Jessie Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I would love for The Martian to win, it would be nice for a feel good movie to win the Oscar. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 its too early to say martian. without the full contenders list being seen. martian could be not even getting a nom, if all the unseen contenders get spotlight level of recognition.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Nothing seems locked this year like it has before. I legitimately don't know what the big contenders are. Im really rooting for Inside Out even if an animated film winning has nearly 0 chances of happening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Locks: 1. Spotlight 2. The Martian Sight Unseen, but if they live up to expectations they're locked: 3. The Revenant 4. Joy Very Likely: 5. Steve Jobs 6. Inside Out Likely: 7. Bridge of Spies 8. Carol Sight Unseen but likely if it lives up to expectations: 9. The Hateful Eight The final spot: 10. Room 11. Mad Max 12. The Big Short 13. Brooklyn 14. The Danish Girl 15. Star Wars 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Big Short is screening tonight. Another sight unseen contender. Han, The possibility of a vote split with TGD for IO, and the loss of momentum for Carol, and the huggeeee loss of momentum for the divisive Jobs doesn't QUITE make them super likely. But they are certainly contenders. I'm with panda- this year feels wayyyy more fluid than years past. I think we get 10 noms. Predicts 1. Spotlight 2. Room 3. Joy 4. Brooklyn 5. The Martian 6. The Revenant 7. Bridge of Spies 8. Hateful Eight 9. Carol 10. Steve Jobs Alts: In the Heart of the Sea/Big Short (both have strong early buzz) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I expect Carol's momentum will pick up once it's actually released. It's the biggest critical favorite of the season along with Mad Max and Spotlight, and Weinstein's behind it. From what I've seen already, Brooklyn and/or The Martian getting in over MMFR would be ludicrous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 (edited) 1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said: Big Short is screening tonight. Another sight unseen contender. Han, The possibility of a vote split with TGD for IO, and the loss of momentum for Carol, and the huggeeee loss of momentum for the divisive Jobs doesn't QUITE make them super likely. But they are certainly contenders. I'm with panda- this year feels wayyyy more fluid than years past. I think we get 10 noms. Predicts 1. Spotlight 2. Room 3. Joy 4. Brooklyn 5. The Martian 6. The Revenant 7. Bridge of Spies 8. Hateful Eight 9. Carol 10. Steve Jobs Alts: In the Heart of the Sea/Big Short (both have strong early buzz) Based on Academy reactions Steve Jobs is playing great with them. Despite how big of a bomb it was I still think it can manage 4 nominations. Edited November 12, 2015 by WrathOfHan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShouldIBeHere Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Right now I am Team Martian all the way - but still hoping for "The Revenant" to blow me away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinaTakla Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Looks like it will be Martian versus Spotlight.. Martian might be the BP winner yall..just wait until the PGA announces It will not win any critics BPs though. It will all go to spotlight (this year's Boyhood critical fave as I said all along) I am still hoping JOY/Revenant prove worthy of a win.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 We dont have seen some of the possible contendersm nor seen any of the precursors, nor seen the final nominations... But some insist to predict who will win. Pointless efforts, IMHO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 On 11/11/2015 17:06:40, Tau Ceti said: What's wrong with expecting a minimum of theatrical success for a BP winner? In unadjusted terms the last ten years of BP domestic grosses have been as low as they were in the 1980s. In adjusted terms, the lowest ever. It's a recipe for irrelevance. Irrelevance? In the 1980's and 1990's audience were more prepared to embrace Oscar films, hence the bigger BO. Now, the oversaturated market kills the chances of great films to be succesful. It is not that 12YAS or The Artist are less relevant or artistically compelling than Annie Hall, The last emperor, Charriots of fire... The Oscars are not looking to reward popularity. They look for artistical/filming relevance. They sometimes fail to select the best film (Crash, Slumdog millionaire), but their choices are never irrelevant. In fact, in this market Oscars are now more important than ever to underline which are the relevant films of the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 spotlight is the clear favourite at 9/10 RT ave rating and 97% RT overall score it'll take something special from revenant or joy to beat spotlight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted November 13, 2015 Author Share Posted November 13, 2015 Martian does seem to be a Globe winner type film. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 (edited) Now that reviews are in, we can toss out a IO/TGD vote split theory. Edited November 13, 2015 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted November 13, 2015 Author Share Posted November 13, 2015 Well I'll be upset if anything other then IO wins animated feature-unless if Pixar beats itself ;) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 The Big Short is at 66 on Metacritic, if it stays in that range I doubt it gets a lot of nominations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted November 13, 2015 Author Share Posted November 13, 2015 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: The Big Short is at 66 on Metacritic, if it stays in that range I doubt it gets a lot of nominations. If any, other then possibly acting. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 The Big Short was never going to be a contender unless it got absolutely rapturous reviews. I'm looking forward to seeing it just for the talent involved, but a broad Adam McKay comedy with (slightly) less absurdist humor doesn't sound like something that would regularly be up the Academy's alley. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Yeah, The Big Short might snag a nomination for Carell (depending on his category, Lead is astonishingly barren at this point) and maybe Screenplay but it's not really going anywhere otherwise. What a weird year. Imagine if The Revenant and Joy fall short of expectations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 12 minutes ago, filmlover said: Yeah, The Big Short might snag a nomination for Carell (depending on his category, Lead is astonishingly barren at this point) and maybe Screenplay but it's not really going anywhere otherwise. What a weird year. Imagine if The Revenant and Joy fall short of expectations. Carell's lead, I think he can get in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
