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kayumanggi

THURSDAY NUMBERS (01292015) 3.68 M - AS

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ank Title (click to view) Theaters

Week 2

Theater Change Theaters

Week 3

% BO Change Total Gross^ Release Date*
1 Meet Dave 3,011 -2,523 488 -77.0% $11,803,254 7/11/08
2 Jonah Hex 2,825 -2,475 350 -92.4% $10,547,117 6/18/10
3 The Rocker 2,784 -2,375 409 -84.0% $6,409,528 8/20/08
4 MacGruber 2,546 -2,369 177 -93.7% $8,525,600 5/21/10
5 The Seeker: The Dark Is Rising 3,173 -2,338 835 -78.9% $8,794,452 10/05/07
6 Blackhat 2,568 -2,333 235 - $7,597,925 1/16/15
7 Winter's Tale 2,965 -2,260 705 -88.8% $12,600,231 2/14/14
8 The Last Stand 2,913 -2,224 689 -87.4% $12,050,299 1/18/13
9 The Express 2,810 -2,205 605 -79.3% $9,793,406 10/10/08
10 Hoot 3,018 -2,200 818 -81.5% $8,117,637 5/05/06

 

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If Lone Survivor is at all comparable, it earned 7.7 times the preceding Thursday on Superbowl weekend. In that case, AS will get about 28-29m this weekend.

 

Alternatively, LS got about 1.878 times the preceding M-Th over the weekend. That would point AS to a 31-32m weekend.

 

As for the weekly drop, it's down 38.5 from the opening week. If it kept up that pace it WOULD beat Mockingjay, and would probably finish up around $350m.

 

Unfortunately, it needs to earn about 48m over the next week in order to stay on the "beat MJ pace", which it isn't going to do if the weekend is in the low 30s. While we can expect a recovery next weekend, it will have to be a very good recovery in order to stay on the pace.

 

It may be MJ, but it's probably going to be closer than expected.

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kayumanggi, on 30 Jan 2015 - 1:48 PM, said:

 

ank Title (click to view) Theaters
Week 2
Theater Change Theaters
Week 3
% BO Change Total Gross^ Release Date* 1 Meet Dave 3,011 -2,523 488 -77.0% $11,803,254 7/11/08 2 Jonah Hex 2,825 -2,475 350 -92.4% $10,547,117 6/18/10 3 The Rocker 2,784 -2,375 409 -84.0% $6,409,528 8/20/08 4 MacGruber 2,546 -2,369 177 -93.7% $8,525,600 5/21/10 5 The Seeker: The Dark Is Rising 3,173 -2,338 835 -78.9% $8,794,452 10/05/07 6 Blackhat 2,568 -2,333 235 - $7,597,925 1/16/15 7 Winter's Tale 2,965 -2,260 705 -88.8% $12,600,231 2/14/14 8 The Last Stand 2,913 -2,224 689 -87.4% $12,050,299 1/18/13 9 The Express 2,810 -2,205 605 -79.3% $9,793,406 10/10/08 10 Hoot 3,018 -2,200 818 -81.5% $8,117,637 5/05/06

 

 

 

Mortdecai and Strange Magic both have higher theater counts than Blackhat, so the potential is there for both to come in above Blackhat on that list. Strange Magic might challenge for #1.

 

Also, theaters will want more screens for the 3 new openers next week than for this week's openers.

Edited by kitik
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hmm, surprised AS dropped on Thursday.  Weekend will obviously be down all around with the Super Bowl, so next weekend's hold will be the key.

 

Also, can someone please tell me how to switch my signature image?  I've checked my setting and my profile pages and I just can't seem to find where to do that anymore :/

Edited by FTF
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hmm, surprised AS dropped on Thursday.  Weekend will obviously be down all around with the Super Bowl, so next weekend's hold will be the key.

 

Also, can someone please tell me how to switch my signature image?  I've checked my setting and my profile pages and I just can't seem to find where to do that anymore :/

you wanna change your signature you gotta pay the toll.

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hmm, surprised AS dropped on Thursday.  Weekend will obviously be down all around with the Super Bowl, so next weekend's hold will be the key.

 

Also, can someone please tell me how to switch my signature image?  I've checked my setting and my profile pages and I just can't seem to find where to do that anymore :/

 

Like Coolio hinted, custom sigs are one of the perks of (some) of the paid accounts. If you want to look at the options and see what sort of account gets what, click on the "Donate" button on the upper right and select "popular accounts". You'll see a list of all the options. :)

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you wanna change your signature you gotta pay the toll.

 

 

Like Coolio hinted, custom sigs are one of the perks of (some) of the paid accounts. If you want to look at the options and see what sort of account gets what, click on the "Donate" button on the upper right and select "popular accounts". You'll see a list of all the options. :)

 

haha, ah I see…I will check those options out.  Thanks guys.

 

Edit:  lol damn, $120/year for a custom sig…looks like I may be stuck with you for a while Interstellar lol

Edited by FTF
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?

 

$35 million ($252 million)

$30.5 million ($297 million)

$28 million/$34 million ($345 million)

$21.5 million ($373 million)

$17 million ($398 million)

$13 million ($418 million)

$9 million ($433 million)

$7 million ($445 million)

$5 million ($453 million)

$3 million ($458 million)

$2 million ($461 million)

$1 million ($462 million)

$468 million DOM total 

 

$350 million is definitely not the ceiling. I'd say $410-420 million is where it will end up. That's the bare minimum, especially since its legs will stablize over the next 30-35 days due to minimal competition (50 Shades, SpongeBob 2 and Kingsman all only target one specific demo). Anything less than $350 million would be a disappointment considering its first two weekends' performances. It would have to have 40-45% drops for the next month to miss $350 million.

Logic.

You lack it.

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