baumer Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, DeeCee said: Why are you being so pessimistic? I think over 50 is all but assured. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 15 minutes ago, Heretic said: According to Alfred, this may have just broken the OD record in the UK, which would put it close to $15m. Fucking insane. That would put it on track for a $50m+ opening ($300m+ equivalent in the US). Opening day record in New Zealand, Australia and now the UK. Now just for the USA and Canada. The Five Eyes. It's power. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 19 minutes ago, DeeCee said: That experience scarred many. It's nice to see the recovery has moved another step forward. It didn't scar me! I loved it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 37 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said: CJohn is not serious with his 300M OW prediction.... right? Sadly, I can see perfectly logical ways it goes anywhere from 170 to 300, all with previews at least at 45m. I really need to come to a conclusion so I can do my derby and winter game predicts. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 34 minutes ago, JohnnY said: is it even possible for this movie to gross 300m? that's almost 36 million people, i mean... are there enough seats for 36 million people? 18 minutes ago, JohnnY said: average ticket price doesn't take 3d into account? anyway, TFA would need a 72,500 average, which is insane considering that only movies in less than 20 theaters achieve that. Quote From about 09-onwards (3D boom), the only ticket number that is accurate on BOM is the yearly/quarterly tickets sold. For each individual film, they don't calculate the 3D or IMAX share, they just use the yearly average 3D/IMAX splits, so the numbers aren't accurate. 3D films are overestimated and 2D films are underestimated. JW, for example, sold between 19.2-19.8M tickets on OW, not the near 26M that BOM is reporting. Quote With similar 3D/IMAX/PLF splits to JW (35%/10%/8%), a record 22.5M tickets sold would yield a gross of 237.7M. This would be: 111.1M 2D 82.4M 3D (RealD) 24.1M IMAX (2D/3D) 18.8M PLF Basically, IF the splits remain the same as JW, anything from 230-237M is in the same territory as TDK/SM3/TA1. If we're hitting 240.0M, its likely that the attendance record has fallen. BUT IMO, its shares are going to be higher due to A.) sellouts and B.) high IMAX/premium demand. 2D sellouts will force folks into 3D shows, and the general awareness/marketing push for IMAX has just notably strong. The shares for both of those will likely be higher than JW. I'm imagining something like the following: 40.0% 2D 38.0% 3D (RealD) 12.0% IMAX (2D/3D) 10.0% PLF At this level, a record 22.5M tickets sold would yield a gross of 246.5M. This would result in splits of: 90.7M 2D 93.7M 3D (RealD) 29.4M IMAX (2D/3D) 24.6M PLF IF such splits occur, 237-246M is in the same territory as TDK/SM3/TA1. If we crack 246M, its likely we're looking at a marginal new OW attendance record. At 250M, its almost a sure thing (unless the 3D share is even higher). Now just for fun, how many tickets would a 275.0M and 300.0M OW be? At the JW splits: 275.0M = 26.0M tickets 300.0M = 28.4M tickets At the latter splits: 275.0M = 25.1M tickets 300.0M = 27.4M tickets 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Nothing definitive yet but Thursday shows here are already well over the equivalent of 40M. Will crush 50 and potentially exceed 60-65M 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 24 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I think over 50 is all but assured. Based on...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Force Awakens has garnered more tweets than JW and AOU combined times 2. And 53 million people have said something about SW on Facebook in the past 30 days. http://www.thewrap.com/star-wars-the-force-awakens-doubles-twitter-numbers-of-jurassic-world-age-of-ultron-combined/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Can't wait for Tele to drop by the Spoiler Thread to share his thoughts. People are already taking bets on how he'll react. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgchn40 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 I wonder if movie studios will start fighting for the this week's opening if Star Wars TFA breaks the record like Titanic and Avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 On December 17, 2015 at 8:19 PM, Dr 3va2an said: Can't wait for Tele to drop by the Spoiler Thread to share his thoughts. People are already taking bets on how he'll react. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Just now, Obi-Wan Telemachos said: I exaggerate a little, but your arrival is anticipated. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 10 minutes ago, DAJK said: Nothing definitive yet but Thursday shows here are already well over the equivalent of 40M. Will crush 50 and potentially exceed 60-65M I would say MJ1 and MJ2 entire opening day was done in 4-5 hours here. Not hating on mJ1 2 just a numbers comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Is it too early for RTH? I want numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 Trailer selection was pretty meh. Batman vs. Superman Jungle Book 5th Wave ID4 Part Deux Some weird animated film The Finest Hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Is it too early for RTH? I want numbers It's mid-evening on the west coast. Showtimes run until 5:30am. There's gonna be nothing until the morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 10 minutes ago, Obi-Wan Telemachos said: The spoiler thread is calling to youuuuuuuuuu 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 1 minute ago, Chewy said: The spoiler thread is calling to youuuuuuuuuu I will awaken to it... in four hours. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ash Skywalker Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: Is it too early for RTH? I want numbers Yes We already have many incredible numbers. We are just waiting for a confirmation,records are already broken!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted December 18, 2015 Share Posted December 18, 2015 3 minutes ago, Dr 3va2an said: Some weird animated film Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
