kayumanggi Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 The kids and teenagers in most OS markets except some in Europe don't give a toss about the original cast/nostalgia. Thats 80% of the market. What's your basis? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 (edited) My biggest concerning for this is Japan. For Episode 3, it was the biggest OS market with $82m, but we have already seen what happen with Hollywood releases there. The bext example is Hobbit, which has plummeted relative to LOTR. And on the other side, we have to know what can this do in China. In 2005, it was the 2nd biggest Hollywood release ($9m), behind HP4 ($11m). Pretty similar numbers, which already were similar to LOTR. In that way, I think that the amount that TH3 can make now will be a good reference for this. Maybe a bit more, since it will be (maybe) released within 1 year. I had this a bit lower than LOTR and HP. Hobbit has disappointed because of mixed reviews and DH2 reached $960m. For those reasons I had this at $800-$850m, but with exchange rates drop and maybe anticipating a big drop in Japan, I have to low it to about $700m. Of course, I asume it will be a good film, better than prequels (but not necessarily as better as original trilogy). If it is a bad film, it can land quite lower. Edited January 22, 2015 by peludo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 $700m sounds about right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Lets be realistic: $720,087,022 OW TOTAL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Lets be realistic: $720,087,022 OW TOTAL Realistic and exact Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 dollar to euro is at 1.12 now. If this continues euro will be worth less than dollar. Plus dollar is appreciating against most currencies. I am predicting 500m OS minus china. China could do 200m and 700M OS total. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 dollar to euro is at 1.12 now. If this continues euro will be worth less than dollar. Plus dollar is appreciating against most currencies. I am predicting 500m OS minus china. China could do 200m and 700M OS total. Exchange rates just become worse than expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Realistic and exact Just interested in being accurate to predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Just interested in being accurate to predictions. Extremely accurate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Lets make the prediction even more accurate. $700,087,022.623 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 $880 mln 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 what will gross more OS AOU or SW??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 $880 mln I think you are overestimating it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 what will gross more OS AOU or SW??? AOU, no competition 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Im going to say 460m DOM and 940m OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 525M DOM 725M OS-C 140M China 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 500 DOM 900 OS (150 China) 1.4B WW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 (edited) 600M DOM 800M OS-Ch 200M China Edited May 8, 2015 by Pypa94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marek the Jedi Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 (edited) well I am bit more optimistic : OS - 850 without China China - 320+ (better then Transformers..) DOM - this will do at least 500-550mil ! that's the bottom, considering how much EP1-3 did adjusted to inflation, plus this will have 3D and IMAX so 850+320+550 = 1720mil. ! Marek Edited May 9, 2015 by Marek the Jedi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bonenash Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 think SW7 is gonna be a monster in France. France always like SW unlike Star trek maybe 8m admissions maybe more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...