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Predict the WorldWide Top 20 of 2016

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2 hours ago, misafeco said:

Some people predicting Suicide Squad over 1B. Really? That would be the biggest surprise of the year IMO.

I firmly think that Suicide Squad will be the surprise of the year. Joker, Quinn, Will Smith, Batman appearance... too many factors. It looks awesome.

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2 hours ago, John Marston said:

Civil War is being very overpredicted

The problem is to consider it a Captain America film. It is the same than considering BvS a Superman film. One is Avengers 2.5 and the other one is Justice League 0.5. We should not compare to CA2 or MOS.

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1. Captain America: Civil War 1.35B

2. Star Wars Rogue One 1.08B

3.  Kung Fu Panda 3 1.05B 

4. Batman v. superman 980m

5. Finding Dory 965m

6. Fantastic Beast and Where to find them 950m

7. Ice Age 5 900m 

8. Moana 870m

9.  X-Men Apocalypse 850m 

10. Jungle Book 830m

11.  Secret Life of Pets 740m

12. Alice in Wonderland 2 700m 

13. Independence Day 2 650m

14. Dr. Strange 600m 

15. Bourne 5 570m

16. Star Trek Beyond 560m 

17. Passengers 540m 

18. Zootopia 530m

19. The Great Wall 500m

20. Suicide Squad 450m

Edited by Dexter of Suburbia
adding movies in the top 20
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01. Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice - 1.5 billion

02. Captain America: Civil War - 1.3 billion

03. Finding Dory - 1.2 billion

04. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - 1.05 billion

05. Independence Day: Ressurgence - 950 million

06. Kung Fu Panda 3 - 900 million

07. Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them - 910 million

08. X-Men: Apocalypse - 900 million

09. Ice Age: Collision Course - 850 million

10. Alice Through The Looking Glass - 830 million

11. The Secret Life Of Pets - 825 million

12. Moana - 800 million

13. The Jungle Book - 780 million

14. Suicide Squad - 750 million

15. Warcraft - 650 million

16. Doctor Strange - 550 million

17. Ghostbusters - 550 million

18. Passengers - 500 million

19. Star Trek Beyond - 455 million

20. Zootopia - 450 million

 

Tried to be as realistic as possible. Didn't even factor some others that come out but there's barely any information (like the untitled Illumination movie in December). And before you ask "why is Suicide Squad that low?", rumors have it that it'll be an R-rated movie. Don't count on anything beyond an absolute best case scenario of slightly 800+ million if that's the case.

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1. Civil War - $1.5 billion

2. BvS - $1.3 billion

3. Rogue One - $1.2 billlion

4. Finding Dory - $1.15 billion

5. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - $900 million

6. Independence Day - $890 million

7. Alice Through the Looking Glass - $850 million

8. Apocalypse - $800 million

9. Jungle Book - $790 million

10. Suicide Squad - $750 million

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59 minutes ago, peludo said:

I firmly think that Suicide Squad will be the surprise of the year. Joker, Quinn, Will Smith, Batman appearance... too many factors. It looks awesome.

It has a good release date, but needs 140-150M OW to have a chance. The best case is a GotG type run IMO.

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2 minutes ago, misafeco said:

It has a good release date, but needs 140-150M OW to have a chance. The best case is a GotG type run IMO.

The GA (me included) did not know the characters of GotG and still was able to open to $94m. This has Joker, Will Smith and a Batman cameo, very well known by everyone. If it is well sold, it can open quite higher than that. The potential exists for sure.

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Just now, peludo said:

The GA (me included) did not know the characters of GotG and still was able to open to $94m. This has Joker, Will Smith and a Batman cameo, very well known by everyone. If it is well sold, it can open quite higher than that. The potential exists for sure.

But GotG was more kid-friendly. I don't think SS can open much higher than that. And GotG had amazing legs.

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Just now, misafeco said:

But GotG was more kid-friendly. I don't think SS can open much higher than that. And GotG had amazing legs.

Well, last Joker film was not exactly kid-friendly. Of course, it was a Batman film, but still... and I will dare to argue that both films where Joker appeared beat the OW record :ph34r:

 

I am not saying this will set OW records or something. Just that it has appeal enough to open higher than many think.

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Like I said in my post, there's no way SS will do that much more than, say, 800 million at best. GOTG had rave reviews, the Marvel brand post-Winter Soldier and lack of competition (asides from TMNT, which did get the weekend for 2 weeks before Guardians took over again) behind its success. SS does have Will Smith and the Joker, but it'll also have an R-rating. Highest grossing R-rated WW movie, The Matrix Reloaded, did 750 million. Sure enough, that movie kinda sucked and it would've done way more if it were good, but even still. If Suicide Squad is great, it has a shot at really breaking out, but I wouldn't count on it. A Guardians-esque performance is the most realistic prediction possible.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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1 minute ago, peludo said:

Well, last Joker film was not exactly kid-friendly. Of course, it was a Batman film, but still... and I will dare to argue that both films where Joker appeared beat the OW record :ph34r:

 

I am not saying this will set OW records or something. Just that it has appeal enough to open higher than many think.

Do we know yet it'll have 3D or not?

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1. Finding Dory  -  1250M

2. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story  -  1170M

3. Captain America: Civil War  -  1160M

4. Batman v Superman: A Dawn of Justice  -  1150M

5. Independence Day: Resurgence  -  950M

6. Ice Age Collision  -  820M

7. Kung Fu Panda 3  -  810M

8. X-Men: Apocalypse  -  800M

9. Suicide Squad  -  790M

10. Alice Through the Looking Glass  -  780M

11. The Angry Birds Movie  -  740M

12. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them  -  720M

13. Dr. Strange  -  630M

14. Bourne 5  -  560M

15. The BFG  -  550M

16. The Great Wall  -  540M

17. Warcraft  -  530M

18. Star Trek Beyond  -  520M

19. The Secret Life of Pets  -  510M

20. Passengers  -  500M

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These are always fun to laugh at in a years time...

 

1) Finding Dory - $1.34 billion 

2) Batman vs. Superman - $1.27 billion 

3) Captain America: Civil War - $1.15 billion 

4) Kung Fu Panda 3 - $1.11 billion 

5) Fantastic Beasts - $980 million 

6) Rogue One - $965 million 

7) Moana - $930 million (bit of a wildcard but looks incredible so far) 

8) Alice Through The Looking Glass - $900 million 

9) Ice Age 5 - $870 million 

10) Independence Day 2 - $850 million 

11) X-Men: Apocalypse - $840 million 

12) The Jungle Book - $790 million 

13) Suicide Squad - $670 million 

14) Star Trek Beyond - $650 million 

 

I don't know enough about the others to make any solid guesses.

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