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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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On 2017-5-23 at 0:09 PM, Olive said:

Children's day is not holiday, but we'll see some boost.

 

BTW, saw the movie today ,I think WOM gonna suck.

 

I thinking the same, the film felled very flawed. Don't think it will be a crowd pleaser :(

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10 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

When do Wonder Woman's presales begin?

It's posted now.

WW at 20k. Just 500 shows listed

 

P5 PS trending like WC last year at this time. Only going to bump 30% today instead of the usual 40-50%. Tomorrow is normally 75%, WC was 57%.  PS will be 44-49m. 2.9-4x will be the multi. Probably at the low end with poor WoM. GITS was 3.2 with bad WoM. 

Me thinks 145-165m.  Thought it could do  5x OD for the 5 day weekend but there are 7 local releases on Sat.  The weekend is anybody guess.

Funny year. RE and XXX go well beyond projections and others have faked us out the other way. 

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^^^^

Kong PS disappointed but its run was good. But that always felt like something up the China alley. Probably Guardians slightly under performed(should have done 800m). Otherwise movies performed on par like Logan, Beast etc. Pirates did 70m in 2011 but as we saw for MI5 there is no lock on next movie breaking out huge.

 

I think tomorrow's PS wont be as high as normal as trend is lower. I would say 45m PS and 130m OD. As you said until we know the impact of other openers on saturday(plus how bad the ratings are for Pirates) we cant say for sure where it will end. I wont say 1B is locked at this point.

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8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

9 hours to go

Pirates

Previews - 7.97m

OD - 33.94m

 

3 hours to go

 

Previews - 11.56m

OD - 40.7m

 

Looks like preview will exceed my earlier projection by a million or two. But OD PS has tapered off completely. May be 43m PS at midnight and 125m OD !!!!!!

 

Edit: Pirates looks like squeezing to 45m PS.

 

Wonder woman has really a slow start( 217K OD and small preview numbers). Its going to struggle big time in China. Most probably will end up below MOS number.

Edited by keysersoze123
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1 hour ago, John Marston said:

 

wait are you saying WW might do as bad as Power Rangers?

I think it was the first comparision he found. 

PR's presales started 2 weeks before the release.

WW's presales started 1 week before the release.

It's implicit he means WW will do at least 7x at OW what PR did.

Edited by alisson23
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On 2/26/2017 at 7:33 PM, Gavin Feng said:

[4 days+5.5 hours]
 

Logan

midnights - 358k

OD - 1.33m


Rogue One
midnights - 620k
OD - 2.98m
 
Doctor Strange
midnights - 670k
OD - 2.70m
 
Fantastic Beasts
midnights - 558k
OD - 3.5m

 

This is the target for WW. Let us wait until similar timeframe to see WW will end. Its at just under 700K yuan(midnights160K) . I think it will hit Logan PS numbers for sure. Plus PS for 31st Imax shows seem promising. Could build WOM(if liked) and then PS explodes over last day or so.

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46 minutes ago, Olive said:

Wonder Woman 5 days+ 3 hours
midnights - 300k
OD - 1.59m
 

Are these numbers Good or Bad for Wonder Woman? If Wonder Woman reaches U$50m in China it will be a good result, if  make U$60m /U$70m will be a great result.

 

Hunger games never exceeded U$37m in China.
 

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2 minutes ago, bruchav said:

Are these numbers Good or Bad for Wonder Woman? If Wonder Woman reaches U$50m in China it will be a good result, if  make U$60m /U$70m will be a great result.

 

Hunger games never exceeded U$37m in China.
 

It's bigger than Logan at the same point, but the latter increase pretty fast in the last days.

I think $50M is easily locked, 80M+ is likely

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