Weekend Estimates: GotG 17.6m | TMNT 16.8m | If I Stay 16.4m | WGST 9.0m | Sin City 6.5m

[Kvikk Lunsj]

No seriously, what?Following EX3's legs, it's going for around $8 million this weekend.

I can see this being very front loaded too.

[CJohn]

If If I Stay follows The Giver it will do around 18M this weekend. 

[CJohn]

No seriously, what?Following EX3's legs, it's going for around $8 million this weekend.

Doesn't surprise all that much, honestly. 

[baumer]

I'd like to know how you guys can get any kind of read from any of these numbers.  How does a 1.1 mill preview number translate into a 20-25 mill weekend?

[DeeCee]

It's the vibe.

[eXtacy]

Its a reasonable estimate

[filmlover]

So Sin City 2 is looking at an opening of around $8M for the whole weekend? That, my friends, is the definition of an epic fail.

[Ezen Baklattan]

I'd like to know how you guys can get any kind of read from any of these numbers.  How does a 1.1 mill preview number translate into a 20-25 mill weekend?

The same way people use Friday numbers to predict weekends. It's all in the extrapolation, but the farther out we go, the less reliable our predictions may seem.

[filmlover]

Sin City 2 is barely gonna make more than The Spirit. The Spirit! Embarrassing.

[baumer]

Its a reasonable estimate

 

I agree, it's a reasonable estimate, but why does the 1.1 million make you estimate that?  Did you use another movie as a barometer?  I'm not asking to be facetious, asking cause I am curious.  I have no clue how to read that number.

[BenedictL11]

If If I Stay follows The Giver it will do around 18M this weekend. 

That's what I"m predicting too. It will be frontloaded because of the book fanbase but as long as it does $7.5M+ OD, it should be a lock for #1 this weekend.

[eXtacy]

I agree, it's a reasonable estimate, but why does the 1.1 million make you estimate that?  Did you use another movie as a barometer?  I'm not asking to be facetious, asking cause I am curious.  I have no clue how to read that number.

 

I based it on last weekend numbers and added in the fact summer is winding down so weekends a little stronger and in the fact this is not sequel

Edited August 22, 2014 by eXtacy

[Ezen Baklattan]

I agree, it's a reasonable estimate, but why does the 1.1 million make you estimate that?  Did you use another movie as a barometer?  I'm not asking to be facetious, asking cause I am curious.  I have no clue how to read that number.

Yeah, I tend to use other movies frequently as barometers, be it of movies with similar dates/subject matter. The two have to go together as well. Sex Tape and The Giver, both of which seem somewhat similar in audiences (If I Stay seems like the inbetween region), and it seems to be falling a little between the two in terms of weekend spread. High teens seems about right.

[eXtacy]

Movieticket Trends

 

1. If I Stay 29%

2. Guardians 10%

3. Sin City 2 8%

4. Roaring Currents 7%

5. Game Stands 7%

[Ezen Baklattan]

I wonder if church groups are ordering tickets to WTGST. It's being produced by Affirm Films, which tends to make a lot of films with Evangelical Christian ideals (Heaven Is For Real, Soul Surfer, Mom's Night Out, etc.)

[grey ghost]

Looks like fanboys didn't come out to support Sin City 2.I guess Rodriguez waited too long to make a sequel.You gotta strike the iron while it's hot.

[kitik]

So LBC might finish 4th, ahead of 2 of the new openers?

[Samarus]

Looks like Sin City 2 will bomb hard.

I hope they didn't spend too much money on it :DDo anyone no what the budget for it is?

[Fancyarcher]

I wonder if church groups are ordering tickets to WTGST. It's being produced by Affirm Films, which tends to make a lot of films with Evangelical Christian ideals (Heaven Is For Real, Soul Surfer, Mom's Night Out, etc.)

 

I imagine the inspirational cliche styled trailer also helps for some people.

Edited August 22, 2014 by Pokearcher

[grey ghost]

Eva Green doesn't have much pull.I was hoping she would be the next ScarJo.