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Neo

2015: Top 10 Opening Weekend Predicitons

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Agreed. Look at ROTK 11 years ago. Its 5 first days adjusts to 167 million without 3D. Its OW would be 98 million even although it was released on Wednesday. And Star Wars will always be more anticipated than any other movie in US. I have the feeling that some people here are too young to be conscious how big SW is. They only know Marvel era and maybe they consider previous movie events just too old.

 

We all know the power of starwars and it's huge :P

But oversea wasn't that enormous :(

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It's not TOP10 but +100 mln OW predictions.

 

1. Avengers 2 ~ $215 mln

2. THG3.2 ~ $170 mln max. (without 3D)

3. Star Wars 7 ~ $130 mln

4. Fast 7 ~ $115 mln

 

And maybe Bond24 will hit $100 mln.

Edited by Juby
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1st version.

 

1: Avengers: Age of Ultron - 188m
2: The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 166m
3: Star Wars: Episode VII - 120m
4: Fast & Furious 7 - 110m
5: Bond 24 - 90m
6: Jurassic World - 79m
7: Minions - 75m
8: The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 70m
9: Mission Impossible 5 - 67m
10: Fifty Shades of Grey - 65m
Edited by The Stingray
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I think it can do more than that because it has no competition, ala Cap 2

More than $130 million OW? I figure Fast 7 will be huge, but even Cap 2 only did $95 million. $125 million is a reasonable goal for Fast 7's OW for now. Could see $135-140 million but that would just be gigantic and would require marketing to reach a fever pitch. And $300 million would essentially be locked with the utter lack of competition and that big of an OW. 

 

A 2.6x multi from a $130 million OW is $338 million - $100 million more than Fast 6 domestically. 

 

A 2.6x multi from a $115 million OW is $299 million - still a hefty $61 million increase from Fast 6 domestically. 

 

I'm expecting Fast 7 to top $300 million and handily be the #1 film of spring 2015, but a $140-160 million OW would be a little ridiculous considering Cap 2 and Fast 7 only did $95 million and $85 million respectively in April over the past 5 years. 

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More than $130 million OW? I figure Fast 7 will be huge, but even Cap 2 only did $95 million. $125 million is a reasonable goal for Fast 7's OW for now. Could see $135-140 million but that would just be gigantic and would require marketing to reach a fever pitch. And $300 million would essentially be locked with the utter lack of competition and that big of an OW. A 2.6x multi from a $130 million OW is $338 million - $100 million more than Fast 6 domestically. A 2.6x multi from a $115 million OW is $299 million - still a hefty $61 million increase from Fast 6 domestically. I'm expecting Fast 7 to top $300 million and handily be the #1 film of spring 2015, but a $140-160 million OW would be a little ridiculous considering Cap 2 and Fast 7 only did $95 million and $85 million respectively in April over the past 5 years.

Fast 6 did 90m and it opened against the Hangover 3 and on STID's second weekend. With no competition in April with more hype than any other Fast movie before I'd say 100m is locked.
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1st version.1: Avengers: Age of Ultron - 188m2: The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2 - 166m3: Star Wars: Episode VII - 120m4: Fast & Furious 7 - 110m5: Bond 24 - 90m6: Jurassic World - 79m7: Minions - 75m8: The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 70m9: Mission Impossible 5 - 67m10: Fifty Shades of Grey - 65m

Yeah. This is my new favorite list.
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