Jump to content

Donald

NEW YEARS DAY BOXOFFICE

Recommended Posts





Pretty crap increases.

When do we get actuals for Hobbit's christmas holiday numbers? BOM says all it's grosses from December 24th are still estimates.

Never! It's true box office will remain one of hollywood's greatest mysteries!

But seriously, I think Monday....

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Hard to get a real read on these weekday numbers since the holiday dates shift every year. Not sure how people are coming to a conclusion on them, one way or another

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I had hoped for over $10m but whether it's good or bad depends on friday's gross. If it drops minimally that's okay, if it drops similarly to ROTK we would have a rather steep weekend drop.

Considering Hobbit 3 is overall smaller than ROTK (in total gross and weekend gross)... I'm expecting a 30-35% drop this weekend.

 

I know it's not popular to expect that from a tentpole, but why not? On Jan 2-4, everything dropped less than 40% for the week (at least the major releases) 

 

$26 million ($225 million) 

$16.5 million ($250 million)

$10 million/$12.5 million ($268 million)

$6 million ($276 million)

$3.5 million ($281 million)

$2 million ($284 million)

$289 million DOM total

 

Of course, $290 million DOM might be a bit too ambitious. I don't know... I just see this holding better than all Middle Earth-related films except FOTR. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



That's like +52% or so for ITW... increases are definitely a bit muted compared to 2008.

If anything, it means Friday numbers will show increases. Jan 2, 2009 had everything decrease.

 

But since Jan 1, 2009 had huge increases while Jan 1, 2015 had mediocre increases, it wouldn't be crazy to assume there'll be increases tomorrow.

 

30-50% ones, but increases nonetheless. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hard to get a real read on these weekday numbers since the holiday dates shift every year. Not sure how people are coming to a conclusion on them, one way or another

 

Especially as nearly all numbers are rather... estimated.

Wouldn't be the first time those are not 'correct', or? So why bother to do calculations, if the possibility of inaccuracy is existing? 

 

I hope for some real numbers at Monday evening (my local time). That includes an update for DVD/Blu-Ray sales details.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites





Considering Hobbit 3 is overall smaller than ROTK (in total gross and weekend gross)... I'm expecting a 30-35% drop this weekend.

 

I know it's not popular to expect that from a tentpole, but why not? On Jan 2-4, everything dropped less than 40% for the week (at least the major releases) 

 

$26 million ($225 million) 

$16.5 million ($250 million)

$10 million/$12.5 million ($268 million)

$6 million ($276 million)

$3.5 million ($281 million)

$2 million ($284 million)

$289 million DOM total

 

Of course, $290 million DOM might be a bit too ambitious. I don't know... I just see this holding better than all Middle Earth-related films except FOTR. 

 

That seems rather optimistic.  Nothing so far in audience reception would indicate better legs than it's Middle-Earth brethren and unlike ROTK and the films from the LOTR trilogy it does not have any awards legs in it's future.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Here’s the top three with more numbers and analysis to come:

1). The Hobbit: The Battle Of The Five Armies (WB), 3,875 theaters /$9.33M Thurs./ Total cume: $198.857M/Wk 3

2). Into The Woods (DIS), 2,507 theaters /$8.109M Thurs./ Total cume:$72,188,000M /Wk 2

3). Unbroken (UNI), 3,131 theaters /$6.92MM Thurs./ Total cume: $69.443M /Wk 2

Link to comment
Share on other sites







That seems rather optimistic.  Nothing so far in audience reception would indicate better legs than it's Middle-Earth brethren and unlike ROTK and the films from the LOTR trilogy it does not have any awards legs in it's future.

It's held up better than Hobbit 1/2 consistently. Its weekends have also been smaller than its counterparts. Therefore, the likelihood of a 40-50% drop decreases. 

 

Seriously? Not gonna happen, i'm afraid. It's gonna drop over 40%.

 

I see BOFA doing between $21m and $24m this weekend. Most likely $22m - $23m.

 

How is $26-27 million that outlandish? $24 million isn't that far from $26-27 million. 

 

$10.5 million Friday (Possible since increases were muted today) 

$10 million Saturday

$6.5 million Sunday 

 

$27 million 3rd weekend 

 

 

Horrible for Unbroken. 

It'll have a solid increase tomorrow since its increase was muted today. 

 

$8.6 million Friday

$8.4 million Saturday

$6.1 million Sunday 

 

$23.1 million 2nd weekend ($92.5 million)

 

Into the Woods is looking good.

 

$9.5 million Friday

$9 million Saturday

$6 million Sunday

 

$24.5 million 2nd weekend ($96.6 million) 

Edited by mahnamahna
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



It's held up better than Hobbit 1/2 consistently. 

 

Difficult to compare due to different release date / day.

 

I'd be surprised if it increases on Friday, most likely it will decrease. ROTK dropped 44% on the same weekend, maybe BOFA can drop a little bit better like last weekend but not that much better.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites









  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.