Weekend Estimates: The Purge 28.3M | Apes 36M | Sex Tape 15M | Planes 18M | Godzilla 470k +91% 198.9m!!! | More Numbers on Page 1

[Blankments]

This reminds me of 2011 animated film wise where there wasn't a break as far as disappointments were concerned (both critically and Bo)

LEGO completely negates this point...

[Blankments]

Transformers 4 has now passed Catching Fire worldwide to become the highest grossing movie with Imagine Dragons on the soundtrack

Oh yeah? Well, earlier this year LEGO Movie passed The Watch worldwide to become the highest grossing movie with The Lonely Island involved!

[Deep Wang]

Maybe the studios should stop rebooting/making endless sequels to properties and make something new or at least find something new/different to adapt.

 

Moviegoers are going to get tired of all these remakes/quasi-sequels and what-not and this summer is a perfect example of that happening.

 

Are they?

 

Looking at the highest grossing movies released this summer, I see:

 

TF4 - sequel

TASM2 - sequel

Godzilla - reboot

DOFP - sequel

22 JS - sequel

Dragon 2 - sequel

Apes 2 - sequel

 

 

Then you have the original movies:

 

Maleficent 

Neighbors 

Edge of Tomorrow

 

 

The big sequels this summer aren't doing as much as others have, but people are still spending way more money on them than the original stuff, save Maleficent of course.  

 

Do you think studios look at how down those sequels are or how much something like Edge of Tomorrow made when making their decisions?

[tupek]

I find it hard to believe that Dragon 2 hasn't been able to surpass 22 Jump Street's weekend grosses even after 6 weeks. 

[babz06]

Does anyone care about Transformers 4 besides its overseas grosses? 

It seems like the story of summer 2014 will be

Female -skewing films :Maleficent, Fault in Our Stars  

Raunchy comedies: 22 Jump Street, Neighbors,Tammy

No 300m+ blockbusters. 

No breakout animated film. 

 

Let's get to 2015 already.

[narniadis]

LEGO completely negates this point...

I should restate that as far as the summer was concerned.

[filmlover]

Does anyone care about Transformers 4 besides its overseas grosses? 

It seems like the story of summer 2014 will be

Female -skewing films :Maleficent, Fault in Our Stars  

Raunchy comedies: 22 Jump Street, Neighbors,Tammy

No 300m+ blockbusters. 

No breakout animated film. 

 

Let's get to 2015 already.

More like "let's get to Winter already." That's where the excitement is at this year.

[DAR]

Fall does seem more appealing

[Walt Disney]

Does anyone care about Transformers 4 besides its overseas grosses? 

It seems like the story of summer 2014 will be

Female -skewing films :Maleficent, Fault in Our Stars  

Raunchy comedies: 22 Jump Street, Neighbors,Tammy

No 300m+ blockbusters. 

No breakout animated film. 

 

Let's get to 2015 already.

 

GOTG is coming soon.

[grim22]

Planes and Sex Tape (and to some extent Purge 2) all fell under tracking by quite a bit. Pretty disappointing for all 3 openers (although Purge did well all things considered)

[DAR]

I would't call Purge that disappointing, it's pretty much in the black now given it's budget

[DAR]

And given the HV market Planes should eventually make money

[Walt Disney]

And given the HV market Planes should eventually make money

 

The merchandising alone will help it make money.

[Claire of Themyscira]

How is that bad for The Purge 2?

 

Damn, y'all extra.

 

Y'all was saying it would open to half of the first or less.

 

Like, wow.

[Deep Wang]

21JS         v           22JS

 

36m      3 days     57m   = 21m lead

70m     10 days   110m  = 40m lead

93m     17 days   140m  = 47m lead

109m   24 days   159m  = 50m lead

120m   31 days   172m  = 52m lead

127m   38 days   180m  = 53m lead

 

It's still slightly gaining on 21 despite already having fewer screens at the same point.

 

Coincidentally, they both face a Marvel movie in their 8th weekend.

 

Still, looks good for $191ish.

[John Marston]

WB really should have released Edge of Tomorrow this weekend

[DAR]

21JS         v           22JS 36m      3 days     57m   = 21m lead70m     10 days   110m  = 40m lead93m     17 days   140m  = 47m lead109m   24 days   159m  = 50m lead120m   31 days   172m  = 52m lead127m   38 days   180m  = 53m lead It's still slightly gaining on 21 despite already having fewer screens at the same point. Coincidentally, they both face a Marvel movie in their 8th weekend. Still, looks good for $191ish.

My BSG prediction for 22JS190

[Goffe]

WB really should have released Edge of Tomorrow this weekend

EOT should have been released in the second weekend of May, Godzilla could take EOT original release date and Universal would move Neighbors to Godzilla original date.

Edited July 20, 2014 by Goffe

[Deep Wang]

My BSG prediction for 22JS190

I wish it could somehow squeak out $9m more!

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

 

Solid hold for Dawn of the Planet of the Apes. Its Saturday and Sunday week-to-week drops were both around 44%, which bodes well for its staying power in the next few weeks. It has also successfully bucked the trend of dropping off the face of the Earth after a big opening, which is something that only Maleficent before it had managed to do so far this season. Even with the bigger opening, its hold was also almost on the same level as Rise, which dropped 49.2% in its second frame. It won't have the staying power to challenge for the summer crown, but it's all set to pass $200 million with ease. I think $230 million is a good target for it at this point.

 

The Purge: Anarchy had a very commendable opening considering that its predecessor was so poorly received. If nothing else, it suggests that viewers were intrigued by the premise, but disappointed with its execution in the first film. With the low budget, a third installment next year is all but guaranteed, and it's a no-brainer that they'll keep the action on the streets rather than in a house.

 

Planes: Fire & Rescue had a relatively weak opening. The original Planes wasn't hugely beloved, but it definitely did connect with its target audience, and there's a dearth of available entertainment for families at the multiplex right now, so it looked like an over-performance waiting to happen. Evidently, the first one was the real over-performer. Nevertheless, with little in its way for little kids for a while, it should reap the benefits of summer weekdays and display very strong legs.

 

Sex Tape had a weak opening. The premise certainly seemed thin and contrived, but one would have thought that Cameron Diaz could carry it to a bigger opening. It will probably struggle from here on out, which has to be disappointing considering that it initially looked as though it could capitalize on an empty July.

 

Transformers held really well. Captain America and Lego are still in its sights, but losing IMAX screens next weekend will probably put enough of a dent in it to put those films' totals just out of reach. All eyes are now on its international business as it nears the $1 billion milestone.

 

Tammy has held on really well despite what seems to be a lack of excitement for the movie itself. Hitting upper-80s would be pretty good in the face of tepid reviews and a "meh" ad campaign.

 

22 Jump Street is getting some great late legs. Even though R-rated comedies in general haven't been as successful as anticipated, it's still impressive that it's going to be the highest grossing one of the bunch by such a wide margin (and Neighbors wasn't a slouch).

 

How to Train Your Dragon 2 is also showing some late staying power, but it's too late to do anything to reverse its status as a disappointment.

 

Maleficent has to be one of the biggest, most consistent success stories of the season, right? (Not that the bar is set particularly high.) I wonder whether it could have been even more monstrous had Disney kept it on the 4th of July weekend.

 

Boyhood's performance in still-very-limited release is mightily impressive. It's going to be a tough sell as it goes wider, but it's performing very nicely for the level that it's presently at.

 

 

 

Ah, I did miss your insight.