Weekend Actuals | 102.7 M THG: MOCKINGJAY II | 15.0 M SPECTRE | 13.2 M THE PEANUTS

[mmacader]

 

	Spectre	$15,043,729	-55%	3,659	-270	$4,111	$154,146,608	3	Sony / Columbia
	The Peanuts Movie	$13,203,590	-45%	3,671	-231	$3,597	$99,346,727	3	Fox
	The Night Before	$9,880,536	--	2,960	--	$3,338	$9,880,536	1	Sony / Columbia
	Secret in Their Eyes	$6,652,996	--	2,392	--	$2,781	$6,652,996	1	STX Entertainment
	The Martian	$3,797,770	-43%	2,086	-702	$1,821	$213,137,212	8	Fox
	The 33	$2,342,030	-60%	2,452	0	$955	$10,002,722	2	Warner Bros.
	Bridge of Spies	$2,006,155	-53%	1,532	-1156	$1,310	$65,238,567	6	Disney / DreamWorks
	Goosebumps	$1,861,967	-60%	1,787	-1018	$1,042	$76,116,279	6

[wildphantom]

$102.67 million. Disaster!! 

[mmacader]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 2 opened with $102.67M this weekend. 

[RichWS]

Was hoping for under just for more Ethan pain.

[ecstasy]

At least it didn't fall under $100m.

[misafeco]

At least it increased. I hope it's a sign that it'll have better legs.

[mmacader]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count /Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2	LGF	$102,665,981	-	4,175	-	$24,591	$102,665,981	-	1
2	1	Spectre	Sony	$15,043,729	-55.3%	3,659	-270	$4,111	$154,146,608	$245	3
3	2	The Peanuts Movie	Fox	$13,203,590	-45.0%	3,671	-231	$3,597	$99,346,727	$99	3
4	N	The Night Before	Sony	$9,880,536	-	2,960	-	$3,338	$9,880,536	$25	1
5	N	The Secret in their Eyes (2015)	STX	$6,652,996	-	2,392	-	$2,781	$6,652,996	-	1
6	3	Love the Coopers	CBS	$4,134,130	-50.3%	2,603	-	$1,588	$15,128,355	-	2
7	4	The Martian	Fox	$3,797,770	-43.4%	2,086	-702	$1,821	$213,137,212	$108	8
8	12	Spotlight	ORF	$3,528,384	+160.7%	598	+537	$5,900	$5,804,495	-	3
9	5	The 33	WB	$2,342,030	-59.5%	2,452	-	$955	$10,002,722	-	2
10	7	Bridge of Spies	BV	$2,006,155	-53.0%	1,532	-1,156	$1,310	$65,238,567	$40

Edited November 23, 2015 by mmacader

[water]

yessssssssss i knew it would go up. legs will be amazing!! ^U^ haters just can't win

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, misafeco said:

At least it increased. I hope it's a sign that it'll have better legs.

 

I doubt it. Deadline basically said yesterday morning that Lionsgate was under-reporting on purpose. My guess is the Saturday number was intentionally lowballed in the official estimate because they did not want to need fudge for $100m total if Sunday didn't perform very well. So under-report Saturday by a million or two and then project a normal Sunday drop from there. Worked well. I can think of other studios that were not so smart in their approach.  

[Frozen]

Is the Hobbit and HG rivalry revived? Will MJ2 finished Under Hobbit3 at $255,119,788?

[John Marston]

Just now, Frozen said:

Is the Hobbit and HG rivalry revived? Will MJ2 finished Under Hobbit3 at $255,119,788?

 

 

 

no. Should reach 280m 

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, water said:

yessssssssss i knew it would go up. legs will be amazing!! ^U^ haters just can't win

 

[spizzer]

 

Quote

 

Given the extra hour of Thursday previews, everything else held constant, this should have a stronger Saturday jump than MJ1's +7.3%.  

 

Here are the previews as a percentage of Friday for the 4 Hunger Games films:

Spoiler

 

THG: 41.5%

CF: 54.4%

MJ1: 44.6%

MJ2: 53.3% (est.)

 

 

Here are the previews as a percentage of opening day for the 4 Hunger Games films:

Spoiler

 

THG: 29.3%

CF: 35.2%

MJ1: 30.8%

MJ2: 34.8% (est.)

 

 

Here are the Preview -> Friday increases for the 4 Hunger Games films:

Spoiler

 

THG: +140.7%

CF: +83.8%

MJ1: +124.4%

MJ2: +87.5% (est.)

 

 

Currently, CF's daily shifts make the most sense for MJ2:

 

16.0M Previews

30.0M Friday

34.5M Saturday (+15.0%)

22.4M Sunday (-35.0%)

 

86.9M 3-Day

102.9M OW

 

THG (2.92), CF (3.0), MJ1 (3.05), all hit a ~3.0 multiplier from the 3-day weekend.  The same for this would yield a 276.8M DOM total.

 

 

Sweet, I got pretty close.  Here was the actual daily breakdown:

 

$16,000,000 Previews
$29,579,056 Friday
$33,841,369 Saturday (+14.4%)
$23,245,556 Sunday (-31.3%)

 

Second best Sunday hold of the franchise (THG was -30.8%) and best adjusted IM of the franchise (2.93), which makes sense considering earlier Thursday previews.  Fri-Sun multiplier for the other 3 films was around 3.0, the same here would get it to 276.0M DOM (2.69 overall multiplier).  
 

Edited November 23, 2015 by spizzer

[John Marston]

3 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

I doubt it. Deadline basically said yesterday morning that Lionsgate was under-reporting on purpose. My guess is the Saturday number was intentionally lowballed in the official estimate because they did not want to need fudge for $100m total if Sunday didn't perform very well. So under-report Saturday by a million or two and then project a normal Sunday drop from there. Worked well. I can think of other studios that were not so smart in their approach.  

 

 

20 1  $45,579,056 - / - 4,175 / $10,917 $45,579,056 / 1	21 1  $33,841,369 -25.8% / - 4,175 / $8,106 $79,420,425 / 2
22 1   1 $23,245,556 $102,665,981 -31.3% / - - / - 4,175 / $5,568 $24,591 $102,665,981 / 3	23	24	25	26	27	28

 

 

 

 

 

[Tubes]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

I doubt it. Deadline basically said yesterday morning that Lionsgate was under-reporting on purpose. My guess is the Saturday number was intentionally lowballed in the official estimate because they did not want to need fudge for $100m total if Sunday didn't perform very well. So under-report Saturday by a million or two and then project a normal Sunday drop from there. Worked well. I can think of other studios that were not so smart in their approach.  

 

Notably, MJ2 had a better Sunday hold than either MJ1 or CF.  We'll see if that indicates anything long term.

[John Marston]

1	N	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2	LGF	$102,665,981	-	4,175	-	$24,591	$102,665,981	-	1
2	1	Spectre	Sony	$15,043,729	-55.3%	3,659	-270	$4,111	$154,146,608	$245	3
3	2	The Peanuts Movie	Fox	$13,203,590	-45.0%	3,671	-231	$3,597	$99,346,727	$99	3
4	N	The Night Before	Sony	$9,880,536	-	2,960	-	$3,338	$9,880,536	$25	1
5	N	The Secret in their Eyes (2015)	STX	$6,652,996	-	2,392	-	$2,781	$6,652,996	-	1
6	3	Love the Coopers	CBS	$4,134,130	-50.3%	2,603	-	$1,588	$15,128,355	-	2
7	4	The Martian	Fox	$3,797,770	-43.4%	2,086	-702	$1,821	$213,137,212	$108	8
8	12	Spotlight	ORF	$3,528,384	+160.7%	598	+537	$5,900	$5,804,495	-	3
9	5	The 33	WB	$2,342,030	-59.5%	2,452	-	$955	$10,002,722	-	2
10	7	Bridge of Spies	BV	$2,006,155	-53.0%	1,532	-1,156	$1,310	$65,238,567	$40	6
11	6	Goosebumps	Sony	$1,861,967	-59.8%	1,787	-1,018	$1,042	$76,116,279	$58	6
12	21	Brooklyn	FoxS	$1,160,517	+141.8%	111	+88	$10,455	$2,169,742	-	3
13	9	Hotel Transylvania 2	Sony	$818,361	-64.6%	828	-1,006	$988	$166,445,102	$80	9
14	8	Prem Ratan Dhan Payo	FIP	$628,715	-74.1%	283	-4	$2,222	$3,961,221	-	2
15	15	Suffragette	Focus	$520,035	-49.3%	517	+21	$1,006	$3,568,054	-	5
16	13	The Intern	WB	$423,419	-64.5%	514	-341	$824	$74,170,096	$35	9
17	19	Room	A24	$379,200	-32.7%	160	+27	$2,370	$2,896,210	-	6
18	11	My All American	CE	$369,000	-73.0%	1,314	-251	$281	$2,207,000	-	2
19	10	The Last Witch Hunter	LG/S	$342,482	-76.9%	624	-855	$549	$26,822,658	$90	5
20	24	Pan	WB	$325,111	-11.9%	365	+2	$891	$34,012,065	$150	7
21	17	Sicario	LGF	$284,870	-62.5%	285	-244	$1,000	$45,785,702	$30	10
22	31	Trumbo (2015)	BST	$258,816	+65.2%	47	+27	$5,507	$587,568	-	3
23	N	Carol	Wein.	$253,510	-	4	-	$63,378	$253,510	-	1
24	14	Burnt	Wein.	$250,502	-77.8%	326	-1,288	$768	$13,443,407	$20	4
25	22	Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials	Fox	$237,629	-48.8%	309	-60	$769	$80,825,828	$61	10
26	16	Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension	Par.	$207,994	-76.7%	361	-424	$576	$18,247,445	$10	5
27	18	Woodlawn	PFR	$194,202	-70.7%	303	-505	$641	$14,036,500	-	6
28	38	By the Sea	Uni.	$193,030	+100.6%	126	+116	$1,532	$320,627	$10	2
29	30	Minions	Uni.	$115,615	-27.1%	182	-24	$635	$335,632,780	$74	20
30	28	Everest (2015)	Uni.	$108,475	-38.2%	134	-62	$810	$43,247,140	$55	10
31	35	Ant-Man	BV	$98,075	-33.0%	146	-15	$672	$179,887,603	$130	19
32	32	Inside Out	BV	$92,073	-40.9%	178	-26	$517	$356,285,830	$175	23
33	N	Legend	Uni.	$86,836	-	4	-	$21,709	$86,836	-	1
34	23	Steve Jobs	Uni.	$84,420	-78.9%	126	-200	$670	$17,614,323	$30	7
35	29	The Visit	Uni.	$81,090	-50.6%	153	-52	$530	$65,069,140	$5	11
36	44	Rock The Kasbah	ORF	$81,084	+53.6%	189	+33	$429	$2,982,281	-	5
37	20	Crimson Peak	Uni.	$79,040	-83.9%	184	-347	$430	$31,056,945	$55	6
38	33	Black Mass	WB	$67,158	-56.8%	160	-72	$420	$62,503,619	$53	10
39	36	The Perfect Guy	SGem	$66,176	-51.8%	117	-44	$566	$56,952,091	$12	11
40	N	A Journey Through Time with Anthony	CL	$58,164	-	17	-	$3,421	$84,577	-	1
41	54	Peggy Guggenheim Art Addict	SD	$51,305	+135.5%	20	+15	$2,565	$121,083	-	3
42	34	Truth	SPC	$47,037	-68.9%	63	-94	$747	$2,391,040	-	6
43	37	War Room	TriS	$41,447	-68.1%	95	-97	$436	$67,547,091	$3	13
44	41	The Man in 3B	Free	$36,850	-42.5%	31	-4	$1,189	$261,836	-	3
45	42	Labyrinth of Lies	SPC	$23,293	-63.0%	38	-34	$613	$678,691	-	8
46	51	Heart of a Dog	Abr.	$22,308	-18.3%	10	-2	$2,231	$154,658	-	5
47	N	Mustang	Cohen	$22,151	-	3	-	$7,384	$22,151	-	1
48	45	Meet the Patels	Alc	$19,670	-53.7%	28	-11	$703	$1,664,777	-	11
49	46	Big Stone Gap	PH	$19,371	-49.2%	10	-14	$1,937	$973,781	-	7
50	48	He Named Me Malala	FoxS	$16,132	-55.3%	25	-8	$645	$2,603,380	-	8
51	40	The Last Women Standing	CL	$16,000	-78.2%	12	-5	$1,333	$154,933	-	2
52	65	James White	TFA	$15,000	+24.9%	2	+1	$7,500	$31,437	-	2
53	66	Theeb	FM	$14,330	+28.9%	14	+6	$1,024	$52,940	-	3
54	25	Our Brand Is Crisis (2015)	WB	$14,201	-92.9%	50	-451	$284	$6,946,093	$28	4
55	53	Love (2015)	Alc	$12,163	-44.5%	7	-7	$1,738	$200,637	$3	4
56	52	Grandma (2015)	SPC	$11,265	-53.7%	23	-13	$490	$6,876,044	$0.6	14
57	71	Entertainment	Magn.	$10,650	+107.5%	8	+6	$1,331	$19,945	-	2
58	26	Miss You Already	RAtt.	$7,047	-96.4%	21	-290	$336	$1,162,653	-	3
59	67	Ingrid Bergman: In Her Own Words	Rialto	$6,579	-21.3%	2	+1	$3,290	$19,949	-	2
60	N	Censored Voices	MBox	$6,153	-	2	-	$3,077	$6,153	-	1
61	N	Mediterranea	IFC	$5,846	-	2	-	$2,923	$5,846	-	1
62	61	No Escape	Wein.	$5,692	-63.5%	16	-15	$356	$27,285,953	-	13
63	68	Experimenter	Magn.	$4,112	-47.1%	12	-10	$343	$149,961	-	6
64	63	All Things Must Pass	Grav.	$3,600	-73.3%	8	-6	$450	$154,507	-	6
65	69	Flowers	MBox	$3,334	-47.0%	5	+3	$667	$38,606	-	4
66	80	Goodbye Mr. Loser	CL	$3,000	+2.4%	2	-	$1,500	$1,292,195	-	7
67	73	10 Days in a Madhouse	CafeP	$2,451	-48.6%	10	+9	$245	$14,616	-	2
68	89	A Ballerina's Tale	IFC	$2,340	+40.4%	10	+2	$234	$96,900	-	6
69	62	What Our Fathers Did: A Nazi Legacy	Osci.	$2,264	-84.4%	8	-6	$283	$38,987	-	3
70	-	Olvidados (Forgotten)	Libre	$1,760	-	1	-	$1,760	$22,664	-	9
71	-	Rififi (2015 re-release)	Rialto	$1,711	-	2	-	$856	$53,719	-	12
72	85	The Hallow	IFC	$1,318	-44.2%	7	-1	$188	$8,967	-	3
73	88	Coming Home (2015)	SPC	$1,245	-34.1%	7	-	$178	$367,900	-	11
74	91	The Third Man (2015 re-release)	Rialto	$1,132	-17.9%	2	+1	$566	$449,191	-	22
75	57	The Phone	CJ	$1,012	-94.8%	3	-8	$337	$40,516	-	3
76	83	Welcome to Leith	FRun	$981	-59.9%	2	-1	$491	$35,181	-	11
77	70	The Second Mother	Osci.	$935	-84.5%	2	-6	$468	$372,380	-	13
78	94	Sex, Death and Bowling	Mont.	$911	-19.0%	2	-1	$456	$5,236	-	4
79	81	Pawn Sacrifice	BST	$703	-74.2%	3	-7	$234	$2,428,077	-	10
80	106	In the Basement	Strand	$579	+1,131.9%	1	-	$579	$2,502	-	3
81	104	Drunk Stoned Brilliant Dead: The Story of the National Lampoon	Magn.	$494	+105.0%	3	-	$165	$62,684	-	9
82	N	The Summer of Sangaile	Strand	$453	-	1	-	$453	$453	-	1
83	-	Drown	Strand	$329	-	1	-	$329	$1,631	-	6
84	99	Breathe	FM	$315	-46.8%	2	-1	$158	$41,270	-	11
85	-	Top Spin	FRun	$138	-	1	-	$138	$5,662	-	7

[spizzer]

My post from Saturday updated with actuals.

 

Previews as a percentage of Friday for the 4 Hunger Games films:

 

Quote

THG: 41.5%

CF: 54.4%

MJ1: 44.6%

MJ2: 54.1%

 

Previews as a percentage of opening day for the 4 Hunger Games films:

 

Quote

THG: 29.3%

CF: 35.2%

MJ1: 30.8%

MJ2: 35.1%

 

Preview -> Friday increases for the 4 Hunger Games films:

 

Quote

THG: +140.7%

CF: +83.8%

MJ1: +124.4%

MJ2: +84.9%

 

Remarkably similar breakdowns to CF's opening weekend.  

Edited November 23, 2015 by spizzer

[Frozen]

5 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

 

no. Should reach 280m 

 

Even with Star Wars? 

[BadAtGender]

6 minutes ago, Frozen said:

Is the Hobbit and HG rivalry revived? Will MJ2 finished Under Hobbit3 at $255,119,788?

 

What rivalry? All three previous THG films have outgrossed all three Hobbit films.

[spizzer]

Adjusted IM (Fri-Sun divided by Fri) for the 4 films:

 

THG: 2.79

CF: 2.90

MJ1: 2.75

MJ2: 2.93