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WrathOfHan

Weekend Estimates: Ant-Man 58.04 | Minions 50.24 | Trainwreck 30.24 | IO 11.66 | JW 11.36 (Page 88)

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easy bet. No way its increasing 45% in July. bcos of thursday previews friday impact is more minimal for holdovers. So Saturday increases in July cannot be that big.

Sure they can.

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Assuming the Friday numbers stick, this weekend projection does not seem reasonable between those two.

If anything, reverse the two or put $500k between the two. Both should do $11.5-12.5m this weekend with a $3.5m+ Fri since they do well on Sat
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If anything, reverse the two or put $500k between the two.

 

I wouldn't say reverse but I would say they'll be a lot closer than $1m apart if the Friday estimates turn out that way. JP4 is more of a weekend movie than IO. Still early though. Hopefully Gopher wasn't being too optimistic for them.

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I wouldn't say reverse but I would say they'll be a lot closer than $1m apart if the Friday estimates turn out that way. JP4 is more of a weekend movie than IO. Still early though. Hopefully Gopher wasn't being too optimistic for them.

IO/JW haven't declined from initial estimates since the last weekend of June, I believe.

$3.5-4m will likely stick for the Fri range. There's no reason for the #s to be that overestimated.

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Look at the OP. Guaranteed over prediction.

What's over predicted?

Ant-Man at 60m? (Using GotG multi it just crosses the mark)

Minions at 54.5? (Not outlandish)

Trainwreck at 38? From a 14m Fri, it should get mid to high 30s

IO/JW were predicted at 10-12m for this weekend before numbers even came out. I'm definitely not over predicting by an absurd amount

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IO/JW haven't declined from initial estimates since the last weekend of June, I believe.

$3.5-4m will likely stick for the Fri range. There's no reason for the #s to be that overestimated.

 

Except for the crazy percentage jumps in mid-July.

 

IO:  +66%

JP:  +80%

 

Gopher did stress that his projections were very early.

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