Quigley Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 5 minutes ago, Lestranger said: I am confused if we are talking 120 million for Friday, why is 300 million not the projection? The only comp that makes any sense to me is Jurassic World. With 120 million on a Friday, TFA will tip over 300 million for OW. I predicted 250 million, but why is 300 million not being discussed seriously? Sunday drop due to football? December myth again? Front loaded to to fan boys? Similarly to Deathly Hallows - Part 2, the ratio of Thursday night previews to preview-free Friday gross was a bit more than 1 ($63.5M / $57M). For the HP finale, Saturday dropped compared to its preview-free Friday gross. For SW7, I think a slight increase is the most we can expect. Breaking JW's Saturday record is getting less likely. Therefore 120.5 + 65 +55 takes us to a $240M opening. (Not saying this will be the final figure but it is a likely one) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 4 minutes ago, K1Rey said: Alright, easy now. I understand your frustration but is BB8 really a spoiler? He's in the trailer and clearly as many of our sig's and profile pics. We just said it's name, not what it does or anything. Okay, i'm calm. And no, the name of BB8 isn't spoiler to me. But there were some more spoilerish comments, which were deleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted December 19, 2015 Author Share Posted December 19, 2015 5 minutes ago, B J said: ran out of like yo Feel free to donate today and receive up to 1000s of likes, 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said: Jw is done though. This was always going to be the case IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Wow that drop from last night estimates makes me sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 So absolute worst case scenario it beats the OW record by $15m. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Reading reports that Saturday is looking at bigger crowds this morning than Friday on Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 3 minutes ago, Lestranger said: Sure but JW did 81 with previews on Friday. So TFA is 50% higher already. Seems like high 200s makes more sense to me unless TFA is hugely front loaded, which it may be since the actual Friday numbers are not that much higher for TFA vs JW. But Sat Sun for TFA may be crazy anomalies still. That's not how box office is working. Thursday gross doesn't matter when you predict the Friday->Saturday bump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Just now, GiantCALBears said: This was always going to be the case IMO. That is the goal for me. I know it's SW and all but all films have a limit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 8 minutes ago, K1Rey said: MODERATION: If anyone thinks or feels someone is spoiling anything at all about the movie, instead of lashing out and attacking everyone PM myself, CJ, or any other mod with the exact URL where the spoiler is so that we can help. From there we'll work something out and see what the spoiler actually contains. Yelling out "fuck you" to people doesn't solve anything. 9 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: There aren't any spoilers in this thread for Christ sake 10 minutes ago, K1Rey said: Alright, easy now. I understand your frustration but is BB8 really a spoiler? He's in the trailer and clearly as many of our sig's and profile pics. We just said it's name, not what it does or anything. BKB basically revealed the key moment of the movie 3 pages ago. That is what everyone is talking about. Apparently most missed it thanks to this thread moving fast. I have already hidden it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 3 minutes ago, Lestranger said: Sure but JW did 81 with previews on Friday. So TFA is 50% higher already. Seems like high 200s makes more sense to me unless TFA is hugely front loaded, which it may be since the actual Friday numbers are not that much higher for TFA vs JW. But Sat Sun for TFA may be crazy anomalies still. They were basically even at $63.5m for TFA and $63.45m for JW for Friday business. JW was very backloaded with only $18.5m in previews. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Just now, hasanahmad said: Reading reports that Saturday is looking at bigger crowds this morning than Friday on Twitter Yeah with people in school and work yesterday I always figured Sat matinee/early shows would be > than Fri ones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoSaysI Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Just now, redfirebird2008 said: They were basically even at $63.5m for TFA and $63.45m for JW for Friday business. JW was very backloaded with only $18.5m in previews. It was but JW was also released in summer when kids weren't in school. Almost all schools were still in session yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Revenge of the Sith first Friday was good... However Saturday increased big time. As big as previews and Friday are Saturday will tell the tale of how big Sw7 will be and a sign of legs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 THE FORCE AWAKENS int'l: UK ($24M) GER ($12M) FRA ($11M) OZ ($10M) MEX ($5.7M) RUS ($4.9M) ITA ($4.4M) BRZ ($4.1M) ESP ($3.5M) JPN ($3M) — Exhibitor Relations (@ERCboxoffice) December 19, 2015 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TylerDurden365 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Just to throw out an alternate viewpoint on why the number came in at 120: Perhaps people who hadn't done pre-sale tickets were deterred from coming out. They felt that all the shows would be super crowded and they could get out Saturday/Sunday after the opening day crazies had dissipated. I'm going to say it's about 15% bump today from non-preview Friday (which seems like it's become pretty standard for most of these tentpoles), so about 73, maybe 75 if it bumps big with families. And ultimately, this is all just insanity in terms of numbers so let's just enjoy the ride, ya? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 4 minutes ago, FTF said: Would love for you to be right...but with the massive $57m burned off from Thurs night previews, Sat and Sun could be a little lower and give us a $225m-ish ow. Which is still amazing though obviously lol And you;re forgetting about all of the presales that will go towards today and Sunday. Regardless of what the weekend number is, whether its 225 or 250, it demolished the December OW number. Eviscerated it. It actually might even triple it. So there's your perspective. And this is just the beginning. The weekday numbers are going to be ridiculous and this film will probably have 600 mill by the end of the first weekend in January. Avatar is in jeopardy. I think it's fair to say that this will exceed a 3X simply because it's Christmas season. So 800 is possible. If anyone is trying to downplay this, look at the whole picture. This is box office history here. This is why we love to track box office, for weekends and seasons like this one. 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bulldawg626 Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 Hey guys long time no see, I didn't miss anything did I? Hope I'm not missing box office records in the making or something 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 SW is super strong with families. Matinee business should be insane. Repeat business probably also kicks in more today. The gross will be more spread out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted December 19, 2015 Share Posted December 19, 2015 1 minute ago, Baumer Fett said: And you;re forgetting about all of the presales that will go towards today and Sunday. Regardless of what the weekend number is, whether its 225 or 250, it demolished the December OW number. Eviscerated it. It actually might even triple it. So there's your perspective. And this is just the beginning. The weekday numbers are going to be ridiculous and this film will probably have 600 mill by the end of the first weekend in January. Avatar is in jeopardy. I think it's fair to say that this will exceed a 3X simply because it's Christmas season. So 800 is possible. If anyone is trying to downplay this, look at the whole picture. This is box office history here. This is why we love to track box office, for weekends and seasons like this one. The next 2 weeks are gonna be magnificent as FUCK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
