go find a goat and sacrifice it in your honor. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Reasonable however Saturday is looking to outgross Friday non previews here as Night time shows are busy and day time shows are wayyy busier then yesterday. Remember both TA and IM2 increased from the Friday day gross. You see, I didn't even know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Saturday jumps from Fridays excluding midnights:Avengers: 12%Iron Man 2: 5%Spiderman 3: 3%Seems to be following WOM. Therefore, for IM3, ~8% jump seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 (edited) Looking at it even with previews, IM3 actually did around 22% of the day from previe compared to 23% for TA. So the fact it scored 55 million or so day business with 9pm shows on Thursday to burn off demand is amazing.... "You see, I didn't even know that. :lol:" You know I am a reasonable predictor, and I usually base things to similar movies When I said IM2 day business with 3D was 50 million I said it would not make any sense for IM2 to below that and it appears I was proven right... Now the fact it did so well on Friday night indicates this movie is not front loaded at all Edited May 4, 2013 by Lordmandeep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Now the fact it did so well on Friday night indicates this movie is not front loaded at all Could you please elaborate on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Quite simple... If the film was front loaded meaning the previews burned off demand it would not have made around 55 million during the day. For example: TA made 18.7 million midnights and 62 million day business for 81 million Friday so a Midnight to total Friday Ratio of 23% IM3 had around 15.6 previews starting at 9 pm and then 55 Day business to around 70 million total, so a total midnight to total Friday ratio of 22%. The fact it did as well as TA is just quite amazing... Not saying it will hold like TA over the weekend but it indicates this movie is going to perform like a typical marvel film over the weekend, and that consists of a very Strong Saturday gross. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 140s? When/how did that happen? I must be asleep at the time. At one point it was as low as 58m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 If this got under 140m OW Baumer would have just won the ballsiest club in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 (edited) At one point it was as low as 58m. I was having a Birthday dinner and I saw that and my face was like aghast and everyone at the dinner party, "your not enjoying the dinner party!" lol I was like no no no its fine... Edited May 4, 2013 by Lordmandeep 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 It keeps changing every time I check..What's the most recent figure we have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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