MovieMan89

Haven't seen the film, but I say best of luck to her even getting the nom. Stone and Portman are locks, Bening and Adams are Oscar darlings and therefore near-locks, and the academy wouldn't dare exclude Negga after last year's controversy, especially if Edgerton gets the nom.

Tom Hardy and I know what to think about this.

Ah, well maybe some hope then, but still lots of Holiday holdovers.

Adams won't win for Arrival unless Stone and Portman are nowhere near as good as people are claiming. Yes being "due" helps but you also have to have a really strong performance and/or no competition that year. Adam's Arrival performance will probably be the weakest of her noms and she has competition.

The A Monster Calls trailer looked super interesting to me and I knew nothing about it. Beyond stupid to release a movie like that for Xmas though where it will get buried. Could have seen that being a breakout hit with a quieter month release and a strong marketing push.

It's going to have one of the best (or the best?) second weekend post Thanksgiving holds ever for a movie that opened to 30m+. Anyone discrediting its legs right now is full of it.

GTA would certainly not be an example I'd use for "great video game plot and characters" Tons of RPGs out there with great plots/characters, most Naughty Dog games, most Valve games, Bioshock games, Alan Wake, Red Dead Redemption, etc. But Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time had a kickass story and characters, and they still managed to screw it all up for the movie. So even with the right game they can't seem to get it right. I still think it's because no good filmmaker wants to truly take them seriously as films, which is annoying. CBMs were a joke once too until filmmakers started realizing their potential.

And this is the problem with video game adaptations. There are games out there with plots that exceed 90% of modern blockbusters, but if you don't play games you'd never know that based on Hollywood's shittacular treatment of video games to film.

Damn, knew 6.5-7 was too good to be true for Moana. Still a great hold though.

That Friday # for Moana would be everything if Deadline knows at all what they're talking about. Could beat Frozen's second weekend gross!

Especially since R1 will have a very minimal effect on it. R1 is not TFA in terms of kid appeal.

What's with this bullheadedness on Sing? It's completely invalidating their prediction skills. I bet XXX fails to make half that, Split will break out if Shyamalan can semi-deliver again like The Visit.

In some ways it's quite bizarre this will release a few weeks after Halloween. I mean I know November is a better release month for animation than September/October, but then again the Hotel Transylvania films...

And at the same time, this is the man who revolutionized the industry, made two all time classics, is responsible for masterminding the WDAS' revival, and who worships the ground Hayao Miyazaki walks on. How on earth could he have possibly thought Cars 2 was worthwhile while making it? It had to be primarily for merchandise purposes.

They're using a stock hold based on the usual patterns. Moana's weekday numbers have been beating Frozen's overall, so clearly the WOM is already showing up. 57% drop would really be some sucky weekend increases now.

Weren't there reports of it scaring little kids? Lol.

The weekend shouldn't be any lower than 28m, even with significantly worse bumps than Frozen's second weekend. 30m+ is definitely possible.

The important thing is Moana is ahead of Frozen now in terms of the daily gross. That's huge considering Frozen's OW was 11m higher.

I'm sorry but this whole "gritty" marketing tactic is just silly, especially the ridiculous notion of expecting anyone to believe Lightning might be in legitimate peril. It's actually making me hate this even more, which I thought was impossible.

I mean with these weekday numbers it certainly should have a chance at that range for the weekend, considering Frozen did 31m and Moana has a 700k bigger first Tuesday. It will drop a lot Wed, but I highly doubt enough to be below Frozen's 1.8m.

The main difference being that Dory didn't have this kind of universal enthusiasm Moana is getting. It was more of a universal "that was cute" kind of reaction. But regardless, Dory had fantastic legs for 2016 (arguably phenomenal given that gargantuan OW for animation and SLOP). There's absolutely no way to spin it as having a lackluster multi. So I'm not sure if you're trying to use that as some kind of argument against Moana's legs, cause it's not a good argument at all if so.

Well for whatever it's worth, this is the third day in a row Moana has had a better hold than Frozen's. Hopefully that pattern continues.

It is, but at the same time reactions are on an insane level from everything I've seen. It needs a multi smack dab in the middle of Tangled's and Frozen's to get there. I'd have a lot of confidence in it actually if not for Sing, but that's what makes me nervous. I think 275 will happen though.

It's a stifling trudge to sit through nowadays, imo. I ended up putting it #100 on my list purely for Cruella, but it's a film I would really like to see become one of Disney's more forgotten ones in favor of far more deserving overlooked ones rising in prominence.

Just cuz this always amuses me: