#ED Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 MAN OF STEEL: $7.03M Thursday (est) / $168.81M Domestic Total / 4,207 Locations / $1,670 Location Avg. #ManOfSteel OVER 7M OMFG THANK BABY JESUS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 thats a better # Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 21, 2013 Author Share Posted June 21, 2013 Can some mod update the title with that official estimate for MOS? I'm on mobile, can't atm. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMan7 Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Looks like WB was quick at work in fixing that 6.9M Thu number. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Guys i see a blip in the #ED pulsecheck. He is aliveAfter that jump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ban1o Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 (edited) LOL first the 8.9 wednesday number becomes 9.01 and than the 6.9 thurday number becomes 7.03. Edited June 21, 2013 by ban1o 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Obviously Wal Mart made up the difference! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 MoS Scenarios based on 6.9M Thursday: Worse: Friday: 11.73M (+70%) Saturday: 15.2M (+30%) Sunday: 12.5M (-25%) 39.4M weekend Best: Friday: 13M (+90%) Saturday: 16.9M (+30%) Sunday: 13.5 (-25%) 42.9M weekend Someone FIX THIS. Your increases are way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 What are you thinking for WWZ OW then, B? 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 12-13 14.5-15.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted June 21, 2013 Author Share Posted June 21, 2013 55 I think it's a little too high with competitions and all. But if it pulled that, wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALayrisson Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Saturday: Passes Superman Returns (not adjusted after 8 days) Second full week: Passes Superman Returns adjusted for inflation ($242) By end of 3rd weekend: Passes ASM as biggest reboot ever domesetically. ABANDON SHIP!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Your increases are way off. So what's your worse and base case scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 I think it's a little too high with competitions and all. But if it pulled that, wouldn't surprise me. 50-55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Saturday: Passes Superman Returns (not adjusted after 8 days) Second full week: Passes Superman Returns adjusted for inflation ($242) By end of 3rd weekend: Passes ASM as biggest reboot ever domesetically. ABANDON SHIP!!!!! Pretty much, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 So what's your worse and base case scenario? I'm not sure on worse but my best would be: Friday: 15.5 (120%) Sat: 22.5 (+45%) Sun: 17 (-25%) 55 mill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 I'm not sure on worse but my best would be: Friday: 15.5 (120%)Sat: 22.5 (+45%)Sun: 17 (-25%) 55 millWut. Lol no way mos is hitting 55, max 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 (edited) Obviously Wal Mart made up the difference!Good thing Walmart's 12M was separated from OW numbers. Even at 55M which is at the very high end, that's 57.3% drop. At 45 its a 65% drop. Now that's ugly. Edited June 21, 2013 by WileECoyote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kswiston Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 I think 50 is beyond locked. You are basing it not hitting 50 on a Thursday number. If there was no game 7 last night, it would have falled to maybe 8. Give it a 85% jump and its on pace for 50 mill. I think you may be focusing more on the 60% drop = bad WOM than the circumstances of this weekend though. Spider-Man 3 had no competition in its second weekend. The #2 film made less than $10M. I'm sure if it was facing major competition, Spider-man 3 would have had a larger drop, but there was nothing else to see that weekend. X-Men First Class had good WOM (reviews were high, IMDB user rating is 7.8, other sites show similar ratings) but still it dropped 56% in its second weekend. First Class was facing one film opening that appealed to a good portion of its demographic (Super 8, opening at $35M). Man of Steel starts this weekend off at a disadvantage. Fathers day boosted the Sunday gross by at least $6M. The second Sunday drop will therefore be larger than it would have been if MoS opened on a regular weekend. Man of Steel also faces at least $100M in competition from the two major openers. WWZ directly plays to the same demographic. Monsters University has some overlap. At the very least, those films will steal some of the third and fourth screens MoS has been playing on in many of the larger venues. A 60% drop with the inflated father's day's totals would be the same as a ~58% drop without them. That's only slightly higher than First Class' drop, and in the face of a lot more competition. I don't think that is a particularly outrageous scenario, especially in light of Wednesday's number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted June 21, 2013 Share Posted June 21, 2013 Still think 45-50 is the range. Quite good considering the two new movies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
