baumer Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Just now, Maxmoser3 said: I think January 2016 will come close to 2010's record. But February looks dead. TFA will release a special edition with 20 minutes of new footage. OW: 50 million 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 7 hours ago, SteveJaros said: I will be shocked if TFA gets to $1 Billion DOM. Now that the holidays are over, expect the numbers to tumble. $875m sounds about right from here on out. Maybe we've found Star Wars' RTX? We've seen how accurate you've been, please, keep it up! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Community Manager Water Bottle Posted January 4, 2016 Community Manager Share Posted January 4, 2016 1 minute ago, theendsnotnearitshere said: I like how this out of the blue wannabe troll post, made while putting off writing my paper for a millionth time today (and I've yet to think of and write down a credible explanation for why I'm, yet again, turning it in past the deadline), totally inspired by randomly remembering laughing out loud at GG popping in yet another one of JJ's projects, rubbed you all the wrong way. It's 4.30 am here and I'm sleep deprived and I got jealous because I'll never be able to write these posts like DamienRoc does. Trolling is against the site rules. Consider this a general warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 1 minute ago, theendsnotnearitshere said: I like how this out of the blue wannabe troll post, made while putting off writing my paper for a millionth time today (and I've yet to think of and write down a credible explanation for why I'm, yet again, turning it in past the deadline), totally inspired by randomly remembering laughing out loud at GG popping in yet another one of JJ's projects, rubbed you all the wrong way. It's 4.30 am here and I'm sleep deprived and I got jealous because I'll never be able to write these posts like DamienRoc does. I don't think anyone thinks you were trolling by asking if ST is as big as SW, just that you are a little misinformed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 1 minute ago, theendsnotnearitshere said: I like how this out of the blue wannabe troll post, made while putting off writing my paper for a millionth time today (and I've yet to think of and write down a credible explanation for why I'm, yet again, turning it in past the deadline), totally inspired by randomly remembering laughing out loud at GG popping in yet another one of JJ's projects, rubbed you all the wrong way. It's 4.30 am here and I'm sleep deprived and I got jealous because I'll never be able to write these posts like DamienRoc does. If it's any consolation, _I_ apparently can't write elsewhere like I do here on the forum, which sucks since writing is ostensibly my job at the moment. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 16 minutes ago, DamienRoc said: It doesn't even need a record. Remember when The Hobbit 3 was originally going to get a summer release? The films didn't exactly light the box office on fire, but they knew enough to stick to the pattern. However, there are examples of films which play with the structure. They realized with Harry Potter that they couldn't do a one-film-a-year thing and went to 18-ish months from 3 onward, until they only did an 8 month break from 7 to 8. Twilight took the same strategy. (I'm starting to wonder if The Hunger Games should have done the same. Perhaps the MJ problem was doing too much too fast.) It's a little weird because it's almost starting to feel like two years between films is too long, but one year isn't enough. And not just production-wise. Audiences need time to breathe, perhaps? So how do you play with it? Remember when sequels took three years? Yeah, those were the days. I never thought The Hobbit was likely to be a summer release, I think WB only scheduled there so they could swap with another WB film later on, FOX originally had Apes for a Memorial Day slot and X-Men in July before they swapped them around. There was a two year gap between the fifth HP film and the sixth HP film because WB needed a big film for summer 2009, had they not done that, I think Deathly Hallows part I and II would have been a year apart. I think if SW does move, the other studios will try and get that Memorial Day slot and WB will move Ready Player One either a week later or to 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 8 minutes ago, Rth said: Sun could end up 21.2-22.2m, see how weekend actuals end up 21.2 puts it ahead of American Sniper. I'm satisfied. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theendsnotnearitshere Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 1 minute ago, Darth Water Bottle said: Trolling is against the site rules. Consider this a general warning. I'd never proper troll. I'm always joke trolling. In a sense that there's a grain of truth in every joke. Looking back, having seen what TFA did, I wish ST had done better. Also, I'm a self sabotaging like whore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theendsnotnearitshere Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 6 minutes ago, DamienRoc said: If it's any consolation, _I_ apparently can't write elsewhere like I do here on the forum, which sucks since writing is ostensibly my job at the moment. Don't you try to humor me, I still envy you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Community Manager Water Bottle Posted January 4, 2016 Community Manager Share Posted January 4, 2016 So: TFA is like $8 million away from beating Avatar's first-run DOM gross. Since some people only care about adjusted: TFA is currently #21. It is going to beat TPM and even the original JP at this point (but remember according to Excel that franchise is bigger) and will be the first movie to hit the top 10 in the adjusted field...without adjusting. Sorry Snow White and maybe the Exorcist. If it reaches $1 BIL it might even knock off Doctor Zhivago. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walt Disney Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 1 minute ago, Darth Water Bottle said: So: TFA is like $8 million away from beating Avatar's first-run DOM gross. Since some people only care about adjusted: TFA is currently #21. It is going to beat TPM and even the original JP at this point (but remember according to Excel that franchise is bigger) and will be the first movie to hit the top 10 in the adjusted field...without adjusting. Sorry Snow White and maybe the Exorcist. If it reaches $1 BIL it might even knock off Doctor Zhivago. TFA beating The Exorcist on the domestic adjusted list is really what I want. Currently, Disney's highest domestic adjusted film is Snow White at number 10. It would be such a major accomplishment for TFA to get to number 9 on the list. It's not a goal that I ever dreamed of before TFA was released, but seeing the type of run that TFA is on, it has made me greedy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 2 minutes ago, Jonwo said: I never thought The Hobbit was likely to be a summer release, I think WB only scheduled there so they could swap with another WB film later on, FOX originally had Apes for a Memorial Day slot and X-Men in July before they swapped them around. There was a two year gap between the fifth HP film and the sixth HP film because WB needed a big film for summer 2009, had they not done that, I think Deathly Hallows part I and II would have been a year apart. I think if SW does move, the other studios will try and get that Memorial Day slot and WB will move Ready Player One either a week later or to 2018. I think if SW8 does move and nothing's put in its place, Wonder Woman takes the 2017 Memorial Day opening. Actually, I wonder if Disney's waiting to see whether Avatar 2 is going to happen in time for 2017 or not. It's not a question about which film is going to end up bigger, but rather that the box office potential for both is so large that neither studio wants to try a heads up fight. If mid-December is so valuable and Avatar does end up being ready, but Disney really wants to keep the date, the shifting between the two will be mighty interesting. Right now it feels like SW Saga films have the prime pick, but Avatar can probably push aside any SW Story films if Fox is really keen. Perhaps we see something where the Saga and Avatar films alternate years (SW '17, Av '18, and so forth.) With the Story films getting the traditional Memorial Day slot? Hmm... that could be the best possible answer for Disney. If they really want the 40th anniversary tie in, but want SW8 to get the prime December, they could delay Rogue One from December until May. They could even play it up as directly before ANH, to really pull that anniversary feel in. (Moreso if it's the return of Darth Vader.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 If the actuals is 20M+, then TFA will have grossed more than $20M for 17 straight days. Of course, that's a record. And one that's probably not going to fall for a long while. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Community Manager Water Bottle Posted January 4, 2016 Community Manager Share Posted January 4, 2016 4 minutes ago, Walt Disney said: TFA beating The Exorcist on the domestic adjusted list is really what I want. Currently, Disney's highest domestic adjusted film is Snow White at number 10. It would be such a major accomplishment for TFA to get to number 9 on the list. It's not a goal that I ever dreamed of before TFA was released, but seeing the type of run that TFA is on, it has made me greedy. The real question is...what is TFA going to adjust to in 10 years? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ocho Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 14 minutes ago, Darth Water Bottle said: So: TFA is like $8 million away from beating Avatar's first-run DOM gross. Since some people only care about adjusted: TFA is currently #21. It is going to beat TPM and even the original JP at this point (but remember according to Excel that franchise is bigger) and will be the first movie to hit the top 10 in the adjusted field...without adjusting. Sorry Snow White and maybe the Exorcist. If it reaches $1 BIL it might even knock off Doctor Zhivago. Noooooooooo........Love Snow White! Maybe Snow can get a re-release with a Frozen like "Sing along" to beat DZ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 6 minutes ago, Darth Water Bottle said: The real question is...what is TFA going to adjust to in 10 years? At $1 billion, if the rate is the same as the last 10 years, about $1.22 billion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 90-91 is great. Though I have to admit last weekend at this time I thought Avatar would be gone today. Not like there's anything to complain about obviously. Crazy that this is the 6th SW film to win its year. Stupid AotC 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theendsnotnearitshere Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Another thing that bothers me when comparing modern flicks with fossils like GWTW BO wise is jus how the entertainment industry has evolved since. I mean, I'm writing this while watching turtle porn on my iPad and wirelessly playing Adele's new album. I doubt people led such profound, leisure filled lives back in 1939. Tele, can you confirm this? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted January 4, 2016 Author Share Posted January 4, 2016 So 90M is all but assured, assuming Friday and Saturday estimates are on point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I knew Disney was lowballing that Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
