Infernus Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 IO is not gonna drop that hard on weekdays. 4.9 6.3 5.9 6.0 You sure you didn't change the 5's with 6's and 4's with 5's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 That must have been a holiday Monday. Memorial Day. Both Sunday and Monday on steroids. Drops down to $3.27m Tuesday and $2.51m Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 Apparently bladels expects IO to perform like no other film has performed in the history of film, on Tuesdays and Wednesdays in the summer. A 30% increase on Tuesday is possible but a 5% drop on Wednesday is not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 (edited) Apparently bladels expects IO to perform like no other film has performed in the history of film, on Tuesdays and Wednesdays in the summer. A 30% increase on Tuesday is possible but a 5% drop on Wednesday is not. IO has 24.3% and 26.5% increase from Monday to Tuesday in last 2 weeks, Wednesdays drop is 28.1% then 14.7%. I'm just following the trend, I'm expecting it'll hold better this week than last week. 26.3% Mon-Tues increase and 6.4% Wed drop are not that far from last week. I might be too optimistic but it's not impossible. Btw, IO doesn't perform like any Pixar's movies in the past. Edited July 7, 2015 by bladels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 I'd be shocked if IO made less than $15m next weekend. It seems to have enough of an audience and strong enough WOM to reach beyond kids. MU was in a much worse position, it certainly didn't help that a new Disney film came out the same day. $18-20 million is my guess. So $280-285 million is the range for July 12th. MU was far more kiddie than IO, and it had Turbo/Smurfs 2/Planes after DM2 to wreck its late legs. Plus, as you said, Lone Ranger releasing that week didn't help either. Still thinking $350-370 million for IO... the next two weekends' holds will determine where it ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 IO has 24.3% and 26.5% increase from Monday to Tuesday in last 2 weeks, Wednesdays drop is 28.1% then 14.7%. I'm just following the trend, I'm expecting it'll hold better this week than last week. I might be too optimistic but it's not impossible. Last Wednesday was juiced by the fact a holiday was coming up. Many had company holidays on Friday and took personal time off Thursday, which thren makes night business stronger for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 (edited) IO has 24.3% and 26.5% increase from Monday to Tuesday in last 2 weeks, Wednesdays drop is 28.1% then 14.7%. I'm just following the trend, I'm expecting it'll hold better this week than last week. 26.3% Mon-Tues increase and 6.4% Wed drop are not that far from last week. I might be too optimistic but it's not impossible. Btw, IO doesn't perform like any Pixar's movies in the past. The Wed drop was 14.7% because Wed before July 4th always drops softer. Not only IO, it was softer for all films. If anything IO will go back to 20%+ drop this Wed or stay around 15% at best. Edited July 7, 2015 by a2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 So Gopher has access now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 Last Wednesday was juiced by the fact a holiday was coming up. Many had company holidays on Friday and took personal time off Thursday, which thren makes night business stronger for Wednesday. The Wed drop was 14.7% because Wed before July 4th always drops softer. Not only IO, it was softer for all films. If anything IO will go back to 20%+ drop this Wed. OK, I'll change my number but I'm pretty sure IO's not gonna drop as hard as mahnahana's prediction 4.9 6.3 5 5.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 Go pher it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 OK, I'll change my number but I'm pretty sure IO's not gonna drop as hard as mahnahana's prediction 4.9 6.3 5 5.1 imo by Thursday IO will be closer to 4.5m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClaudeManhattan Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 What are the MMXXL Monday numbers? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 OK, I'll change my number but I'm pretty sure IO's not gonna drop as hard as mahnahana's prediction 4.9 6.3 5 5.1 His Wednesday drop of 23% looks OK but I think it will increase more than 15% Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 (edited) OK, I'll change my number but I'm pretty sure IO's not gonna drop as hard as mahnahana's prediction 4.9 6.3 5 5.1 imo by Thursday IO will be closer to 4.5m. IO though won't fall like MU (56%) this weekend. Not only is it coming off a July 4th crappy Saturday, but MU also had another Disney movie (Lone Ranger) opening with DM2. Also IO is way better received than MU and also skews more adult. In fact, skews far adult compared to Minions. 50% drop gives it 15m. I think it will manage 16.5m-17m. Edited July 7, 2015 by a2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 imo by Thursday IO will be closer to 4.5m. Why would it drop 40% ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 (edited) His Wednesday drop of 23% looks OK but I think it will increase more than 15% Tuesday. I'd agree. And Thursday is not gonna have 10% drop. Edited July 7, 2015 by bladels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BenedictL11 Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 What are the MMXXL Monday numbers? earlier I had pegged IO 4.9,JW 4.2,TG 3.3, MM2 2.5-2.8, all close see how it goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 (edited) Why would it drop 40% ? I am going for Tue and Wed lower than yours. 4.9 6.15 (+25.5%) 4.75 (-22.7%) 4.5-4.6 (-5% to -3%) Edited July 7, 2015 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 I am going for Tue and Wed lower than yours. 4.9 6.15 4.75 4.5 20.2 weekdays... can't see how it would miss $20 million weekend at that point... maybe $19 million? Either way, those weekday holds should help it despite Minions' OW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted July 7, 2015 Share Posted July 7, 2015 I am going for Tue and Wed lower than yours. 4.9 6.15 (+25.5%) 4.75 (-22.7%) 4.6 (-3.1%) Seems reasonable. But I'd like to be on the more optimistic side . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.e012939110d2c4eb58cc16297e048d38.jpg)
