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grim22

Weekend Estimates: Thor TDW 86.1M, Ender 10.25, Free Birds 11.2, Grav 8.4, BG 11.3, Last Vegas 11.1

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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A Marvel Fanboy Global Phenomenon

A Marvel Fanboy

Posted
Posted

People were predicting as high as 150m OW for Hobbit pre-release. And once the numbers came out, it suddenly became "it was never realistic to expect 100M+ OW in December".

 

People are already predicting 150m+ or even 200m+ OW for SW7 and Aavatar 2. And I bet by the time SW7/A2 opens, once the numbers comes out to be much much lower, say even below 100M, it suddenly will again become "it was never realistic to expect 100M+ OW in December".

 

This is how the forums works. No offense to TDW or anyone or any movie, just a matter of fact.

 

Hack, "It was even unrealistic to expect STID open higher than ST09" under the similar THEORY. Nuff said.  :rolleyes:

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lab276 Global Phenomenon

lab276

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Death and destruction! Muhahaha! (nothing really) Deadline got some numbers: 1) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 1/ Runs: 3841/ NEW / $31.500 Fri./ $29.925 Sat. -5% / $20.948 Sun. -30% = $82.373. Per Screen Average: $21,446. Total domestic gross $82 million.2) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 2/ Runs: 3082/ $3.308 Fri./ $5.128 Sat. 55% / $3.077 Sun. -40% = $11.513. Dropoff from last weekend: -30%. Per Screen Average: $3,736. Total domestic gross $33.9 million.3) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa R Rating, Paramount/ Week 3/ Runs: 3187/ $3.406 Fri./ $4.939 Sat. 45% / $2.963 Sun.= $11.309. Dropoff -43% from last weekend. Per Screen Average: $3,548. Total domestic gross $78.8 million.4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity. Week 2/ Runs: 3736/ $2.563 Fri./ $5.127 Sat. 100% / $3.332 Sun. -35% = $11.022 Wknd -30%. Per Screen Average: $2,950. Total domestic gross $30.05) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 2/ Runs: 3407/ $3.144 Fri./ $4.402 Sat. 40% / $2.861 Sun. -35% = $10.407 Weekend drop off is -61%. Per screen average is $3,055. Total domestic gross is $44.2.6) Gravity/ PG13/ WB / Wk 6/ Runs: 2720/ $2.291 Fri./ $4.009 Sat. 75% / $2.205 Sun. -45% = $8.505 Weekend dropoff is -34%. Per Screen Average is $3,127. Total domestic box office is $231.2)7) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight / Week 4/ Runs: 1144, increased from 734/ $1.820 Fri./ $2.820 Sat. 55% / $1.833 Sun. -35% = $6.473 Weekend gross is up 35% from last weekend. Per Screen Average: $5,658. Total domestic gross is $17.2 million.Eighth) Capt. Phillips PG13/ Sony/ Week 5/ Runs: 2646/ $1.653 Fri./ $2.728 Sat. 65% / $1.501 Sun. -45% = $5.882. Dropoff From Last Weekend -30%. Per Screen Average: $2,223. Total domestic box office $91.1.9) About Time/ R/ Universal / Week 2/ Runs: 1200 / $1.437 Fri./ $2.012 Sat. 40% / $1.308 Sun. -35% = $4.757. Up 342% From Last Weekend Limited Release. Per Screen Avg: $3,964. Total Domestic Gross $6.310) Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2/ PG/ Sony / Week 7/ Runs: 1836/ $0.641 Fri./ $1.441 Sat. 125% / $0.937 Sun. -35% = $3.019. Weekend Dropoff is -27%. Per Screen Average is $1,644. Total Domestic Box Office is $110.2

Just to make this easier to read1 Thor 2 82.42 Last Vegas 11.53 Bad Grandpa 11.34 Free Birds 115 Ender's Game 10.46 Gravity 8.57 12 YAS 6.58 Cap Phillips 5.99 About Time 4.810 Cloudy 2 3Top 10 155.3mSome of their numbers might be out a bit either way, but overall should be reasonably close to that.
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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

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People were predicting as high as 150m OW for Hobbit pre-release. And once the numbers came out, it suddenly became "it was never realistic to expect 100M+ OW in December".

 

People are already predicting 150m+ or even 200m+ OW for SW7 and Aavatar 2. And I bet by the time SW7/A2 opens, once the numbers comes out to be much much lower, say even below 100M, it suddenly will again become "it was never realistic to expect 100M+ OW in December".

 

This is how the forums works. No offense to TDW or anyone or any movie, just a matter of fact.

 

Hack, "It was even unrealistic to expect STID open higher than ST09" under the similar THEORY. Nuff said.  :rolleyes:

 

 

Hindsight is always 20-20. So its easy to say after a release. While predicting ahead fanboyism causes you to get ahead of yourself. That is why we saw 1.5B WW+ for Hobbit and 1B for Thor.

 

That is why I dont see SW7 making more than Sith UNADJUSTED. I dont see it doing admission figures of prequels for several reasons. One SW does not have the same aura that Prequels carried over from original trilogy. Plus prequels aged badly(even sith aint that great) bcos acting is just HORRIBLE. Similarly I dont see it make more than 600-700M OS. I have seen folks predicting 2B WW for SW7 which is just crazy.

 

Similary Avatar/Avengers sequel will also drop. Its inevitable as the 1st flicks are too big.

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grey ghost Global Phenomenon

grey ghost

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That's not bad, though lower than the minimum that I thought it would at least do (which was 85M). It could still get there if it blows up Saturday.

 

But kinda embarrassing for those predicting >100M.

 

How dare you? Those predictions were fueled by people's hopes and dreams.

 

I should know. I was one of them.  :unsure:

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Deathlife Box Office Gold

Deathlife

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Posted

I'm sorry, I'm thoroughly confused.Apart from BKB and a few others, I think most people expected Thor to open in the range it did (I remember arguing very hard that it's not going to open to around $100M).$82M is a pretty solid number for a superhero that doesn't have "man" in the name. Lots of franchises dream of numbers like this.

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