Ethan Hunt Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 It'll get that Avengers bumb, if gotg can do 94 in august I don't see any reason ant man cant do 90+ in july 2015Ehh, ive got Ant-Man at a 55M Opening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePieMan Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 1. Avengers 2 - 250m 2. Mocking Jay Part II -165m 3. Star Wars 7 - 145m 4. Fast 7 - 115m 5. Bond 24 - 110m 6. Ant-Man - 95m 7. Minions - 88m 8. Cinderella - 80m 9.Mission Impossible 5- 79m 10. Mad Max - 72m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 1.) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $215 million 2.) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part II - $170 million 3.) Star Wars: Episode VII - $122 million 4.) Bond 24 - $118 million 5.) Fast 7 - $116 million 6.) Jurrasic World - $85 million 7.) Ant-Man - $82 million 8.) Inside Out - $80 million 9.) Minions - $77 million 10.) Cinderella - $76 million 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobinHood26 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 The more I think about it, I really don't think opening in December matters. Star Wars could open Labor day weekend and still do 150m + 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Shit. I totally forgot to include Jurassic World. I knew I was forgetting something big. Bye bye for now, Tomorrowland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breakspear Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 (edited) 1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 220mil - Will certainly open above 200mil, just how much by. 2. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 - 175mil 3. Star Wars E7 - 150mil - Early reviews and responses are key, people don't want another Phantom Menace 4. Fast 7 - 110mil 5. Bond - 100mil 6. Jurassic World - 90mil 7. Ant-Man - 85mil - 2 Months after AoU will defs help, especially if the trailer that plays before AoU is good and the mid credits scene links to Ant-Man 8. Inside Out - 75mil 9. Minions - 72mil 10. The Good Dinosaur - 70mil Edited August 11, 2014 by Breakspear 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akiraptor Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 1. Avengers: Age of Ultron - 215 million 2. Star Wars: Episode 7 - 180 million 3. Hunger Games: Mockingjay part 2 - 160 million 4. Bond 24 - 109 million 5. Jurassic World - 105 million 6. Fast 7 - 95 million 7. Ant-Man - 85 million 8. The Fantastic Four - 70 million 9. The Good Dinosaur - 65 million ( Cookie for first one to get it ) 10. Mission Impossible 5 - 64 million 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 The more I think about it, I really don't think opening in December matters. Star Wars could open Labor day weekend and still do 150m + They said the same about The Hobbit and that's the best comparison for it. Even with a very good movie 110M in december is nothing to laugh at. And I don't want to get into a LOTR vs SW debate cuz we all know how those usually end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted August 11, 2014 Author Share Posted August 11, 2014 1. Avengers 2 - 250m 2. Mocking Jay Part II -165m 3. Star Wars 7 - 145m 4. Fast 7 - 115m 5. Bond 24 - 110m 6. Ant-Man - 95m 7. Minions - 88m 8. Cinderella - 80m 9.Mission Impossible 5- 79m 10. Mad Max - 72m One you won't see in many top 10's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted August 11, 2014 Author Share Posted August 11, 2014 They said the same about The Hobbit and that's the best comparison for it. Even with a very good movie 110M in december is nothing to laugh at. And I don't want to get into a LOTR vs SW debate cuz we all know how those usually end up. Break it down from previews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Break it down from previews. 17M previews, which is absolutely huge in december. Before the first Hobbit made 13M, the highest was Avatar's 3,5M I think. 48M Friday (with previews). Hobbit made a little over 37. That means less than 3x it's previews. I gave SW 3x exactly because it's a franchise and has a strong fanbase that will make it front loaded. 36M Saturday (Hobbit made 27,7M). I also gave SW a slightly smaller drop. 26M Sunday (Hobbit made 19,7M) And that is to meet my 110M prediction, though I will probably have a slightly stronger Sunday. I could see 28-29M and a 112-115M OW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted August 11, 2014 Author Share Posted August 11, 2014 (edited) 17M previews, which is absolutely huge in december. Before the first Hobbit made 13M, the highest was Avatar's 3,5M I think. 48M Friday (with previews). Hobbit made a little over 37. That means less than 3x it's previews. I gave SW 3x exactly because it's a franchise and has a strong fanbase that will make it front loaded. 36M Saturday (Hobbit made 27,7M). I also gave SW a slightly smaller drop. 26M Sunday (Hobbit made 19,7M) And that is to meet my 110M prediction, though I will probably have a slightly stronger Sunday. I could see 28-29M and a 112-115M OW. Just 5M more non-previews/midnights than ROTK. I know inflation doesn't always work, but its 12 years+3D. Edited August 11, 2014 by Neo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Just 5M non-previews/midnights than ROTK. I know inflation doesn't always work, but its 12 years+3D. I thought ROTK opened with 72.6M... 110 - 17 = 93M. Or you mean Revenge of the Sith? In which case, that opened in May. You can't compare it. There's a reason why May's highest OW is over 200M and December's is under 85M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hcolet1031 Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 1. Aoe-235m2. MjII- 173m3. Star Wars 7- 155m 4. Bond 24- 106m 5. FF7- 104m 6. Jurassic world- 100m7. MI5- 86m 8- inside out- 77m 9- good dinosaur- 70m 10- tomorrow land- 63m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 (edited) Star Wars is always underestimated here. Revenge of the Sith OW was 108 million after OD record of 50 million set on Thursday. It was 9 years ago and without 3D. Today that OW adjusts to 137 million. And it opened in 3,600 theaters, 700 less than other enormous openers like Avengers and Hunger Games. In fact, adjusting ROTS OW, you get that even after OD record, the average of OW was the same than both Hunget Games movies. And this coming from poor movies as Phantom Menace and Attack of Clones. IMO, it remains as the biggest opening ever, on par to Spider-man and Avengers. To say SW has not been a big opener is to deny or forget some facts.I think that SW7 can manage 130-140 in December with 3.5-4 multiplier (after December record and mixed reception Hobbit has done it) and reach 500-550 total without many problems. Edited August 11, 2014 by peludo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted August 11, 2014 Author Share Posted August 11, 2014 I thought ROTK opened with 72.6M... 110 - 17 = 93M. Or you mean Revenge of the Sith? In which case, that opened in May. You can't compare it. There's a reason why May's highest OW is over 200M and December's is under 85M. Yeah there hasn't been a movie on this scale opening in the month. Were are you getting the 93M from? Did you not understand what I said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 (edited) Yeah there hasn't been a movie on this scale opening in the month. Were are you getting the 93M from? Did you not understand what I said? Just 5M more non-previews/midnights than ROTK. What am I supposed to understand from this? And yeah there was. The Hobbit. Whether it was good or not it's a different problem. Edited August 11, 2014 by James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted August 11, 2014 Author Share Posted August 11, 2014 (edited) Just 5M more non-previews/midnights than ROTK. What am I supposed to understand from this? And yeah there was. The Hobbit. Whether it was good or not it's a different problem. You really think The Hobbit would be on a scale of VII, no doubt it was hyped, but VII is on a different stratosphere. That ROTK did 8/34=26M You have VII 17/48=31M Total: 5M more. Edited August 11, 2014 by Neo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray G Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 Star Wars Episode 7 - 217M Avengers: Age of Ultron - 204M Mockinjay Part II - 189M Jurassic World - 114M Fast Seven - 102M The Peanuts Movie - 92M Bond 24 - 89M Minions - 82M Inside Out - 76M Tomorrowland - 72M (92M four-day) Wild cards are The Jungle Book (probably #11), The Martian (Gravity 2.0?), The Good Dinosaur, Ted 2, 50 Shades of Grey, and Ant-Man 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted August 11, 2014 Share Posted August 11, 2014 You really think The Hobbit would be on a scale of VII, no doubt it was hyped, but VII is on a different stratosphere. That ROTK did 8/34=26M You have VII 17/48=31M Total: 5M more. Well, I did say SW7 will make around 150M more than Hobbit DOM. I expect good legs for it. And yeah, today's movies are much more front loaded than the movies 10 years ago. SW will make no exception. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
