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Wednesday The Force Awakens Estimates - 28M (Rth) | 27.2 - 27.9 (DHD)

By CJohn, in Numbers and Data

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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1 minute ago, hasanahmad said:

Are theaters shutting down the same number as the ones as Christmas day? I thought the number shutting down is much smaller.

depending on the region (ww) partly even more. Tomorrow complete shuts in regions, where they had open after late midday at X-Mas

= varying

Compare not only #1 and #2, ... X-Mas is higher

and shows a possibilty for my theory: big movies help other movies too, if an alternative, see Avatar = 2 other movies, and this year DH = those got high enough to push down the other movies

Not typically high earners at that days...

repeat posts, to help to show whar I mean:

TOP HOLIDAY SINGLE DAY GROSSES - X-Mas Day

Rank Title (click to view) Studio Christmas Gross / % of Total Theaters / Average Day/Year Lifetime Gross
1 Star Wars7 BV $49,325,663 8.2% 4,134 $11,932 F 2015 $600,949,526
2 Sherlock Holmes WB $24,608,941 11.8% 3,626 $6,787 F 2009 $209,028,679
3 Avatar Fox $23,095,046 3.1% 3,456 $6,683 F 2009 $760,507,625
4 Meet the Fockers Uni. $19,542,490 7.0% 3,518 $5,555 Sa 2004 $279,261,160
5 Les Miserables Uni. $18,111,665 12.2% 2,808 $6,450 T 2012 $148,809,770
6 Daddy's Home Par. $15,709,618 30.1% 3,271 $4,803 F 2015 $52,134,495
7 Unbroken Uni. $15,434,400 13.3% 3,131 $4,930 Th 2014 $115,637,895

 

TOP HOLIDAY SINGLE DAY GROSSES - New Years Day

Rank Title (click to view) Studio New Years Gross / % of Total Theaters / Average Day/Year Lifetime Gross
1 Avatar Fox $25,274,008 3.4% 3,461 $7,303 F 2010 $760,507,625
2 Meet the Fockers Uni. $18,271,940 6.5% 3,524 $5,185 Sa 2005 $279,261,160
3 Sherlock Holmes WB $14,889,882 7.1% 3,626 $4,106 F 2010 $209,028,679
4 Alvinc... Squeakquel Fox $12,998,264 5.9% 3,747 $3,469 F 2010 $219,614,612
5 LotR 3 NL $12,784,656 3.4% 3,703 $3,453 Th 2004 $377,845,905

 

 

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kayumanggi Cinematic Universe

kayumanggi

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Of course, sky-rocketing ticket prices and the top-heavy nature of the 2015 box office shouldn't be overlooked. You have to go all the way back to 2001 to find a calendar year where fewer films made over $25 million, all while the average ticket price has climbed from $5.66 in 2001 to $8.34 in 2015.

 

In 2001, only 91 films made over $25 million while 2015 boasts only 95. Additionally, 34.5% of 2015's box office is attributable to the year's top ten films. Looking at the past 15 years, no other year has seen the top ten account for more than 30% of the overall calendar box office, the closest being 2012 when 29.7% of the year's $10.8 billion was generated by the top ten films, led by The Avengers' $623.3 million. However, during that same time period, 2012 boasted the largest number of films to cross $25 million in a calendar year with 113. The average number of films making $25M+ in a calendar year during that time frame is 104, which begs the question as to whether this is a "one off" year or if subsequent years are only going to continue to get more and more top heavy.

 

Based on average ticket prices, 2015 ranks 18th out of the last 36 years with an estimated 1.32 billion tickets sold. Top of the list is 2002 with an estimated 1.575 billion tickets sold when the average ticket price was $5.81. Spider-Man topped the box office in 2002, a year where 105 films made over $25 million and the top ten accounted for 25.7% of the year's overall gross. All of these stats are before adjusting for inflation and no one is expecting ticket prices to fall in 2016, so perhaps $11+ billion a year will become the new norm. On top of that, the major studios aren't slowing down when it comes to focusing a vast majority of their attention on a large slate of sequels and blockbusters, all of which are hoping for their own place in the record books.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4138&p=.htm

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

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Nothing new (better rather confusing, passed JW yesterday... will probably pass it today....) beside the already posted detail 1 page back

 

As the release datas are a bit unusual and partly on short notice, here the details:

The Hateful Eight earned around $3.5 million on its first day of semi-wide release, bringing its cume up t $10.7m thus far. The Quentin Tarantino western expands to 1,958 theaters yesterday, 2,264 theaters today, and then goes into the weekend with 2,474 locations for what amounts to a wide release. This will be a fascinating release to watch this weekend, as it’ll presumably have $15m heading into the “official” wide release opening frame.

 

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2015/12/31/star-wars-the-force-awakens-box-office-bigger-than-jurassic-world-bigger-than-frozen/

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RamblinRed Box Office Gold

RamblinRed

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35% feels steep. Hope you end up being wrong on that one Baumer. I've got it at 26% drop. Looking at 12/31 for the last 10 years, usually the biggest films decrease some (though some of the smaller ones increase). But anything over about 20% is a pretty big drop. 

I'm dropping more due to CFB playoffs. But if it drops over 30% I would consider that pretty severe.

 

Hoping Forbes 28.1M number for Wed is correct. That would be very strong.

 

I would love for it to pass JW today, but it feels like it is going to come up just short and Disney has certainly showed no signs of fudging anything (which is probably partially due to Movies being just one part of a much larger empire).

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