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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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At 3.45m Midnights/13.4m OD PS. Really weak increase over the weekend. Fate was around 47m by end of Sunday. So Pirates is  less than 30% of Fate at this point. Not sure if it will hit even Civil War PS. I wonder if 200m OD is even locked. We will know depending on how PS goes tomorrow(It should accelerate during weekdays plus its release week). It needs at least 30% increase tomorrow for sure.

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POTC 5

The Fate of the Furious

[13 days+ 23 hours]

Midnight: 0.47m

OD: 1.95m

Sat: 1.22m

 

[13 days+ 2 hours]

Midnight: 0.75m

OD: 2.70m

Sat: 1.62m

Midnight: 0.42m

OD: 1.48m

Sat: 0.78m

[12 days+ 10 hours]

Midnight: 0.86m

OD: 2.99m

Sat: 1.71m

Midnight: 1.04m

OD: 3.08m

Sat: 1.85m

[12 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 0.99m

OD: 3.34m

Sat: 1.83m

Midnight: 1.79m

OD: 5.04m

Sat: 2.52m

[11 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 1.5m

OD: 4.00m

Sat: 2.37m

Midnight: 2.95m

OD: 8.24m

Sat: 3.54m

[10 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 1.50m

OD: 4.88m

Sat: 2.09m

Midnight: 3.85m

OD: 10.97m

Sat: 4.46m

[9 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 1.81m

OD: 6.11m

Sat: 2.75m

Midnight: 4.95m

OD: 14.20m

Sat: 5.64m

[7 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 2.33m

OD: 8.33m

Sat: 3.63m

Midnight: 19.63m

OD: 25.17m

Sat: 4.46m

[6 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 2.68m

OD: 9.95 m

Sat: 4.24m

Midnight: 21.87m

OD: 31.38m

Sat: 5.64m

[5 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 3.04m

OD: 11.63 m

Sat: 4.94m

 

[4 days+ 0 hours]

Midnight: 3.56m

OD: 13.79 m

Sat: 5.76m

 

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16 hours ago, kswiston said:

What does PotC5 look like against Civil War or RE6? Obviously F8 is a bad comparison at this point.

PS targeting 60m now

Could open 180-240.  But with Saturday as a work day, it won't be a full on Friday and with some planning to see it on the holiday, it could be a deflated number as well. So not too bad in that range. 

CA3 was 180m OD

RE6 was 213m

 

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2 hours ago, POTUS said:

PS targeting 60m now

Could open 180-240.  But with Saturday as a work day, it won't be a full on Friday and with some planning to see it on the holiday, it could be a deflated number as well. So not too bad in that range. 

CA3 was 180m OD

RE6 was 213m

 

OD is not normal Friday, multiplier may be very low..

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10 hours ago, Olive said:

OD is not normal Friday, multiplier may be very low..

When movies where opening on weekdays last year they still had the same multi as Friday openers at a consistent 2.75. I assume at least 3 will happen.

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

^^^^^

 

yes. I am thinking 150m OD rather than 200m+. But 5 day behavior could be different.

 

PS growth is still quite weak. I dont see any signs of acceleration.

 

Yup. Only going up 25% today, not 40. Starting 2 days earlier changed the pattern. PS may only reach 50m 

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2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Olive,

 

So Friday/Saturday work day, Sun/Mon/Tue holiday, wednesday workday and thursday holiday?. Wonder Woman should have opened on thursday.

Children's day is not holiday, but we'll see some boost.

 

BTW, saw the movie today ,I think WOM gonna suck.

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CW 2 days to go was

 

Mid-night 4.74m 
Friday 25.4m  

 

Pirates is ahead on midnights but behind on OD. Since its run rate is much slower than CW, I think its going to end around 30% lower. Probably mid to high 40's PS. OD somewhere in 120-150m range. If WOM is like what Olive said, its run will mimic BvS.

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