Weekend Estimates: The Hobbit - 73.6M | Frozen - 22.2M | Madea - 16M

[baumer]

All right, I'll join the party, can you do a Santa hat for me too?

[Ezen Baklattan]

I stand by my Frozen> Smaug DOM prediction. It could be pretty close, but Frozen is probably going to have some fine holds over Holiday break. It should even blow past a fair number of opening films.

[4815162342]

The interesting question is how the film holds up over the weekend. It dropped a good bit from AUJ on midnights but the day drop was quite minor. This indicates that DOS had less of a rush factor than AUJ, otherwise the day drop would have been more comparable. If that is true, then the base Friday day gross for DOS should have a better increase on Saturday than AUJ's base Friday day gross.

 

And I maintain that this will have fairly better legs than AUJ since reactions have been better to it than AUJ and it's built as more of a crowd-pleaser, abrupt ending besides.

Edited December 14, 2013 by 4815162342

[Lordmandeep]

Anyways the film has like what 4 weeks to make money now? 

 

I said this last year due to the holidays a lot of people were surprised how TH went from a low gross to near 300 million by the end of the holidays. 

 

 

However its the Holidays.

 

CF has a good drop, should drop to 14 million and its falling behind IM3 pace but Holidays are still coming.

 

Should be near 400 million by new years. 

Edited December 14, 2013 by Lordmandeep

[bballman24]

 

I'm late to the party but... Idris Elba is always a plus

[bballman24]

under 80 for sure. not enough interest.

 

270-280m final due to lack of interest

 

franchise looks done . dont know what wb were trying

 

 

Spending 200m 3 times to make ≈ billion three times. WB knew exactly what they were doing.

Thank god you are not in business.

[4815162342]

Anyways the film has like what 4 weeks to make money now? 

 

I said this last year due to the holidays a lot of people were surprised how TH went from a low gross to near 300 million by the end of the holidays. 

 

 

However its the Holidays.

 

CF has a good drop, should drop to 14 million and its falling behind IM3 pace but Holidays are still coming.

 

Should be near 400 million by new years. 

 

AUJ probably would have gone on to about 315-20m but its legs suddenly died in mid/late January when there really was no competition to explain it.

Edited December 14, 2013 by 4815162342

[druv10]

And let's have perspective the other way.  LOTR didn't have 3D and it didn't have inflated prices and it didn't have as big a world wide market as Hobbit does.

 

Plus bad exchange rates for first 2 LOTR movies. If they had same exchange rates as ROTK both would have been over 1B WW as well.  

[DeeCee]

It will be interesting to see the total box office this weekend. Last year the number 2 film to AUJ made $7m. This year 3 other films will be in double digits.

[Lordmandeep]

Wonder how CF is heading its falling behind IM3 pace now however Holidays are coming. 

[lab276]

It will be interesting to see the total box office this weekend. Last year the number 2 film to AUJ made $7m. This year 3 other films will be in double digits.

The top 5 should make more than the entire weekend last year.

[reddevil18]

 

 

Spending 200m 3 times to make ≈ billion three times. WB knew exactly what they were doing.

Thank god you are not in business.

Isn't this Halba guy the one who makes non-stop statements such as this one, for like half the blockbusters out there?

[4815162342]

But Halba, it has an epic runtime!

[JarJarBinks]

$563,000 for Philomena.

[Jack Nevada]

Do we have any numbers for AH yet?

[4815162342]

Do we have any numbers for AH yet?

 

I thought RTH said 200k a long while ago. And 110-115k for Saving Mr. Banks.

[DeeCee]

But Halba, it has an epic runtime!

RT has dropped 1%. Third one will be the last in the trilogy now.

[LexJoker]

Do we have any numbers for AH yet?

~30,000 PTA

[4815162342]

AH in 6 thrs about 200k

[4815162342]

SMB 15 thrs about 115k