Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

[That One Girl]

1 hour ago, Hunch said:

Updated prediction after 86% certified fresh reviews: $108M

 

 

 

You updated your prediction to be $11M higher after the completely expected and not surprising good reception?

[Hunch]

1 hour ago, That One Guy said:

 

You updated your prediction to be $11M higher after the completely expected and not surprising good reception?

I thought it would get around a 60%, it looks basic as hell to me. A high 80s score is enough to create hype by itself and convince people on the fence. 

Edited March 5, 2019 by Hunch

[HenryK81]

22 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

You updated your prediction to be $11M higher after the completely expected and not surprising good reception?

He did up his prediction, tbh. He was very pessimistic in the other thread with his CM posts.

Edited March 6, 2019 by HenryK81

[Blankments]

On 2/27/2019 at 12:22 PM, Blankments said:

Everybody Knows, Ralph Breaks the Internet, The Kid Who Would Be King, The Wife, and Escape Room are gone.

Saint Judy, Sonchiriya, Beers of Joy, Prosecuting Evil, Run the Race, We Die Young, Born To Be Wild, Hubble, and Mary Poppins Returns are gone.

 

Captain Marvel - 138/3/78/4/15/18 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX) total 256 (debut)

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - 65/9 (2D/3D) total 74 (down 56)

Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - 71 (down 14)

Alita: Battle Angel - 52/5 (2D/3D) total 57 (down 8)

Greta - 52 (down 13)

Fighting With My Family - 39 (down 14)

The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - 33/2 (2D/3D) total 35

Green Book - 34 (down 10)

Isn't It Romantic - 32 (down 17)

Apollo 11 - 21 (up 11)

A Star is Born - 16 (up 6)

The Kid - 15 (debut)

What Men Want - 15 (down 21)

Everybody Knows Subbed - 12 (return)

Happy Death Day 2U - 11 (down 22)

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 11 (down 9)

Gully Boy Subbed - 10 (up 1)

Bohemian Rhapsody - 9 (down 8)

Total Dhamaal Subbed - 8 (down 2)

Climax - 6 (debut)

Furie Subbed - 6 (debut)

The Prodigy - 6 (down 8)

Badla Subbed - 5 (debut)

Cliffs of Freedom - 5 (debut)

Cold Pursuit - 5 (down 13)

Glass - 5 (down 3)

The Wedding Guest - 5 (debut)

Extreme Job Subtitled - 4 (no change)

Luka Chuppl Subbed - 4 (down 1)

The Favourite - 3 (down 8)

The Upside - 3 (down 10)

Arctic - 2 (down 8)

They Shall Not Grow Old - 2 (down 5)

Miss Bala - 1 (down 6)

Wandering Earth Subbed - 1 (down 4)

[filmlover]

Wonder Park: $14M

Five Feet Apart: $11M

Captive State: $3M

[Maxmoser3]

Five Feet Apart: $10 million

Wonder Park: $9 million

Captive State: $2 million 

[Impact]

I wonder what will replace Captain Marvel at number one? Probably Dumbo. Unless if there is something I don't know about in the next few weeks.

[boxofficeth]

I am rooting for Us to follow the footstep of AQP. 50+M could open. In its 3rd wknd, CM should do another 40M. That would put CM's crown at the BO in jeopardy.

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, Impact said:

I wonder what will replace Captain Marvel at number one? Probably Dumbo. Unless if there is something I don't know about in the next few weeks.

Us will in less than two weeks.

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

MARCH 15-17:

 

1. Captain Marvel - 72.4 / 268.8

2. Wonder Park - 10.3

3. Five Feet Apart - 8.4

4. How To Train Your Dragon 3 - 7.8 / 132.9

5. Madea Family Funeral - 5.5 / 55.8

6. No Manches Frida 2 - 3.4

7. The Lego Movie 2 - 2.1 / 101.0

8. Captive State - 2.0

9. Green Book - 1.5 / 82.6

10. Alita - 1.5 / 81.1

11. Isn't it Romantic - 1.1 / 46.0

12. Greta - 0.9 / 10.1

 

 

[Krissykins]

Never heard of Five Feet Apart. 

 

Wonder Park will absolutely tank, by animation standards. 

[Impact]

Well I have not been paying attention to anything other then the major films.

You know for a animated film by a major studio, Wonder Park really isn't being advertised. (I guess at least-from the sound of it)

[Ezen Baklattan]

1. Captain Marvel - $71.4m

2. Wonder Park - $13.2m

3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - $9.4m

4. Five Feet Apart - $8.3m

5. Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - $6.8m

6. Captive State - $3.3m

7. The LEGO Movie: The Second Part - $2.3m

8. Alita: Battle Angel - $1.9m

9. No Manches Frida 2 - $1.6m

10. Green Book - $1.4m

[Blankments]

On 3/6/2019 at 8:11 PM, Blankments said:

Saint Judy, Sonchiriya, Beers of Joy, Prosecuting Evil, Run the Race, We Die Young, Born To Be Wild, Hubble, and Mary Poppins Returns are gone.

Bohemian Rhapsody, Total Dhamaal, Cold Pursuit, Glass, The Wedding Guest, Luka Chuppl, The Favourite, Arctic, They Shall Not Grow Old, Miss Bala and Wandering Earth are gone.

 

Captain Marvel - 145/3/58/4/14/18 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX) total 242 (down 14)

Wonder Park - 55/25 (2D/3D) total 80 (debut)

Five Feet Apart - 65 (debut)

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - 55/3 (2D/3D) total 58 (down 16)

Captive State - 57 (debut)

Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral - 44 (down 27)

No Manches Frida 2 Subbed - 39 (debut)

Nancy Drew and the Hidden Staircase - 34 (debut)

The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part - 21 (down 14)

Alita: Battle Angel - 16/4 (2D/3D) total 20 (down 37)

Isn't It Romantic - 19 (down 13)

Fighting With My Family - 17 (down 22)

Green Book - 17 (down 17)

Apollo 11 - 16 (down 5)

Gloria Bell - 12 (debut)

The Upside - 11 (up 8)

Greta - 8 (down 49)

Climax - 6 (no change)

The Crossing Subbed - 6 (debut)

Furie Subbed - 6 (no change)

Giant Little Ones - 6 (debut)

Everybody Knows Subbed - 5 (down 7)

Happy Death Day 2U - 5 (down 6)

The Kid - 5 (down 10)

More Than Blue Subbed - 5 (debut)

A Star is Born - 4 (down 12)

Badla Subbed - 4 (down 1)

Chaal Jeevi Laiye - 4 (debut)

Stan and Ollie - 4 (return)

What Men Want - 4 (down 11)

Extreme Job Subtitled - 3 (down 1)

The Prodigy - 3 (down 3)

Cliffs of Freedom - 2 (down 3)

Finding Steve McQueen - 2 (debut)

Gully Boy Subbed - 2 (down 8)

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - 2 (down 9)

Yardie - 2 (debut)

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

MARCH 15-17:

 

1. Captain Marvel - 68.5 / 265.4

2. Wonder Park - 11.2

3. Five Feet Apart - 8.4

4. How To Train Your Dragon 3 - 7.8 / 134.1

5. Madea Family Funeral - 5.5 / 56.6

6. No Manches Frida 2 - 3.4

7. Captive State - 2.3

8. The Lego Movie 2 - 2.1 / 101.3

9. Green Book - 1.5 / 82.9

10. Alita - 1.5 / 81.4

11. Isn't it Romantic - 1.1 / 46.2

12. Greta - 0.9 / 10.2

 

MARCH 22-24:

 

1. Us - 44.6

2. Captain Marvel - 33.7 / 317.4

3. Wonder Park - 7.2 / 21.1

4. How to Train Your Dragon 3 - 5.2 / 141.8

5. Five Feet Apart - 4.7 / 15.0

6. Madea Family Funeral - 2.7 / 61.1

7. No Manches Frida 2 - 1.4 / 5.6

8. The Lego Movie 2 - 1.1 / 103.1

9. Captive State - 0.9 / 3.8

10. Apollo 11 - 0.8 / 6.9

11. Green Book - 0.8 / 84.2

12. Alita - 0.7 / 82.6

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

3/22-3/24

1. Us: $46 million
2. Captain Marvel: $38 million ($331 million) 
3. Wonder Park: $12 million ($37 million) 
4. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $8 million ($150 million) 
5. Five Feet Apart: $7.5 million ($26 million) 
6. A Madea Family Funeral: $5 million ($67 million) 
7. No Manchas Fridas 2: $2 million ($7 million) 
8. Captive State: $1.5 million ($5 million) 
9. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $1.5 million ($104 million) 
10. Alita - Battle Angel: $1.25 million ($84 million) 

3/29-3/31

1. Dumbo: $58.5 million 
2. Us: $29 million ($94 million) 
3. Captain Marvel: $24.5 million ($372 million) 
4. Wonder Park: $6.5 million ($49 million) 
5. Five Feet Apart: $5 million ($34 million) 
6. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $3.5 million ($157 million) 
7. A Madea Family Funeral: $3 million ($72 million) 
8. Unplanned: $2 million 
9. No Manchas Fridas 2: $1.25 million ($9 million)
10. The LEGO Movie - The Second Part: $1 million ($106 million) 

4/5-4/7

1. Shazam!: $61 million
2. Dumbo: $31 million ($106 million) 
3. Pet Sematary: $23.5 million
4. Us: $18.5 million ($123 million) 
5. Captain Marvel: $10 million ($391 million)
6. The Best of Enemies: $7 million 
7. Wonder Park: $4 million ($55 million) 
8. Five Feet Apart: $3 million ($39 million) 
9. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $2 million ($160 million) 
10. A Madea Family Funeral: $2 million ($75 million) 

4/12-4/14

1. Shazam!: $28 million ($103 million)
2. Dumbo: $20 million ($133 million)
3. Hellboy: $18 million
4. Little: $16 million 
5. Us: $10 million ($138 million)
6. Pet Sematary: $8.5 million ($36 million)
7. Missing Link: $7 million 
8. Captain Marvel: $6 million ($400 million)
9. The Best of Enemies: $3 million ($11 million)
10. After: $2.5 million 

4/19-4/21

1. The Curse of La Llorona: $20.5 million
2. Breakthrough: $20 million ($29 million)
3. Shazam!: $19 million ($132 million)
4. Dumbo: $13.5 million ($152 million)
5. Little: $10 million ($31 million)
6. Hellboy: $8 million ($30 million)
7. Penguins: $6 million ($9 million)
8. Us: $4.5 million ($145 million)
9. Captain Marvel: $4 million ($406 million)
10. Missing Link: $4 million ($13 million)

4/26-4/28

1. Avengers - Endgame: $302.5 million
2. Breakthrough: $11 million ($44 million) 
3. Dumbo: $7.5 million ($162 million)
4. The Curse of La Llorona: $6.5 million ($31 million) 
5. Shazam!: $6 million ($144 million)
6. Little: $4 million ($38 million)
7. Captain Marvel: $3.5 million ($412 million)
8. Penguins: $3 million ($15 million)
9. Hellboy: $2.5 million ($35 million) 
10. Us: $1.5 million ($147 million) 

5/3-5/5

1. Avengers - Endgame: $129 million ($506 million) 
2. Long Shot: $21 million
3. The Intruder: $12 million
4. Uglydolls: $8.5 million 
5. Breakthrough: $8 million ($55 million) 
6. Dumbo: $4.5 million ($167 million) 
7. Shazam: $4 million ($150 million)
8. The Curse of La Llorona: $3.5 million ($36 million)
9. Captain Marvel: $3 million ($417 million)
10. Little: $2 million ($41 million)

5/10-5/12

1. Avengers - Endgame: $68.5 million ($611 million) 
2. Detective Pikachu: $67 million
3. The Hustle: $24.5 million 
4. Long Shot: $12 million ($39 million)
5. Poms: $8 million 
6. The Intruder: $4.5 million ($19 million) 
7. Breakthrough: $4 million ($61 million)
8. Uglydolls: $4 million ($14 million)
9. Dumbo: $2.5 million ($170 million)
10. Shazam: $2.5 million ($154 million)
11. Captain Marvel: $2 million ($420 million)
12. All is True: $2 million

5/17-5/19

1. Avengers - Endgame: $42 million ($676 million) 
2. Detective Pikachu: $40 million ($120 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellium: $37 million
4. The Hustle: $16 million ($48 million) 
5. The Sun is Also a Star: $11 million
6. A Dog's Journey: $9 million 
7. Long Shot: $7 million ($50 million) 
8. Poms: $5.5 million ($16 million) 
9. Uglydolls: $3 million ($18 million) 
10. The Intruder: $2 million ($22 million)

5/24-5/26

1. Aladdin: $41 million/$55 million
2. Detective Pikachu: $25.5 million/$33 million ($161 million) 
3. Avengers - Endgame: $25 million/$31.5 million ($720 million) 
4. AD Astra: $24 million/$30 million 
5. John Wick - Parabellium: $21 million/$26 million ($74 million) 
6. Brightburn: $15 million/$18.5 million 
7. The Hustle: $11 million/$14 million ($68 million) 
8. Booksmart: $7 million/$8.5 million
9. The Sun is Also a Star: $6.5 million/$7.75 million ($22 million)
10. A Dog's Journey: $6 million/$7.75 million ($18 million) 
11. Long Shot: $5 million/$6.25 million ($58 million) 
12. Poms: $4 million/$5 million ($23 million) 

 

[filmlover]

Us: $48M

[That One Girl]

Us - 85M

[DAJK]

Us - $51M

 

Dumbo - $60M

 

Shazam - $66M

Pet Semetery - $24.5M

 

Hellboy - $14.6M

 

La Llorona - $16.2M

 

Endgame - $276M

 

Uglydolls - $11.5M (if Wonder Park can do 18...)

Long Shot - $14M

 

Pikachu - $100M

 

John Wick - $41M

Dog's Journey - $15M

 

Aladdin - $79/94M

 

Ma - $19M

Rocketman - $39M

Godzilla - $94M

 

Dark Phoenix - $43M

Pets 2 - $94M

 

Men In Black - $47M

[stripe]

Us – 65M

CM – 38.5M

WP – 9M

FFA – 7M

HTTYD3 – 6M

Madea – 4M

Frida2 – 2M

Lego2 – 1.5M

CS – 1M

Alita – 1M

 

Top 10 - 135M