WKND BO: Frozen $20.7M/$297.8M, Paranormal 18.2, Hobbit 16.3/229.6, Wolf 13.4 (new Sun #s pg 83)

[eXtacy]

Frozen, increase would not be much better than DoS.

 

6.8m

8.9m (?) +30%

5.3m (?) -40%

 

Possible muted weekends thanks to bad weather?

Edited January 5, 2014 by eXtacy

[Empire]

Very bad in northeast.

Yeah, and it isn't great in the Midwest either.

[a2k]

Frozen, increase would not be much better than DoS.

 

6.8m

8.9m (?) +30%

5.3m (?) -40%

 

Possible muted weekends thanks to bad weather?

Weather has improved over the weekend considerably. Sunday could be inflated.

[Dementeleus]

Saturday increases this weekend are usually subdued.

[eXtacy]

Weather has improved over the weekend considerably. Sunday could be inflated.

 

Yeah, I dont trust Nikki to extrapolate weekend numbers. I would prefer to see the Saturday estimates.

[a2k]

If DoS gets 16m, that's 8.5% less than AUJ's 17.5m. So not surprising at all. Last weekend it was 9% less. The story has been same as before. Underwhelming OW, then has kept pace. Considering it's a sequel, that itself is a little creditable.

[Mango]

You guys do remember this is Nikki right. Saturday could have been $15 million but as long as Friday was still $4 million she'd go with her original numbers.

Edited January 5, 2014 by Mango

[a2k]

You guys do remember this is Nikki right. Saturday could have been $15 million but as long as Friday was still $4 million she'd go with her original numbers.

This last update of her takes the toast. No daily estiamtes, just direct confident weekend numbers on Sat night.

[grim22]

Finally watched the first 2 episodes of Community season 5. The segment with Abed acting like Nicolas Cage may just be the funniest TV moment of 2014 (so far  )

 

[Incarnadine]

Finally watched the first 2 episodes of Community season 5. The segment with Abed acting like Nicolas Cage may just be the funniest TV moment of 2014 (so far  )

 

I watched them both this week, first episode was a bit soft I thought, but the 2nd was much better. Is Jonathan Banks a permanent addition?

[Empire]

Finally watched the first 2 episodes of Community season 5. The segment with Abed acting like Nicolas Cage may just be the funniest TV moment of 2014 (so far  )

 

Yes, that was really hilarious!

[Dingdong123]

 

Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke36s

Wkd Box Office: #1 'Frozen' $21M about to pass $300M dom cume, #2 'Paranormal Activity: Marked Ones' $19M, #3 'Hobbit Smaug' $16M/$229.4M.

https://twitter.com/NikkiFinke/status/419722030263435265

 

 

Frozen better squeak pass 22M and disney can overestimate it to 22.9, just for the sake of press releases regarding the 300M mark threshold.

[Empire]

I watched them both this week, first episode was a bit soft I thought, but the 2nd was much better. Is Jonathan Banks a permanent addition?

Yeah, he will be on 10 of the remaining episodes.

[Olive]

Frozen 8.5 +25%

PA 7 -19.5%

DOS 6.8-7 +36%

Wolf/Hustle 5.5-5.7

Box Office: ‘Paranormal Activity’ Can’t Spook ‘Frozen’s Climb To $300M While ‘Hustle’ and ‘Wolf’ Arm Wrestle For Fourth Spot

[Warhorse]

If DoS gets 16m, that's 8.5% less than AUJ's 17.5m. So not surprising at all. Last weekend it was 9% less. The story has been same as before. Underwhelming OW, then has kept pace. Considering it's a sequel, that itself is a little creditable.

I'm disheartened that it wasn't bigger. But I guess the movie going population just wants superheroes, CGI cartoons, and movies based on teenage girls novels. Perhaps they should have had a shirtless scene of Thorin or Kili, then maybe more girls would have come.

[Claire of Themyscira]

I just choked on water.

 

Wtf. I'm gonna beat a bitch.

[Incarnadine]

 

Frozen 8.5 +25%

PA 7 -19.5%

DOS 6.8-7 +36%

Wolf/Hustle 5.5-5.7

Box Office: ‘Paranormal Activity’ Can’t Spook ‘Frozen’s Climb To $300M While ‘Hustle’ and ‘Wolf’ Arm Wrestle For Fourth Spot

 

If the Friday and Saturday estimates hold, I think we end up with

 

1- Frozen 21.5

2- Paranormal- 19.5

3- Smaug - 16.8

[a2k]

I'm disheartened that it wasn't bigger. But I guess the movie going population just wants superheroes, CGI cartoons, and movies based on teenage girls novels. Perhaps they should have had a shirtless scene of Thorin or Kili, then maybe more girls would have come.

I guess it's just the AUJ spillover. The audiences gave AUJ a fair chance, felt let down and some skipped DoS.

[Mango]

 

Frozen 8.5 +25%

PA 7 -19.5%

DOS 6.8-7 +36%

Wolf/Hustle 5.5-5.7

Box Office: ‘Paranormal Activity’ Can’t Spook ‘Frozen’s Climb To $300M While ‘Hustle’ and ‘Wolf’ Arm Wrestle For Fourth Spot

 

 

From that I get...

 

Frozen - $6.75, $8.5, 5.3 (-38%) = $20.55

 

PA - $8.74, $7, 3.6 (-49%) = $19.34

 

DoS - $5.12, $7, $4.1 (-41%) = $16.12

[a2k]

If the Friday and Saturday estimates hold, I think we end up with

 

1- Frozen 21.5

2- Paranormal- 19.5

3- Smaug - 16.8

Frozen will need 6.2m on Sunday to make it to 21.5m

That's a 27% Sunday drop. I feel that's a bit optimistic. 21m seems more like it (-33% Sunday).