Weekend Prediction thread 5/17-5/19 Play the Derby

[Maxmoser3]

Detective Pikachu: $50 million 

Hustle: $13 million

Poms: $10 million 

[Cappoedameron]

Detective Pikachu -75/80M

Hustle- 12M

Poms - 10 M

[boxofficeth]

On 5/4/2019 at 8:17 PM, mahnamahna said:

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5/10-5/12

1. Detective Pikachu: $89.5 million 
2. Avengers - Endgame: $85 million ($761 million) 
3. Poms: $11 million
4. The Hustle: $10.5 million
5. Long Shot: $7.5 million ($22 million) 
6. Uglydolls: $6 million ($16 million)
7. The Intruder: $4.5 million ($17 million) 
8. Tolkien: $4 million 
9. Captain Marvel: $3 million ($425 million) 
10. Breakthrough: $3 million ($37 million) 

5/17-5/19

1. Avengers - Endgame: $52 million ($840 million) 
2. Detective Pikachu: $42 million ($148 million) 
3. John Wick - Parabellum: $37.5 million
4. A Dog's Journey: $12.5 million
5. The Sun is Also a Star: $11.5 million
6. Poms: $8 million ($23 million) 
7. The Hustle: $5.5 million ($19 million) 
8. Long Shot: $4.5 million ($29 million) 
9. Uglydolls: $3.5 million ($21 million) 
10. Tolkien: $3 million ($7 million) 

5/24-5/27

1. Aladdin: $57 million/$73 million
2. Avengers - Endgame: $35.5 million/$46 million ($903 million) 
3. Detective Pikachu: $25 million/$32 million ($189 million) 
4. John Wick - Parabellum: $22 million/$26 million ($75 million) 
5. AD Astra: $14.5 million/$17 million
6. Brightburn: $10 million/$11.25 million
7. A Dog's Journey: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($24 million) 
8. The Sun is Also a Star: $6.5 million/$8.25 million ($23 million) 
9. Poms: $6 million/$7.25 million ($33 million) 
10. Booksmart: $4.5 million/$5.25 million 

5/31-6/2

1. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $40.5 million 
2. Rocketman: $30.5 million
3. Ma: $25 million 
4. Aladdin: $23 million ($106 million) 
5. Avengers - Endgame: $15 million ($926 million) 
6. Detective Pikachu: $11 million ($204 million) 
7. John Wick - Parabellum: $9 million ($88 million) 
8. AD Astra: $5 million ($24 million) 
9. A Dog's Journey: $4.5 million ($31 million) 
10. Poms: $4 million ($39 million) 

6/7-6/9

1. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $76 million
2. Dark Phoenix: $29 million
3. Rocketman: $20 million ($66 million) 
4. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $14 million ($68 million) 
5. Ma: $11.5 million ($47 million) 
6. Aladdin: $10 million ($125 million) 
7. Avengers - Endgame: $8.5 million ($941 million) 
8. John Wick - Parabellum: $5 million ($96 million) 
9. Detective Pikachu: $4.5 million ($212 million) 
10. Poms: $3 million ($44 million) 

6/14-6/16

1. Men in Black International: $43 million
2. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $42.5 million ($148 million) 
3. Shaft: $38 million 
4. Rocketman: $13.5 million ($90 million) 
5. Dark Phoenix: $11 million ($50 million) 
6. Aladdin: $7.5 million ($139 million) 
7. Ma: $6.5 million ($59 million) 
8. Avengers - Endgame: $5.5 million ($952 million) 
9. Detective Pikachu: $3 million ($217 million) 
10. John Wick - Parabellum: $2 million ($100 million) 

6/21-6/23

1. Toy Story 4: $127 million 
2. Men in Black International: $20 million ($82 million) 
3. Shaft: $17 million ($70 million) 
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $16 million ($188 million) 
5. Child's Play: $13.5 million
6. Rocketman: $9 million ($106 million) 
7. Aladdin: $6 million ($150 million) 
8. Dark Phoenix: $5.25 million ($61 million) 
9. Avengers - Endgame: $4.75 million ($962 million) 
10. Ma: $2.5 million ($64 million) 

6/28-6/30

1. Toy Story 4: $66 million ($257 million)
2. Annabelle Come Home: $38.5 million 
3. Men in Black International: $12 million ($105 million)
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $11.5 million ($210 million) 
5. Shaft: $9 million ($87 million)
6. Yesterday: $7 million 
7. Rocketman: $6 million ($118 million)
8. Child's Play: $4 million ($21 million)
9. Aladdin: $4 million ($158 million) 
10. Avengers - Endgame: $3.5 million ($969 million) 

7/5-7/7

1. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $69.5 million ($180 million)
2. Toy Story 4: $37 million ($329 million)
3. Annabelle Come Home: $15 million ($69 million)
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $8 million ($226 million)
5. Men in Black International: $6.5 million ($119 million)
6. Avengers - Endgame: $6 million ($981 million) 
7. Midsommar: $5 million 
8. Shaft: $4.5 million ($96 million)
9. Rocketman: $4 million ($126 million)
10. Yesterday: $3.5 million ($14 million) 

7/12-7/14

1. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $44 million ($268 million) 
2. Toy Story 4: $23 million ($374 million)
3. Stuber: $20.5 million 
4. 21 Bridges: $11 million 
5. Crawl: $9 million 
6. Annabelle Come Home: $7 million ($84 million)
7. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $6 million ($238 million)
8. Avengers - Endgame: $4.5 million ($990 million) 
9. Men in Black International: $3.5 million ($126 million) 
10. Rocketman: $3 million ($132 million) 

7/19-7/21

1. The Lion King: $233.5 million
2. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $23.5 million ($318 million)
3. Toy Story 4: $11 million ($399 million) 
4. Stuber: $8.5 million ($38 million) 
5. 21 Bridges: $4.5 million ($20 million)
6. Crawl: $3.5 million ($16 million) 
7. Annabelle Come Home: $3 million ($91 million) 
8. Avengers - Endgame: $2.5 million ($996 million) 
9. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $2 million ($244 million) 
10. Men in Black International: $1.5 million ($129 million) 

7/26-7/28

1. The Lion King: $118 million ($475 million) 
2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $45.5 million
3. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $16.5 million ($351 million) 
4. Toy Story 4: $8 million ($415 million) 
5. The Boy 2: $7 million 
6. Stuber: $5 million ($48 million)
7. 21 Bridges: $2.5 million ($25 million)
8. Crawl: $2 million ($20 million)
9. Annabelle Come Home: $1.5 million ($94 million)
10. Avengers - Endgame: $1.5 million ($999 million) 

8/2-8/4

1. The Lion King: $67 million ($607 million) 
2. Hobbs and Shaw: $57 million
3. New Mutants: $21 million 
4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $18.5 million ($84 million) 
5. Dora and the Lost City of Gold: $12 million ($20 million)
6. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $9.5 million ($371 million) 
7. Toy Story 4: $4.5 million ($424 million) 
8. The Boy 2: $2.5 million ($12 million)
9. Stuber: $2 million ($53 million)
10. 21 Bridges: $1.5 million ($28 million)

8/9-8/11

1. The Lion King: $44 million ($691 million) 
2. Hobbs and Shaw: $24.5 million ($105 million) 
3. The Kitchen: $17.5 million 
4. Artemis Fowl: $13 million 
5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $11 million ($104 million) 
6. New Mutants: $6.5 million ($34 million) 
7. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark: $6 million 
8. Dora and the Lost City of Gold: $6 million ($31 million) 
9. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $5.5 million ($382 million) 
10. Brian Banks: $3 million 

8/16-8/18

1. The Lion King: $25.5 million ($731 million) 
2. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $16 million ($24 million) 
3. Good Boys: $13 million 
4. Blinded by the Light: $11.5 million ($18 million) 
5. Hobbs and Shaw: $11 million ($123 million) 
6. 47 Meters Down - Uncaged: $6.5 million
7. The Kitchen: $6 million ($27 million) 
8. Artemis Fowl:  $5.5 million ($22 million) 
9. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $4.5 million ($112 million) 
10. Where You'd Go, Bernadette: $4 million 

8/23-8/25

1. The Lion King: $20 million ($758 million) 
2. Angel Has Fallen: $15 million
3. Overcomer: $11.5 million 
4. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $10.5 million ($38 million) 
5. Blinded by the Light: $8 million ($30 million) 
6. Good Boys: $7 million ($24 million) 
7. Hobbs and Shaw: $6 million ($133 million)
8. 47 Meters Down - Uncaged: $3.5 million ($12 million) 
9. Artemis Fowl: $3.5 million ($27 million) 
10. The Kitchen: $3 million ($31 million) 

8/30-9/2

1. The Lion King: $19.5 million/$27.5 million ($791 million) 
2. Playmobil - The Movie: $11.5 million/$14.5 million 
3. Overcomer: $11 million/$14.25 million ($30 million) 
4. Angel Has Fallen: $10 million/$12 million ($33 million) 
5. Blinded by the Light: $7.5 million/$9.5 million ($44 million) 
6. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $6.5 million/$8.5 million ($49 million) 
7. Good Boys: $4.5 million/$5.75 million ($32 million) 
8. Hobbs and Shaw: $4 million/$5 million ($140 million) 
9. 47 Meters Down - Uncaged: $2 million/$2.5 million ($15 million)
10. Artemis Fowl: $2 million/$2.5 million ($30 million) 

 

Great work as always. I love how you left us hanging as EG depart the Top 10 at 999 assuming it will find the way to cross 1B in the end! 

[boxofficeth]

And the Lion King stay no. 1 for 7 weeks until It: Chapter 2? 

 

Yes, count me right in!!

[Krissykins]

The Hustle is hard to predict...

 

Hot Pursuit, Life of the Party and Snatched are the comparisons considering release date (Mothers day weekend) 

 

But this is from UAR. Their only other release was a disaster, Missing Link. 

 

We don’t know if they can open a film, I wouldn’t be surprised with a mid single figures opening. 

[That One Girl]

6 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

The Hustle is hard to predict...

 

Hot Pursuit, Life of the Party and Snatched are the comparisons considering release date (Mothers day weekend) 

 

But this is from UAR. Their only other release was a disaster, Missing Link. 

  

We don’t know if they can open a film, I wouldn’t be surprised with a mid single figures opening. 

 

United Artists is just Annapurna/MGM's joint distribution label

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

The Hustle is hard to predict...

 

Hot Pursuit, Life of the Party and Snatched are the comparisons considering release date (Mothers day weekend) 

 

But this is from UAR. Their only other release was a disaster, Missing Link. 

 

We don’t know if they can open a film, I wouldn’t be surprised with a mid single figures opening. 

It feels like it's being dumped tbh.

[Krissykins]

5 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

United Artists is just Annapurna/MGM's joint distribution label

Um.... Yes that’s correct

[Cappoedameron]

Pikachu 80 

Endgame 74

Hustle 15

Poms 9

Edited May 6, 2019 by Cappoedameron

[Tentatek]

Pikachu 120 - 140

Hustle 10

Poms 6

 

and that’s on that 💃

[cdsacken]

5 minutes ago, Tentatek said:

Pikachu 120 - 140

Hustle 10

Poms 6

 

and that’s on that 💃

Same just cut Pika in half

[filmlover]

I think Mother's Day weekend will prevent Poms from sinking too low but I doubt it overperforms either. Book Club definitely had a lot more going for it.

[DAJK]

Pikachu - $65M

Endgame - $72M

Hustle - $8M

Poms - $9M

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

MAY 10-12:

1. "Avengers - Endgame" - 66.3 / 737.1
2. "Detective Pikachu" - 62.5
3. "The Hustle" - 12.1
4. "Poms" - 8.3
5. "Long Shot" - 6.4 / 18.9
6. "The Intruder" - 4.6 / 18.4
7. "Uglydolls" - 3.9 / 14.8
8. "Tolkien" - 2.8
9. "Captain Marvel" - 2.4 / 424.5
10. "Breakthrough" - 2.2 / 36.7
11. "The Curse of la Llorona" - 1.5 / 51.0
12. "Shazam!" - 1.1 / 137.3

 

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

And I can see "John Wick 3", "Avengers" and "Detective Pikachu" fighting for #1 spot next week with all three movies making around 34-38 million $.

[DAJK]

I'm more excited for Dog's Way Home than John Wick 3 to be completely honest, even though it'll be lucky to open to a quarter of JW's opening

 

Wick's doing 50+ I can feel it. These movies have caught on BIG time, and it's great to see Keanu have another starring franchise this late in his career.

Similarly, I don't see Dog's way Home opening under Dog's Journey; the connection to its predecessor seems enough to spark some interest at least. 

[JB33]

2 hours ago, DAJK said:

I'm more excited for Dog's Way Home than John Wick 3 to be completely honest, even though it'll be lucky to open to a quarter of JW's opening

 

Wick's doing 50+ I can feel it. These movies have caught on BIG time, and it's great to see Keanu have another starring franchise this late in his career.

Similarly, I don't see Dog's way Home opening under Dog's Journey; the connection to its predecessor seems enough to spark some interest at least. 

It'll be interesting to see if JW3 adds another dimension to the audience for Hobbs & Shaw. If JW3 is a huge crowd pleaser you can bet more people than normal will show up in August for H&S to see Keanu kick more ass!

[SpiderByte]

Pikachu COULD over perform but no tracking really indicates so. If it's over Endgame this weekend it'll be by a thin margin, like 1-2 million.

Edited May 7, 2019 by SpiderByte

[cdsacken]

16 hours ago, Viktor Vilotijevic said:

And I can see "John Wick 3", "Avengers" and "Detective Pikachu" fighting for #1 spot next week with all three movies making around 34-38 million $.

Nah. JW3 will do 50ish I bet.

 

Also 66 for EG is nearly impossible unless DP overperforms greatly like 80+. Otherwise 70+

Edited May 7, 2019 by cdsacken

[keysersoze123]

John Wick 3 will easily win next weekend. Who finishes 2nd depends on this weekend.