Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates: PP2 - $70.3M, MM:FR - $45.5M, TA2 - $38.84M

[PDC1987]

What was it?

95.5%.

[DAR]

Holy shit, it has to be

[PDC1987]

$28-32 million OW is more likely if Tomorrowland breaks out. Post-Memorial isn't a great time for big tentpoles. 

Several films have now opened to $50 million in October. The release date doesn't really matter anymore, the product does.

Edited May 17, 2015 by PDC1987

[Lordmandeep]

Because of TA's WW 3D, I think its safe to call F7 the highest attended movie of the decade, and highest attended since Avatar...this still hasnt sunk in...

 

 

What do you think will beat TA domestically though ? 

[RyneOh1040]

Doubt it. Tomorrowland and Poltergeist are zero competition for PP2, there hasn't been anything solid for teen girls since Insurgent, and it's a holiday weekend.

 

$55-60 million 4 day likely. It'll drop like a rock after next week, though due to Aloha and Spy. 

Tomorrowland for sure, but I do think there is some crossover for Poltergeist.  Still, I just meant that I don't think a film like PP2 could ever be 4 quadrant.  There was a huge rush factor for the audience to see this, though the small Saturday drop is a very healthy sign.  I'll happily be wrong I just could see it really falling off from here out, and settling around 170-180.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

A Hangover 2 multiple would put PP2 on track to at least $203m, isn't It locked?

[Chewy]

After it's proven once again with BatSupes, Easter weekend will become coveted.

 

And then after Furious 8 drops big people will try to pin it on that Easter release date, somehow

 

(I think people overrate release dates in general)

[FTF]

Is the D Train's 2nd weeknd drop a record?

O_o holy shit, 95.5% drop!?! That's insane lol

[eddyxx]

A Tale Of Two Demos - maybe the two most perfect films to open up against one another

 

Exhibitor Relations – ‏@ERCboxoffice

FURY ROAD -  Males (70%), 35+ (54%) 3D (46%)

 

Variety:  80% of Pitch Perfect 2 audience is female

 

Didn't some one (water?) say that Mad Max was going to have a better female demo than MARVEL's films  looks like the females didn't turn out for this one Water.

[The Stingray]

The Stingray Strikes Back

 

 

I see something like:

 

1st week: 44m

2nd weekend: 77m

2nd week: 23m

3rd weekend: 39m

 

Total after 3rd weekend: 374m

 

Total domestic gross: 457m

[eXtacy]

Didn't some one (water?) say that Mad Max was going to have a better female demo than MARVEL's films  looks like the females didn't turn out for this one Water.

 

Its percentage would of been a lot better if PP2 did not open this week. Possibly a 40-60% split

[Jandrew]

What do you think will beat TA domestically though ?

Likely nothing on the current schedule.

[grim22]

So basically PP2 pulled off an Austin Powers 2, Terminator 2 or The Dark Knight type increase. Sequel to a well liked movie which didn't earn a lot in theaters but found a new lease of life on home video just exploded on OW.

[eddyxx]

Because of TA's WW 3D, I think its safe to call F7 the highest attended movie of the decade, and highest attended since Avatar...this still hasnt sunk in...

 

But F7 had 3d in foreign markets.

[Lordmandeep]

Likely nothing on the current schedule.

 

 

I wonder Opening weekend as well. 

[mahnamahna]

Tomorrowland for sure, but I do think there is some crossover for Poltergeist.  Still, I just meant that I don't think a film like PP2 could ever be 4 quadrant.  There was a huge rush factor for the audience to see this, though the small Saturday drop is a very healthy sign.  I'll happily be wrong I just could see it really falling off from here out, and settling around 170-180.

Realistically PP2 will do something akin to this:

$45 million/$56 million ($148 million)

$20 million ($179 million)

$9.5 million ($195 million)

$7.5 million ($208 million)

$5.5 million ($218 million)

$2.5 million ($222 million)

$230 million DOM

 

Paper Towns and Minions are the only major films for the remaining summer lineup with major teen girl appeal, so PP2 should do $210-240 million DOM handily, especially with an A- CS and a solid Sat hold 

[Lordmandeep]

But F7 had 3d in foreign markets.

 

Howvever it had bad exchnage rates.

 

If Aou had 2012 exchange rates, it handily beat TA1. 

[Mockingjay Raphael]

But F7 had 3d in foreign markets.

Not in Europe!

[CoolioD1]

san andreas will have a bigger opening than tomorrowland btw. just so we're all clear on that.

[PDC1987]

But F7 had 3d in foreign markets.

Not in Europe.