chasmmi Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 As things stand with Friday estimates, just need EOT and FIOS to flip postions over the weekend and I may be getting 8/8 for places bonus. Which would be nice 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulder Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 Jersey Boys potentially in the top 15 Where's your god now Jersey Boys' evenings were terrible. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattrek Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 So remember my post back for SOTM 7? Time to brag a bit:"I'm not that stupid, not worth the risk at all. The percentages have to be WAYYYY too close. Abstain. I'll be shocked if more then 5 players go for this. If it were within a 25-50% margin I could see more people going for it, but even then OS is a crapshoot. Domestic alone is going to be unpredictable, add in OS variables and it gets ridiculously difficult. Domestic range is anywhere from 250-325m. That alone is a 20-30% difference.And TF4 is one of the smaller ranges of the films listed".19 people answered, 12 of which had HTTYD2 (game over), 14 had 22 jump street (12 had 130% or under) and if it goes over 180m that's game over for them also.So to recap 12 players have already lost 10k another 12 are likely to lose 10k and these are the first two of 7 potential films to come.Already a 15-25k points swing towards those who abstained. I told y'all that question was bad news 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 Huh. I completely forgot to answer SOTM 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kitik Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 speaking of SOTM's, I think Neighbors still has a realistic shot at 150: Neighbors Uni. $1,369,000 -42.2% 1,033 -863 $1,325 $145,717,000 $18 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 As things stand with estimates: All questions worth 1000 pts Due regular time All questions pertain to the top 12 1) Will Think Like a Man Too make more than 40 mill? NO (Needs 10M swing for YES) 2) Will Think Like a Man Too make more than 3.05 mill for Thurs? NO (Confirmed) 3) Will The Jersey Boys make more than 14.5 mill? NO (Needs 985k rise for YES) 4) Will 22 Jump Street fall more than 55%? NO (Needs 5.8% change for YES) 5) Will HTTYD2 decline less than 40%? NO (8.8% change for YES) 6) Will 22JS finish second? YES (Needs a 1M swing up or 3.7M swing down for NO) 7) Will Fault in our Stars drop more than 45%? NO (needs 3.1% swing for YES) 8) Will EOT have a Friday increase of more than 75%? YES (needs 1.7% drop for NO) 9) Will any film increase on Thurs? YES (Confirmed) 10) Will any film decrease my less than 20% on Sunday? YES (Needs 22JS drop to rise 1.5% for NO) 11) Will any film decrease by less than 30%? YES (Needs 14.3% change for Chef to be NO) 12) Will Frozen finish first in Japan, again? YES (According to Corpse Estimate needs to drop by 1M for NO) 13) Will FIOS drop on Saturday? NO (Needs 1.6% drop to be YES) 14) Will Maleficent finish higher than Jersey Boys? NO (need 503k swing for YES) 12/14 3000 13/14 5000 15/15 7000 What finishes in spots: (to make up for last week) 2000 each, if you get all 8 spots, 25,000 pts If you get the spots 10-11-12-13, then you get a bonus of 10,000 No, you cannot get a bonus of 35,000, it's either or. 4 Jersey 5 Maleficent 6 EOT 7 Fault 10 Godzilla 11 Million 12 NEighbours 13 Blended Bonus 1: What will the top ten cume be? 5000 139.632M Bonus 2: What will the drop be for Blended? 5000 38.4 Bonus 3: What will 22JS make on Friday? 5000 9.4M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulder Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 10/14 is pretty decent. I also got spots 4-7 correct. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 5 spots right. Could even be 6 if Godzilla overtakes Chef 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 10/14. I am happy with that. So heading for 20,000-22,000. Great week for me 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 AND I WON BLENDED BONUS. WHAT A WEEK FOR ME. I was one of only 2 people to predict it would fall under 50%. So I am now heading for 25k-27k. Finally doing well 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 (edited) 9/14 6 slots, including 10-13 Hope that holds Edited June 22, 2014 by Chewy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted June 22, 2014 Share Posted June 22, 2014 It's really annoying there is no bonus for getting sports 4-7 correct 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 (edited) Provided the placements hold I got all 8 correct.... glad I put Chef at #9! Need that to make up for my questions.... 10 right - if only Fault would swing down on Sat and Edge's Friday actual doesnt hit 75% lol Edited June 23, 2014 by narniadis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 (edited) not bad .. 10/14 at the moment... currently @ 6 out of 8 (i had the right 8 films though i just had neighbours and million ways back to front.. (hoping for swing there but unlikely ) ) interesting on bonus 1 (top ten cume) Estimate = 139.632m Ed currently has the lead with his 139.78m If the estimate swings by: increase by > 459k then tele gets it. increase by > 819k then baumer gets it. increase by > 893k then dipper gets it. (the gap after this is above 2 or 3m.) decrease by > 517k then numbers gets it. decrease by > 1.19m then jajang (me) gets it. (the gap after this is above 2m or 3m once again) Last weekend dipped by 4m so all are within the target zone....... Edited June 23, 2014 by Jajang and Back Again 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 23, 2014 Author Share Posted June 23, 2014 Week 9 is up.And im back friends! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 Looks like all estimates dropped and so will the total cume bonus. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 (edited) I fucked up this weekend because I completely forget to answer the questions Also, X-Men has officially passed TASM2. Everyone can see it here: http://www.ica-ip.pt/Admin/Files/Documents/contentdoc1954.pdf (If this doesn't show the weekend 19-22 June, refresh the page) O Fantástico Homem-Aranha 2: O Poder de Electro = The Amazing Spider Man 2 (position 38) X-Men: Dias de Um Futuro Esquecido = X-Men: Days of Future Past (position 9) What matters are the columns at the right, not the ones in the middle. The 2 at the right are the total of money made and the total of tickets sold. Edited June 23, 2014 by CJohn 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 Chef is down to 1,708,000 with actuals COME ON GODZILLA 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 Official weekend chart. Godzilla beats Chef, makes a lot of people get the 25k bonus. TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count /Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N Think Like a Man Too SGem $29,241,911 - 2,225 - $13,142 $29,241,911 $24 1 2 1 22 Jump Street Sony $27,460,995 -51.9% 3,306 - $8,306 $109,911,125 $50 2 3 2 How to Train Your Dragon 2 Fox $24,719,312 -50.0% 4,268 +15 $5,792 $94,596,047 $145 2 4 N Jersey Boys WB $13,319,371 - 2,905 - $4,585 $13,319,371 $40 1 5 3 Maleficent BV $12,910,766 -30.2% 3,450 -173 $3,742 $185,879,334 $180 4 6 4 Edge of Tomorrow WB $9,820,080 -40.6% 3,212 -293 $3,057 $73,991,573 $178 3 7 5 The Fault in our Stars Fox $8,565,710 -42.1% 3,340 +67 $2,565 $98,694,043 $12 3 8 6 X-Men: Days of Future Past Fox $6,150,460 -37.3% 2,681 -361 $2,294 $216,744,710 $200 5 9 7 Godzilla (2014) WB $1,888,304 -43.0% 1,365 -723 $1,383 $194,983,388 $160 6 10 10 Chef ORF $1,708,590 -21.9% 961 -141 $1,778 $16,805,782 - 7 11 8 A Million Ways to Die in the West Uni. $1,600,550 -50.7% 1,417 -996 $1,130 $40,302,450 $40 4 12 9 Neighbors Uni. $1,368,375 -42.2% 1,033 -863 $1,325 $145,716,950 $18 7 13 11 Blended WB $1,007,492 -42.1% 842 -739 $1,197 $42,358,883 $40 5 14 12 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Sony $633,630 -33.6% 434 -248 $1,460 $199,510,835 - 8 15 13 Million Dollar Arm BV $538,050 -33.1% 444 -133 $1,212 $34,402,198 $25 6 16 33 The Rover A24 $481,214 +594.4% 608 +603 $791 $562,440 $12 2 17 16 Rio 2 Fox $413,379 -0.5% 310 -73 $1,333 $127,375,992 $103 11 18 15 Belle FoxS $318,771 -37.5% 244 -94 $1,306 $9,198,251 - 8 19 18 Divergent LG/S $270,363 -29.3% 289 -47 $936 $150,160,035 $85 14 20 22 Ida MBox $268,817 +4.6% 133 +29 $2,021 $2,065,330 - 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted June 23, 2014 Share Posted June 23, 2014 Fucking Godzilla 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
