Weekend Prediction thread 5/24-5/26 Play the Derby

[Julianjunja]

Endgame 303

idc about the other movies tbh

[JB33]

5 hours ago, cdsacken said:

Spoiler post is deleted on main Avengers End Game thread from page 573. However several viewed (I missed it by 5 seconds). Be advised if you are truly concerned about spoilers I'm not sure any thread is safe from trolls so be careful.

Who was the culprit? Good thing I missed it.

[JB33]

This is my first stab at predicting a weekend top 12. Would be helpful if more experienced folks let me know if it's realistic/reasonable.

 

April 26-28, 2019

Avengers: Endgame

$302.51M

The Curse of La Llorona

$9.49M

Captain Marvel

$8.65M

Shazam!

$7.41M

Breakthrough

$5.42M

Dumbo (2019)

$4.63M

Little

3.33M

Missing Link

1.46M

Pet Sematary (2019)

1.36M

Hellboy (2019)

$948K

Penguins (Disneynature)

$822K

After (2019)

$715K

 

Top 12 total: $346,745,000

Avengers: Endgame weekend share: 87.2% *Would be a new record

 

[DAJK]

so... this will be the biggest difference between #1 and #2 then?

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

5/3-5/5

1. Avengers - Endgame: $152 million ($605 million)
2. The Intruder: $14 million
3. Long Shot: $13 million 
4. Captain Marvel: $7.5 million ($425 million) 
5. Uglydolls: $7 million
6. Breakthrough: $5.5 million ($35 million) 
7. The Curse of La Llorona: $4.5 million ($48 million) 
8. Shazam!: $4.25 million ($137 million) 
9. Little: $2.25 million ($39 million) 
10. Dumbo: $2 million ($109 million)

5/10-5/12

1. Detective Pikachu: $89 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $79 million ($726 million) 
3. Poms: $11 million 
4. The Hustle: $9 million 
5. Long Shot: $8.5 million ($26 million) 
6. Captain Marvel: $7 million ($435 million) 
7. The Intruder: $5.5 million ($22 million) 
8. Breakthrough: $4.5 million ($42 million) 
9. Uglydolls: $4 million ($12 million) 
10. Shazam!: $3.25 million ($142 million) 

5/17-5/19

1. Avengers - Endgame: $48 million ($799 million) 
2. Detective Pikachu: $42 million ($148 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellum: $37 million 
4. A Dog's Journey: $12 million 
5. The Sun is Also a Star: $11.5 million 
6. Poms: $7 million ($21 million) 
7. Long Shot: $5 million ($33 million)
8. The Hustle: $5 million ($16 million)
9. Captain Marvel: $4.5 million ($442 million) 
10. Breakthrough: $3 million ($46 million)

5/24-5/27

1. Aladdin: $57 million/$73 million 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $34.5 million/$43 million ($860 million) 
3. Detective Pikachu: $28 million/$35 million ($193 million) 
4. John Wick - Parabellum: $22.5 million/$27 million ($75 million) 
5. AD Astra: $15.5 million/$18.5 million 
6. Brightburn: $14 million/$16.5 million
7. A Dog's Journey: $8 million/$10.5 million ($25 million) 
8. The Sun is Also a Star: $7 million/$8.5 million ($23 million) 
9. Poms: $5 million/$6.25 million ($29 million) 
10. Long Shot: $3 million/$3.75 million ($38 million) 

 

[filmlover]

Long Shot: $14M

The Intruder: $12M

UglyDolls: $12M

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

MAY 3/5:

 

1. "Avengers - Endgame" - 151.5 / 601.7
2. "The Intruder" - 13.2
3. "Long Shot" - 11.8
4. "Uglydolls" - 8.8
5. "Captain Marvel" - 6.3 / 423.7
6. "Breakthrough" - 4.3 / 33.0
7. "The Curse of La Llorona" - 4.0 / 48.3
8. "Shazam!" - 3.3 / 137.1 
9. "Dumbo" - 2.3 / 111.6
10. "Little" - 2.0 / 39.3
11. "Penguins" -0.9 / 7.8
12. "Us" - 0.7 / 174.3

MAY 10-12:

1. "Detective Pikachu" - 77.5
2.  "Avengers - Endgame" - 76.2 / 725.2
3. "Poms" - 10.6
4. "The Hustle" - 9.3
5. "Long Shot" - 7.8 / 24.3
6. "The Intruder" - 5.5 / 22.8
7. "Captain Marvel" - 4.3 / 430.4
8. "Uglydolls" - 4.2 / 16.0
9. "Breaktrough" - 2.7 / 37.4
10. "Shazam!" - 1.8 / 140.3
11. "The Curse of La Llorona" - 1.7 / 51.4
12. "Dumbo" - 1.3 / 113.8

MAY 17-19:

1. "Avengers - Endgame" - 39.6 / 788.1
2. "Detective Pikachu" - 38.0 / 139.6
3. "John Wick - Parabellum" - 35.5
4. "The Sun is Also a Star" - 12.2
5. "A Dog's Journey" - 10.1
6. "Poms" - 7.0 / 21.8
7. "Long Shot" - 5.0 / 32.1
8. "The Hustle" - 4.8 / 17.2
9. "Captain Marvel" - 3.0 / 435.2
10. "The Intruder" - 2.5 / 27.3
11. "Uglydolls" - 2.2 / 19.8
12. "Breaktrough" - 1.5 / 40.0

MAY 24-26 (3 day weekend):

1. "Aladdin" - 75.3
2. "Avengers - Endgame" - 25.3 / 826.0
3. "Detective Pikachu:" - 22.4 / 174.1
4. "John Wick - Parabellum" - 19.1 / 66.5
5. "Ad Atra" (if it's still happening) - 13.3
6. "Brightburn" - 12.5
7. "The Sun is Also a Star" - 7.4 / 24.6
8. "A Dog's Journey"- 6.5 / 21.1
9. "Poms" - 5.0 / 29.8
10. "Long Shot" - 3.3 / 37.6
11. "The Hustle" - 2.8 / 22.0
12. "Captain Marvel" - 2.0 / 438.5

[Maxmoser3]

Intruder: $15 million 

Long Shot: $13.5 million 

Uglydolls: $10.7 million 

[Ezen Baklattan]

Avengers: Endgame - $152.7m

The Intruder - $13.5m

Uglydolls - $12.6m

Long Shot - $11.4m

Captain Marvel - $5.7m

Breakthrough - $4.3m

Shazam - $4m

The Curse of La Llorona - $3.9m

Dumbo - $2.3m

Little - $2.2m

 

[CloneWars]

I'm expecting a big drop because I think there was a huge rush to see this to avoid spoilers.

 

Endgame-$135M

Everything else, I don't care.

[stripe]

EG - 160M (-54% drop from estimates, but I am sure actuals will be higher)

Longshot - 14M

Intruder - 12M

Uglydolls - 11M

CM - 5.5M

Breakthrough - 4M

La Llorona - 4M

Shazam! - 3.5M

Little - 2M

Dumbo - 2M

 

Top 10 - 218M

 

 

[stripe]

32 minutes ago, CloneWars said:

I'm expecting a big drop because I think there was a huge rush to see this to avoid spoilers.

 

Endgame-$135M

Everything else, I don't care.

 

-62%? That would be a harsh drop...

[Tinalera]

Endgame 125

Ugly dolls 8.9

Shazam 3.5

[Blankments]

On 4/24/2019 at 7:12 PM, Blankments said:

Thanos snaps his fingers and removes nearly half the films from theaters. Stuck, Teen Spirit, Revival!, Wonder Park, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, The Best of Enemies, Peterloo, They Shall Not Grow Old, Lucifer, Unplanned and The Mustang are gone.

Kalank, Hellboy, Stockholm, No Manches Frida 2, High Life, J.T. Leroy and After are gone.

 

Avengers: Endgame - 159/4/81/4/19/11/5/3 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX/IMAX 3D/Spanish) total 284 (down 100)

The Intruder - 71 (debut)

Uglydolls - 69 (debut)

Long Shot - 66 (debut)

Captain Marvel - 54 (up 2)

The Curse of La Llorona - 53 (down 31)

Shazam! - 40 (down 21)

Breakthrough - 37 (down 15)

El Chicano - 33 (debut)

Little - 20 (down 30)

Bolden - 16 (debut)

Penguins - 14 (down 20)

Missing Link - 13 (down 13)

Pet Sematary - 12 (down 5)

Red Joan - 9 (up 4)

Us - 9 (down 17)

Dumbo - 7 (down 28)

Always Miss You Subbed - 5 (debut)

Amazing Grace - 5 (down 1)

Savage Subbed - 5 (debut)

The White Crow - 5 (debut)

Hotel Mumbai - 4 (down 3)

Five Feet Apart - 3 (down 3)

Family - 2 (down 21)

[MCKillswitch123]

@CloneWars I think the same thing could be said for what happened with Infinity War last year, and IW - even though its 2nd Saturday was deflated by some festivities that I don't remember - dropped only 55/56% or something.

 

And EG has been tracking similarly to IW when it comes to day-by-day drops, even having better Monday and Wednesday holds. I doubt it drops worse than 60%.

[NannerManCan]

Endgame 178M 

Fri 53, Sat 70, Sun 55

Captain Marvel 4.2M

[JB33]

May 3-5, 2019

Avengers: Endgame | $160.10M

Long Shot | $15.18M

The Intruder (2019) | $14.79M

UglyDolls | $6.79M

Captain Marvel | $5.11M

Breakthrough | $4.63M

The Curse of La Llorona | $4.02M

Shazam! | $3.63M

Little | $2.15M

Dumbo (2019) | $1.99M

El Chicano | $1.06M

Us | $705K

 

Top 12 total: $220.155M

Avengers: Endgame weekend share: 72.7%

[mahnamahna]

Spoiler

5/10-5/12

1. Detective Pikachu: $89.5 million 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $85 million ($761 million) 
3. Poms: $11 million
4. The Hustle: $10.5 million
5. Long Shot: $7.5 million ($22 million) 
6. Uglydolls: $6 million ($16 million)
7. The Intruder: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
8. Tolkien: $4 million 
9. Captain Marvel: $3 million ($425 million) 
10. Breakthrough: $3 million ($37 million) 

5/17-5/19

1. Avengers - Endgame: $52 million ($840 million) 
2. Detective Pikachu: $42 million ($148 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellum: $37.5 million
4. A Dog's Journey: $12.5 million
5. The Sun is Also a Star: $11.5 million
6. Poms: $8 million ($23 million) 
7. The Hustle: $5.5 million ($19 million) 
8. Long Shot: $4.5 million ($29 million) 
9. Uglydolls: $3.5 million ($21 million) 
10. Tolkien: $3 million ($7 million) 

5/24-5/27

1. Aladdin: $57 million/$73 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $35.5 million/$46 million ($903 million) 
3. Detective Pikachu: $25 million/$32 million ($189 million) 
4. John Wick - Parabellum: $22 million/$26 million ($75 million) 
5. AD Astra: $14.5 million/$17 million
6. Brightburn: $10 million/$11.25 million
7. A Dog's Journey: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($24 million) 
8. The Sun is Also a Star: $6.5 million/$8.25 million ($23 million) 
9. Poms: $6 million/$7.25 million ($33 million) 
10. Booksmart: $4.5 million/$5.25 million 

5/31-6/2

1. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $40.5 million 
2. Rocketman: $30.5 million
3. Ma: $25 million 
4. Aladdin: $23 million ($106 million) 
5. Avengers - Endgame: $15 million ($926 million) 
6. Detective Pikachu: $11 million ($204 million) 
7. John Wick - Parabellum: $9 million ($88 million) 
8. AD Astra: $5 million ($24 million) 
9. A Dog's Journey: $4.5 million ($31 million) 
10. Poms: $4 million ($39 million) 

6/7-6/9

1. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $76 million
2. Dark Phoenix: $29 million
3. Rocketman: $20 million ($66 million) 
4. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $14 million ($68 million) 
5. Ma: $11.5 million ($47 million) 
6. Aladdin: $10 million ($125 million) 
7. Avengers - Endgame: $8.5 million ($941 million) 
8. John Wick - Parabellum: $5 million ($96 million) 
9. Detective Pikachu: $4.5 million ($212 million) 
10. Poms: $3 million ($44 million) 

6/14-6/16

1. Men in Black International: $43 million
2. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $42.5 million ($148 million) 
3. Shaft: $38 million 
4. Rocketman: $13.5 million ($90 million) 
5. Dark Phoenix: $11 million ($50 million) 
6. Aladdin: $7.5 million ($139 million) 
7. Ma: $6.5 million ($59 million) 
8. Avengers - Endgame: $5.5 million ($952 million) 
9. Detective Pikachu: $3 million ($217 million) 
10. John Wick - Parabellum: $2 million ($100 million) 

6/21-6/23

1. Toy Story 4: $127 million 
2. Men in Black International: $20 million ($82 million) 
3. Shaft: $17 million ($70 million) 
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $16 million ($188 million) 
5. Child's Play: $13.5 million
6. Rocketman: $9 million ($106 million) 
7. Aladdin: $6 million ($150 million) 
8. Dark Phoenix: $5.25 million ($61 million) 
9. Avengers - Endgame: $4.75 million ($962 million) 
10. Ma: $2.5 million ($64 million) 

6/28-6/30

1. Toy Story 4: $66 million ($257 million)
2. Annabelle Come Home: $38.5 million 
3. Men in Black International: $12 million ($105 million)
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $11.5 million ($210 million) 
5. Shaft: $9 million ($87 million)
6. Yesterday: $7 million 
7. Rocketman: $6 million ($118 million)
8. Child's Play: $4 million ($21 million)
9. Aladdin: $4 million ($158 million) 
10. Avengers - Endgame: $3.5 million ($969 million) 

7/5-7/7

1. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $69.5 million ($180 million)
2. Toy Story 4: $37 million ($329 million)
3. Annabelle Come Home: $15 million ($69 million)
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $8 million ($226 million)
5. Men in Black International: $6.5 million ($119 million)
6. Avengers - Endgame: $6 million ($981 million) 
7. Midsommar: $5 million 
8. Shaft: $4.5 million ($96 million)
9. Rocketman: $4 million ($126 million)
10. Yesterday: $3.5 million ($14 million) 

7/12-7/14

1. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $44 million ($268 million) 
2. Toy Story 4: $23 million ($374 million)
3. Stuber: $20.5 million 
4. 21 Bridges: $11 million 
5. Crawl: $9 million 
6. Annabelle Come Home: $7 million ($84 million)
7. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $6 million ($238 million)
8. Avengers - Endgame: $4.5 million ($990 million) 
9. Men in Black International: $3.5 million ($126 million) 
10. Rocketman: $3 million ($132 million) 

7/19-7/21

1. The Lion King: $233.5 million
2. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $23.5 million ($318 million)
3. Toy Story 4: $11 million ($399 million) 
4. Stuber: $8.5 million ($38 million) 
5. 21 Bridges: $4.5 million ($20 million)
6. Crawl: $3.5 million ($16 million) 
7. Annabelle Come Home: $3 million ($91 million) 
8. Avengers - Endgame: $2.5 million ($996 million) 
9. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $2 million ($244 million) 
10. Men in Black International: $1.5 million ($129 million) 

7/26-7/28

1. The Lion King: $118 million ($475 million) 
2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $45.5 million
3. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $16.5 million ($351 million) 
4. Toy Story 4: $8 million ($415 million) 
5. The Boy 2: $7 million 
6. Stuber: $5 million ($48 million)
7. 21 Bridges: $2.5 million ($25 million)
8. Crawl: $2 million ($20 million)
9. Annabelle Come Home: $1.5 million ($94 million)
10. Avengers - Endgame: $1.5 million ($999 million) 

8/2-8/4

1. The Lion King: $67 million ($607 million) 
2. Hobbs and Shaw: $57 million
3. New Mutants: $21 million 
4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $18.5 million ($84 million) 
5. Dora and the Lost City of Gold: $12 million ($20 million)
6. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $9.5 million ($371 million) 
7. Toy Story 4: $4.5 million ($424 million) 
8. The Boy 2: $2.5 million ($12 million)
9. Stuber: $2 million ($53 million)
10. 21 Bridges: $1.5 million ($28 million)

8/9-8/11

1. The Lion King: $44 million ($691 million) 
2. Hobbs and Shaw: $24.5 million ($105 million) 
3. The Kitchen: $17.5 million 
4. Artemis Fowl: $13 million 
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $11 million ($104 million) 
6. New Mutants: $6.5 million ($34 million) 
7. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark: $6 million 
8. Dora and the Lost City of Gold: $6 million ($31 million) 
9. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $5.5 million ($382 million) 
10. Brian Banks: $3 million 

8/16-8/18

1. The Lion King: $25.5 million ($731 million) 
2. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $16 million ($24 million) 
3. Good Boys: $13 million 
4. Blinded by the Light: $11.5 million ($18 million) 
5. Hobbs and Shaw: $11 million ($123 million) 
6. 47 Meters Down - Uncaged: $6.5 million
7. The Kitchen: $6 million ($27 million) 
8. Artemis Fowl:  $5.5 million ($22 million) 
9. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $4.5 million ($112 million) 
10. Where You'd Go, Bernadette: $4 million 

8/23-8/25

1. The Lion King: $20 million ($758 million) 
2. Angel Has Fallen: $15 million
3. Overcomer: $11.5 million 
4. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $10.5 million ($38 million) 
5. Blinded by the Light: $8 million ($30 million) 
6. Good Boys: $7 million ($24 million) 
7. Hobbs and Shaw: $6 million ($133 million)
8. 47 Meters Down - Uncaged: $3.5 million ($12 million) 
9. Artemis Fowl: $3.5 million ($27 million) 
10. The Kitchen: $3 million ($31 million) 

8/30-9/2

1. The Lion King: $19.5 million/$27.5 million ($791 million) 
2. Playmobil - The Movie: $11.5 million/$14.5 million 
3. Overcomer: $11 million/$14.25 million ($30 million) 
4. Angel Has Fallen: $10 million/$12 million ($33 million) 
5. Blinded by the Light: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($44 million) 
6. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($49 million) 
7. Good Boys: $4.5 million/$5.75 million ($32 million) 
8. Hobbs and Shaw: $4 million/$5 million ($140 million) 
9. 47 Meters Down - Uncaged: $2 million/$2.5 million ($15 million)
10. Artemis Fowl: $2 million/$2.5 million ($30 million) 

 

[filmlover]

Pokémon: Detective Pikachu: $73M

The Hustle: $14M

Poms: $9M

[TMP]

Pika Pika - $52m

Hustle - $12m

Poms - $9m