Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5

[MasterDodsen]

Today's the day, people. Mark it down - January 16, 2016 - as the day Star Wars dethroned Avatar on the adjusted gross chart. 

Maybe next weekend or sometime shortly thereafter, it'll get the magical mark of 100M tickets sold; a feat only 9 films ever accomplished.

May the Force be with us all!

[TalismanRing]

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic) Fri, Jan. 15 - Sun, Jan. 17

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Wide (1000+)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Ride Along 2	$33,000,000	--	3,175	--	$10,394	$33,000,000	1	Universal
2	The Revenant (2015)	$32,500,000	-18%	3,559	184	$9,132	$90,674,769	4	Fox
3	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	$26,500,000	-37%	3,822	-312	$6,934	$852,432,841	5	Disney
4	13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi	$16,500,000	--	2,389	--	$6,907	$16,500,000	1	Paramount
5	Daddy's Home	$9,500,000	-37%	3,322	-161	$2,860	$129,456,102	4	Paramount
6	Norm of the North	$6,400,000	--	2,411	--	$2,655	$6,400,000	1	Lionsgate
7	The Big Short	$5,400,000	-13%	1,765	-764	$3,059	$50,720,882	6	Paramount
8	Sisters	$4,500,000	-37%	2,313	-551	$1,946	$80,933,630	5	Universal
9	The Hateful Eight	$3,500,000	-45%	2,385	-553	$1,468	$47,648,491	4	Weinstein Company
10	Joy	$3,000,000	-33%	1,796	-717	$1,670	$51,650,268	4	Fox
11	Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip	$2,600,000	-54%	2,221	-751	$1,171	$79,313,025	5	Fox
12	Concussion (2015)	$1,000,000	-67%	1,041	-1015	$961	$33,044,230	4	Sony / Columbia

Limited (100 — 999)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Brooklyn	$1,700,000	61%	687	393	$2,475	$24,649,613	11	Fox Searchlight
2	Carol	$1,500,000	1%	790	265	$1,899	$9,195,854	9	Weinstein Company
3	The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2	$1,200,000	-43%	797	-430	$1,506	$279,378,868	9	Lionsgate
4	Creed	$1,100,000	-27%	878	-123	$1,253	$107,264,603	8	Warner Bros. / New Line
5	The Martian	$470,000	25%	275	4	$1,709	$227,143,040	16	Fox
6	Point Break (2015)	$440,000	-80%	504	-1477	$873	$27,940,301	4	Warner Bros.
7	The Peanuts Movie	$250,000	-9%	259	-27	$965	$129,460,107	11	Fox

Platform (1 — 99)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Anomalisa	$275,000	27%	37	20	$7,432	$849,990	3	Paramount
2	Youth	$145,000	-22%	94	-1	$1,543	$2,225,607	7	Fox Searchlight

[CJohn]

The Revenant is gonna win the weekend. 

[filmlover]

27 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

So, next week we officially have the first bomb of year, with it's currently 20% score at Tomatoes, zero buzz and no stars, can we expect at least $15m for T5W?  

Next weekend looks like a typical January weekend of movies their studios clearly having no faith in coming and going fast. The 5th Wave looks like another YA non-starter, Dirty Grandpa looks like a waste of everyone's time, and I don't even know what the hell The Boy is.

[TalismanRing]

7

The Forest

$6,000,000

-53%

2,509

58

$2,391

$21,333,634

2

Focus / Gramercy

[The Gotham Bank]

Got a good feeling that The Revenant will hit $33M. LET'S GOOO.

[CJohn]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Next weekend looks like a typical January weekend of movies their studios clearly having no faith in coming and going fast. The 5th Wave looks like another YA non-starter, Dirty Grandpa looks like a waste of everyone's time, and I don't even know what the hell The Boy is.

Horror movie with the hot woman from The Walking Dead.

[filmlover]

Just now, CJohn said:

Horror movie with the hot woman from The Walking Dead.

I've never watched The Walking Dead lol.

[MovieMan89]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Next weekend looks like a typical January weekend of movies their studios clearly having no faith in coming and going fast. The 5th Wave looks like another YA non-starter, Dirty Grandpa looks like a waste of everyone's time, and I don't even know what the hell The Boy is.

A horror movie about a boy who died so now his parents pretend his doll is him.  The trailer was all kinds of unintentional hilarity. 

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

I've never watched The Walking Dead lol.

Keep doing that. It is the best decision. 

[Ethan Hunt]

The Boy looks like the most generic shit ever

[MovieMan89]

6 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Keep doing that. It is the best decision. 

I unfortunately am trapped with the garbage, as I made a deal a couple years back to my zombie obsessed friend to get him to finally watch Breaking Bad if I would watch TWD. The deal was we both had to watch all seasons, so I pray that TWD isn't one of those 10 season shows.  The worst part is he didn't even like BB that much, said all the characters were horrible people so there was no one to root for. 

Edited January 16, 2016 by MovieMan89

[AniNate]

3 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

The Boy looks like the most generic shit ever

 

And The Noun is the most generic title ever. You could fill that blank with anything and make a horror movie out of it

 

Just looking at what's in front of me:

 

THE CUP

 

THE WATER

 

THE PEN

 

THE MOUSE

 

THE DESK

 

 

THE PAPER

 

THE KEYBOARD

[CJohn]

4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I unfortunately am trapped with the garbage, as I made a deal a couple years back to my zombie obsessed friend to get him to finally watch Breaking Bad if I would watch TWD. The deal was we both had to watch all seasons, so I pray that TWD isn't one of those 10 season shows.  The worst part is he didn't even like BB that much, said all the characters were horrible people so there was no one to root for. 

lmao, The Walking Dead will have way more than 10 seasons

 

[Ethan Hunt]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I unfortunately am trapped with the garbage, as I made a deal a couple years back to my zombie obsessed friend to get him to finally watch Breaking Bad if I would watch TWD. The deal was we both had to watch all seasons, so I pray that TWD isn't one of those 10 season shows.  The worst part is he didn't even like BB that much, said all the characters were horrible people so there was no one to root for. 

Save yourself ( watch The Good Wife)

[kayumanggi]

Early Weekend Analysis: #TheRevenant & #RideAlong2 May Split 3-Day/4-Day First Place Claims; #StarWars Still... https://t.co/1KDdSC0OCZ

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice)

January 16, 2016

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, tribefan695 said:

 

And The Noun is the most generic title ever. You could fill that blank with anything and make a horror movie out of it

 

Just looking at what's in front of me:

 

THE CUP

 

THE WATER

 

THE PEN

 

THE MOUSE

 

THE DESK

 

 

THE PAPER

 

THE KEYBOARD

People will just confuse it with the Ron Howard movie from 1994.

[Joel M]

 

13 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

200-225 mill DOM could almost do it alone and let tv and stream take care of the rest...

But this should do 400-500 mill WW with a BP win

 

I think it can do that even without the BP win. It's gonna be close to 100M by monday and it already opened very well in 3 big markets OS last week. 

 

I also think just the whole Leo and his memes victory lap over the next month will be more free press for the movie than whatever buzz BP frontrunner status would give it.

[lilmac]

Ride Along 2 will gross $93-$94m overall

[MovieMan89]

2 hours ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

Ouch! Just noticed now that amazing 57% drop for TF, where's @MovieMan89 I told you, a Saturday increase = good legs 

Did we discuss TF's legs? Pretty ambivalent to its run. Good for it though. 

 

1 hour ago, Jonwo said:

 

I suspect Fox must be relieved that The Revenant is doing well, I suspect they were prepared to write it off. It still needs to do $400m WW to break even which I think is doable 

Absolutely insane that movie needed to make so much to be profitable and might actually do it. I give major props to Fox here for having the guts to throw all that money at a gigantic marketing campaign after the budget had more than doubled its approved amount. I guess they figured at that point they had to either accept it would be a big write off or try to market it like a blockbuster since it ended up with a blockbuster budget. Could have really dug a hole for themselves, but it paid off especially with all this awards buzz this week. Although the conspirator in me has to wonder if they potentially bought out those wins with the HFPA. It is awfully convenient that the film pulled two major upsets at the Globes on the Sunday it opens...

Edited January 16, 2016 by MovieMan89