POTUS 2020 Posted August 18, 2017 Share Posted August 18, 2017 (edited) On 8/17/2017 at 7:36 PM, POTUS said: PS finally on the move. BD went fron 25 to 50 to 66% of Val pretty quick. Val 1.00m Bd .66m C3 .34m Can make guestimate tomorrow Val 1.7m BD 1.27 C3 .52 Early projection. Could shift a bit. C3 could ramp up steeper at the end Val 50-60m OD $25-30m OW BD 40-50m OD $20-25m OW C3 20-25m OD $15m OW Assume total at 2- 2.2x OW unless WoM catches on Edited August 19, 2017 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiccup23 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 16 hours ago, POTUS said: Val 1.7m BD 1.27 C3 .52 Early projection. Could shift a bit. C3 could ramp up steeper at the end Val 50-60m OD $25-30m OW BD 40-50m OD $20-25m OW C3 20-25m OD $15m OW Assume total at 2- 2.2x OW unless WoM catches on So Valerian should do 50-60M total in China? (US currency) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marveldcfox Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Hiccup23 said: So Valerian should do 50-60M total in China? (US currency) Still not good at all. I think BD has a good chance of beating it this weekend and ending with a better total. It really is Jupiter Ascending 2.0 but worse at the boxoffice. JA did 44+M in China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 1 minute ago, marveldcfox said: BD has a good chance of beating it this weekend Well who would have predicted that in 2016.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 2 hours ago, Hiccup23 said: So Valerian should do 50-60M total in China? (US currency) So far it looks that way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nicoco Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 1 hour ago, marveldcfox said: Still not good at all. I think BD has a good chance of beating it this weekend and ending with a better total. It really is Jupiter Ascending 2.0 but worse at the boxoffice. JA did 44+M in China. Presales for Valerian are between 25% and 50% better than those for BD on each day of the week end.... Valerian will end at 40m$ in France and is doing great in Russia and in Germany. The Budget of the film if you take off tax optimisation in France is more around 150m$ and the film will end around 250m$ worldwide. Not a success but also not the failure of the century. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 2 hours ago, marveldcfox said: Still not good at all. I think BD has a good chance of beating it this weekend and ending with a better total. It really is Jupiter Ascending 2.0 but worse at the boxoffice. JA did 44+M in China. Yup. BD continues to gain and now has a better revenue % to show% ratio . Its only behind because it started a day later and hasnt recieved as many shows. It might be neck and neck in a couple of days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marveldcfox Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 1 hour ago, Nicoco said: Presales for Valerian are between 25% and 50% better than those for BD on each day of the week end.... Valerian will end at 40m$ in France and is doing great in Russia and in Germany. The Budget of the film if you take off tax optimisation in France is more around 150m$ and the film will end around 250m$ worldwide. Not a success but also not the failure of the century. Luc said this movie has to do as much as Lucy to be considered a hit considering the way its funded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nicoco Posted August 19, 2017 Share Posted August 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, marveldcfox said: Luc said this movie has to do as much as Lucy to be considered a hit considering the way its funded. Luc said that 90% of the budget is covered by international presales to distributor and tax credit from the french state (more than 20m$). Europacorp is only distributor in France were the film will be in the yearly top 5 at the end of the week. So Europacorp will make money on the movie as his financial risk exposure counts only in France. The risk for Luc Besson and Europacorp is not financial but reputational. But when you earned 450m $ with Lucy (40m budget) you are probably not happy with a total gross of 250m$ from a movie like Valerian. They had probably the intention to launch a new franchise after "Taken", "The Transporter" and Lucy and this will not happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted August 20, 2017 Share Posted August 20, 2017 On 8/18/2017 at 7:57 PM, POTUS said: Val 1.7m BD 1.27 C3 .52 Early projection. Could shift a bit. C3 could ramp up steeper at the end Val 50-60m OD $25-30m OW BD 40-50m OD $20-25m OW C3 20-25m OD $15m OW Assume total at 2- 2.2x OW unless WoM catches on If BD opens that high, it may cross $100M overseas by next Sunday!!!!!!!!!!! #Hallelujah!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Seng Wah Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 Wow BD can make around that OW in China 👍🏼 How much would war film like Dunkirk going to make? It's confirmed opening on 1/9 right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 Dunkirk is quite strong out of the block. Already at 1.7m PS for OD. If its not skewed by strong nolan fan base, I am thinking 100m+ OD will happen. May be even 400m OW and then finish around 700m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: Dunkirk is quite strong out of the block. Already at 1.7m PS for OD. If its not skewed by strong nolan fan base, I am thinking 100m+ OD will happen. May be even 400m OW and then finish around 700m. 1.7m is where kong was on Monday 10 days out. Kong reached 37m PS. 150m OD 501m OW. Kong PS went up 20-25% daily thru Sunday. Then 30% 40% 50% 75% Dunkirk 1B? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted August 21, 2017 Share Posted August 21, 2017 That would be crazy high. It may not play that wide like interstellar did. Will be frontloaded plus its release date is not great with spidey and apes releasing in week 2/3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Seng Wah Posted August 22, 2017 Share Posted August 22, 2017 8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: Dunkirk is quite strong out of the block. Already at 1.7m PS for OD. If its not skewed by strong nolan fan base, I am thinking 100m+ OD will happen. May be even 400m OW and then finish around 700m. Wow unexpectedly strong, I'm thinking around $50mil only. Anything above that is great for me. Thanks for the info. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 23, 2017 Share Posted August 23, 2017 DK not tracking Kong. Only going up only 15% daily. Maybe ¥80-100m OD. $40-50m OW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 23, 2017 Share Posted August 23, 2017 On 8/19/2017 at 2:57 AM, POTUS said: Val 1.7m BD 1.27 C3 .52 Early projection. Could shift a bit. C3 could ramp up steeper at the end Val 50-60m OD $25-30m OW BD 40-50m OD $20-25m OW C3 20-25m OD $15m OW Assume total at 2- 2.2x OW unless WoM catches on Val still looking at $25-30m OW BD PS slowed $18-20m C3 $13-15m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 24, 2017 Share Posted August 24, 2017 SM coming out of the gate with 600k Valerian 17m final ps as expected. $25-30m OW BD weakened more and coming in at 1/2 of val with 8m Ps $12-15m OW C3 with 5m ps. $12m OW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 Dunkirk OW / Total under ￥250 / ￥470 million 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted August 29, 2017 Share Posted August 29, 2017 SM going up 40% today to 2.6m. Strong like Kong. Give it another day or 2 to see if it'll go up 15% daily or 22% thru monday low end 23m PS 88m OD. 300m OW 600m/$90m Tot high end 32m PS 120m OD 400m OW 800m/$125m tot As usual much higher is always possible OD/OW/Tot with hot WoM. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
