Weekend Actuals 7/18-7/20 Apes 36.3m, Purge 29.8m, Planes 17.5m

[BadAtGender]

Yeah, while it's not a perfect comparison, look at how much WB pushed The Lego Movie. Since it had a discount theater expansion in May, it's earned nearly $4m. Godizlla won't do that much, but it'll get past $200m easily.

 

Edge of Tomorrow might be a closer shot, but it should also get to $100m.

[grim22]

 

Godzilla (2014) WB $515,187 +109.2% 326 +23 $1,580 $199,019,979 $160 10

 

 

 

No offense, but the poeple who think Godzilla can't easily reach 200M from here, and will need some sort of extra boost, are clueless.

 

 

515k and over 199M is pretty different from the estimates. From here it only needs a 1.87X to cross 200M. That should be pretty easy (well not easy per se, but take 2-3 weeks at the earliest)

[katniss]

Transformers will pass Maleficent before Maleficent passes DOFP.

 

Yep. 

 

My master plan is coming together:  TF4, Apes, and Maleficent finishing top 3 for the summer.  Hopefully, TF4 has enough juice to pass CA2 for #1 domestic - it's already obliterated DOFP and CA2 WW.    

[Mango]

Transformers dropped under 40%.

[kitik]

okay, over/under or right on the dot, what do you guys think?

(with obviously Apes being the toughest to guess right now)

 

 

 

Apes - 207

TF4 - 244

Tammy - 85

22JS - 190

HTTYD2 - 170

Earth To Echo - 37

Deliver Us From Evil - 36

Maleficent - 234

Begin Again - 16

Jersey Boys - 49

TLAM2 - 69

America - 16

Edge Of Tomorrow - 100.000001

FIOS - 125

Chef - 29

X-Men - 232

 

These are my guesses from last week. They're pretty much all too low.

 

So my new guesses:

 

 

Apes - 227

Purge 2 - 64.5

Planes 2 - 69

Sex Tape - 40

TF4 - 248

Tammy - 89

22JS - 195

HTTYD2 - 172

Earth To Echo - 39

Maleficent - 239

Begin Again - 20

America - 16

Deliver Us From Evil - 32

Jersey Boys - 47

Boyhood - 18

Chef - 30

Edge Of Tomorrow - 100.000001

TLAM2 - 67

Persecuted - 3

FIOS - 125

X-Men - 233

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

 

Godzilla (2014) WB $515,187 +109.2% 326 +23 $1,580 $199,019,979 $160 10

 

 

 

No offense, but the poeple who think Godzilla can't easily reach 200M from here, and will need some sort of extra boost, are clueless.

 

 

Who's saying it won't make it? Once a film is obviously going to make 199m, it's pretty much a foregone conclusion it will get pushed over the all important 200m mark. It's no coincidence there are a lot more films from 200-210 than 190-199.

 

How many films between 199-200m? 0

 

How many between 200-201m? 3(Once Godzilla gets over)

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Godzilla increased 109% out of nowhere. 

 

 

No, just an "innocent" dollar expansion. Not quite the Superman Returns magic of October, 2006. We won't see any 23% Tuesday increases before Tuesdays were popular, or near 90% decreases the day after it hits 200m.

 

That was truly a magical week for SR:

 

Tue  $27,810

+22.9% / -7.7%

$199,783,341 / 112

Wed  $23,345

-16.1% / -15.5%

$199,806,686 / 113

Thu  $26,319

+12.7% / -8.5%

$199,833,005 / 114

Fri  $49,018

+86.2% / -21.3%

$199,882,023 / 115

Sat  $77,897

+58.9% / -19.2%

$199,959,920 / 116

Sun  $46,385

-40.5% / -19.6%

$200,006,305 / 117

Mon  $5,564

-88% / -75.4%

$200,011,869 / 118

 

It dropped 93% from Saturday to Monday. It made 173k that weekend it reached 200m, and was out of theaters about 10 days after that. LOLz.

 

 

[Claire of Themyscira]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  4mTRANSFORMERS: AGE OF EXTINCTION took in $9.85M this weekend. Domestic total now stands at $227.00M. #Transformers4 #AgeOfExtinction

That WOM for TF4 kicking in.

[Claire of Themyscira]

Godzilla increased 109% out of nowhere. 

 

Outta nowhere?

 

[PDC1987]

Godzilla increased 109% out of nowhere. 

As if you don't know about late-run dollar theater expansions. Please.

[jj99]

How do they deal with gross from drive-ins, double features. Do they split the gross in half? Or give both movies the whole sum.

[Mojoguy]

How do they deal with gross from drive-ins, double features. Do they split the gross in half? Or give both movies the whole sum.

 

Both movies get the whole sum. Studios wouldn't settle for less. 

[jj99]

Both movies get the whole sum. Studios wouldn't settle for less.

Wow. That's fucked up.

[Tau Ceti]

Reading the debates here about Godzilla and EoT getting pushed to their respective plateaus, I was curious to see what the history shows. There aren't enough data points around the 200 mil mark to draw a conclusion but around 100 mil the pattern is obvious.

 

According to Mojo's all time domestic list only two films tracked have ever been allowed to finish between 99 and 100 mil. By comparison, twenty-one films have finished between 100 and 101 mil. Expanding it, a total of just six lie between 98 and 100 mil while there are thirty-eight between 100 and 102.

 

Obviously, this is a non-random distribution. If a film gets to within 1 million of a century mark the odds are better than 90% that the studio pushes it over. Godzilla is a foregone conclusion for $200 mil. Edge just needs to get close enough under its own steam -- say $98.5 mil -- to make the push easy, which should be doable with its holds.

Edited July 22, 2014 by Tau Ceti

[Mojoguy]

Wow. That's fucked up.

Look at John Carter's huge 1,224% bump thanks to double features with the Avengers on its 9th weekend!

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=johncarterofmars.htm

[Sam]

That's a great number for the Apes. I hope it can three-peat.

[grim22]

Reading the debates here about Godzilla and EoT getting pushed to their respective plateaus, I was curious to see what the history shows. There aren't enough data points around the 200 mil mark to draw a conclusion but around 100 mil the pattern is obvious.

 

According to Mojo's all time domestic list only two films tracked have ever been allowed to finish between 99 and 100 mil. By comparison, twenty-one films have finished between 100 and 101 mil. Expanding it, a total of just six lie between 98 and 100 mil while there are thirty-eight between 100 and 102.

 

Obviously, this is a non-random distribution. If a film gets to within 1 million of a century mark the odds are better than 90% that the studio pushes it over. Godzilla is a foregone conclusion for $200 mil. Edge just needs to get close enough under its own steam -- say $98.5 mil -- to make the push easy, which should be doable with its holds.

 

Yup, with BOF's favorite movie causing the most frustration. C'mon Disney, you needed one more week.

 

Gnomeo and Juliet
 

Domestic Total Gross: $99,967,670 Distributor: Buena Vista Release Date:February 11, 2011 Genre: Animation Runtime: 1 hrs. 24 min. MPAA Rating: G Production Budget: N/A

[superduperm]

That's a great number for the Apes. I hope it can three-peat.

Would be awesome, but I'm sure either Lucy or Hercules will open above $18M (the ceiling for Apes' third weekend).

[Sam]

Would be awesome, but I'm sure either Lucy or Hercules will open above $18M (the ceiling for Apes' third weekend).

Lol, I know, just saying that for the sake of it

[CJohn]

Would be awesome, but I'm sure either Lucy or Hercules will open above $18M (the ceiling for Apes' third weekend).

So you think Apes is gonna drop another 50%? Nah, that ain't happening. I still think Lucy should get a easy victory, tho.