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9 out of 12 months will have a film break its OW record 2015?

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Jan

American Sniper- 60 OW (Duh)

 

Feb

50 Shade of Grey- 110 OW

 

March

Not going to happen (biggest will be Cinderella- 60 OW)

 

April

Fast 7- 110 OW

 

May

Avengers 2- 230 OW

 

June

Jurassic World- 135 OW

 

July

Not going to happen (biggest will be Minnions- 85 OW)

 

August

Not going to happen (biggest will be Fantastic 4- 55 OW)

 

September

The Maze Runner 2- 50 OW

 

October

Crimson Peak- No clue, just got a feeling there is a chance (this is the one that I'm not really confident in)

 

November

Mocking jay 2- 175 OW

 

December

Star Wars- 120 OW

 

These are not my predictions per say, but I could easily see this happening.

 

One hell of a year.

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January: yes, American Sniper (it's a low bar to reach anyway)

 

February: yes, 50SOG

 

March: not in a million years

 

April: yes. FF6 is higher than Cap 2, FF7 will do at least the same. 

 

May: yes, Avengers 2 will beat Avengers 1 OW

 

June: maybe. JW will need very strong marketing to beat Man of Steel, but it is doable.

 

July: no, lol

 

August: no

 

September: errrr. Maybe. I'm not sure Maze Runner 2 will get enough of a boost, but it's very possible. It's a bit early to call, though it did have decent legs so it has a good chance.

 

October: No chance. Crimson Peak will not open above 55M, that's crazy tbh.

 

November: yes. maybe? I don't know. MJ1 was really disappointing and I don't know if MJ2 will manage to reverse the drop by that much.

 

December: yes, locked

 

 

So that's 5 that I'm confident will break the record, and 3 that might do. 8/12 at best.

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January: American Sniper -possible

February: Fifty Shades of Grey-possible but not 110m. I think Fifty Shades has a more limited audience and the subject matter isnt for everyone, plus its rated-R. Passion of the Christ was also rated-R but its about Jesus. 

March: Not happening. For Cinderella, i expect Maleficent/OZ type numbers

April:Furious 7-possible; i think the franchise is at the  peak of its popularity, but it could be just below Captain America 2.

May:Avengers 2- probably happening.

June:possible; but i think Jurassic World is more likely to have Godzilla type opening weekend; The curiosity factor is gone, people know what this franchise is about.

July:not happening. This record likely wont be broken within this decade unless they move Avengers or Star Wars to July 2018 or July 2019. 

August:not happening

September:possible; Maze Runner has some room to grow, I dont know how much it can in the month of September.

October:not happening. Gambit could do in 2016 though.

November:possible but not likely. MJP2 will get a  the last film spike but i think the franchise peaked with Catching Fire. 

December: definitely happening. 

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Out. 

 

In for January. Sniper should easily top 41M.

Out for February. I doubt it'll go above 80M. 

Out for March.

In for April. 95M should be doable for Fast Seven. 

In for May. Avengers 2 will not decrease. 

Out for June. I don't think the Jurassic Park brand is 116M strong anymore.

Out for July.

Out for August. 

In for September. I think Maze Runner 2 can get enough of a bump to hit 43M

Out for October. Crimson Peak will be a hit, but no way does an R-rated horror movie do 56M.

In for November. The finale always gets a boost. 

In for December. Star Wars is going to go much higher than most are predicting. 

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Everyone counts Man of Steel's weekend as $116m. But wasn't it one of the first 7pm Thursday "late night" premiere and they counted the $12m from the late night showings as Thursday numbers. Nowadays they figure the Thursday late night numbers into the Friday numbers. So Man of Steel should really be considered to have made $128m OW, right?

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Everyone counts Man of Steel's weekend as $116m. But wasn't it one of the first 7pm Thursday "late night" premiere and they counted the $12m from the late night showings as Thursday numbers. Nowadays they figure the Thursday late night numbers into the Friday numbers. So Man of Steel should really be considered to have made $128m OW, right?

Oh yeah, completely forgot about that.

 

There's no way JW opens above 129M.

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When will the July OW be broken is a good question actually. TDKR was poised to do it until the entire tragedy occurred. There needs to be a movie coming out in July which will come in with a lot of hype and presales and an inbuilt fanbase. Unless Avengers, Justice League or Star Wars moves to July, I don't see 169M going down.

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January - Yes for Sniper

February - Yes for 50 Shades

March - No

April - Yes for Furious 7

May - Yes for Ultron

June - Maybe for JW? Wild card

July - No

August - No

September - Possible for Transylvania 2 or Runner 2

October - I don't see it happening

November - Yes for Mockingjay 2

December - Yes for Star WarS

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When will the July OW be broken is a good question actually. TDKR was poised to do it until the entire tragedy occurred. There needs to be a movie coming out in July which will come in with a lot of hype and presales and an inbuilt fanbase. Unless Avengers, Justice League or Star Wars moves to July, I don't see 169M going down.

Definitely could be for July (unofficial) have no idea why it was dated for June 2019, 2019 had no movies.

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January - Yes for Sniper

February - Yes for 50 Shades

March - No

April - Yes for Furious 7

May - No

June - No

July - No

August - No

September - Yes for Maze Runner 2

October - No

November - Yes for Mockingjay 2

December - Yes for Star Wars

You don't think Age of Ultron will have a bigger OW than A1?

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January - Yes for Sniper

February - Yes for 50 Shades

March - No

April - Yes for Furious 7

May - yes for pitch perfect 2

June - No

July - No

August - No

September - Yes for Maze Runner 2

October - No

November - Yes for Mockingjay 2

December - Yes for Star Wars

 

You think PP2's OW will be over 207.4M????

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