redfirebird2008 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 We absolutely can't assume a 7m underestimate. You're using estimates from another source, from another franchise, on a different weekend. We can't even assume a 7m underestimate based on Disney's estimates for TA1. Each run is its own, unique thing. If anything, we have to assume that Disney is now a bit better at tracking one of their own mega-openers. I thought usually the distributing studio was pretty tight-lipped on these things. Usually the "sources" feeding Nikki, Gitesh, etc. would be the other studios who also have access to a lot of the same data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 $85m OD? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 We absolutely can't assume a 7m underestimate. You're using estimates from another source, from another franchise, on a different weekend. We can't even assume a 7m underestimate based on Disney's estimates for TA1. Each run is its own, unique thing. If anything, we have to assume that Disney is now a bit better at tracking one of their own mega-openers. Universal isn't? Variety's wouldn't it have been more on the Gitesh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I thought usually the distributing studio was pretty tight-lipped on these things. Usually the "sources" feeding Nikki, Gitesh, etc. would be the other studios who also have access to a lot of the same data. Apparently Harvey Weinstein was providing Deadline with numbers once Nikki left the site (this is according to Nikki, so who knows). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I believe TA1 and IM3 were both underestimated initially, so we'll see how it goes from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VGPOP Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 That number ain't finishing at $85-$89 million. No way. The night business will be insane, and that number will increase to $95-$100 million. This movie is a LOCK to break opening day record. I will be very surprised if it doesn't. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yandereprime101189 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 (edited) Does the 89 million include the 27 from previews or is that separate? Edited May 1, 2015 by Yandereprime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Guy Pearce has a bad habit of being a very annoying on screen personality. Precisely what his persona should be in Iron Man Three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I love Guy, but I mostly hated everything about him and his character in IM3. Agreed. Aldrich Killian was just a lame villain in general. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Does the 89 million include the 27 from previews or is that separate? Includes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yandereprime101189 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Ah, alright Giant number! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 That number ain't finishing at $85-$89 million. No way. The night business will be insane, and that number will increase to $95-$100 million. This movie is a LOCK to break opening day record. I will be very surprised if it doesn't. Your prediction in the early pages of this thread was $40m previews and $108m OD. Despite it doing $27m from previews, you still have it doing $108m. And your last line doesn't make sense. A lock means it's guaranteed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 1, 2015 Author Share Posted May 1, 2015 You guys are assuming their projections don't take a big evening bump into account. They do... it's just a question of whether it over-performs even past those projections. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Your prediction in the early pages of this thread was $40m previews and $108m OD. Despite it doing $27m from previews, you still have it doing $108m. And your last line doesn't make sense. A lock means it's guaranteed. VGPOP just said 95M-100M. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 (edited) I would take the early Friday predictions with a huge grain of salt. The final predictions could come in as being higher or lower then what was just projected. Edited May 1, 2015 by Fancyarcher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatebox Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 This movie is a LOCK to break opening day record. I will be very surprised if it doesn't. So... not a 'lock' then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
water Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 76% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cynosure Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Only 'too early' projections and already signs of early meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 This early the # for their predictions mean almost 0. To early to get a clear picture of how it is/will perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxmoser3 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 If these are the expectations imagine how the expectations will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
