filmlover Posted November 22, 2016 Share Posted November 22, 2016 Now that reviews are coming in for Fences, I'm beginning to think Casey Affleck is winning. Washington's reviews are strong but the film itself doesn't appear like it will be strong enough to win multiple Oscars (especially when Davis still has Supporting Actress in the bag with the notices she's getting). Fences is currently sitting at 67 on MC compared to the insane 95 for Manchester by the Sea. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 (edited) waiting to see if casey gets nate parker'd. this article just came up. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/11/22/casey-affleck-s-dark-secret-the-disturbing-allegations-against-the-oscar-hopeful.html i've seen a couple stories pop up about this but nothing seems to be sticking. there's probably a thinkpiece worth writing eventually about how this stuff is revealed about a black actor and it destroys his career and the white guy might win an oscar (and the other white guy gets to be president). Edited November 23, 2016 by CoolioD1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 I don't see it sticking tbh. Affleck and the victims settled out of court and part of the agreement is no doubt that they can't speak about it. Unless there are others... Not to mention everyone citing this Daily Beast article that has somehow *magically* surfaced around the time of the movie's release kinda rubs me the wrong way. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 Honestly an actor/actress' personal life should not be considered when awards regarding his/her performance are presented , they are 2 very different things Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 After seeing Manchester by the Sea, there's no way Casey Affleck isn't winning this. You tried, everybody else. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 I'm beginning to think that either Joel Edgerton or Viggo Mortensen will take 5th place and not Hanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 53 minutes ago, filmlover said: I'm beginning to think that either Joel Edgerton or Viggo Mortensen will take 5th place and not Hanks. I have a similar idea, but my replacement is Chris Pine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 12, 2016 Share Posted December 12, 2016 Just now, WrathOfHan said: I have a similar idea, but my replacement is Chris Pine. I guess SAG will be telling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Wow, just saw Fences. I know this is probably Casey Affleck's one and only chance in his career to win an Oscar, which kind of works to his advantage from a narrative standpoint, but Denzel really deserves it. Talk about some serious method acting chops. I wouldn't be surprised if this is another Streep upsets Davis situation, where the acting legend with multiple wins is just too good and beats out the award season novice who everyone predicts to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 Being this good is why he is locked for a nomination but he won't win simply because Afleck is way better up until now Denzel hasn't won anything except for the african american film critics association award ( if you read the name you might know why they awarded him ) as opposed to Affleck who took home every award there is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 I dunno if Streep won because she was just too good, I think they just threw their hands up in the air and said fuck it it's been 30 years we might as well give you a third one now. Denzel has won his second relatively recently and is not getting nominations year after year after year to the point where he basically leaves them no choice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 1 hour ago, Jake Gittes said: I dunno if Streep won because she was just too good, I think they just threw their hands up in the air and said fuck it it's been 30 years we might as well give you a third one now. Denzel has won his second relatively recently and is not getting nominations year after year after year to the point where he basically leaves them no choice. Agreed with this. Denzel's getting nominated but isn't winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted December 26, 2016 Share Posted December 26, 2016 I still think Denzel is a threat for the win, especially if voters decide that they're too uncomfortable with the sex scandals associated with Affleck. It would even be an odd instance of history kinda-sorta repeating itself given that he won his second Oscar against an actor whose unseemly behavior turned voters off. It would also be an easy way to respond to the Oscars so white controversy with "See? We're not racist!" if a beloved black actor were to tie for most male acting wins. Sight unseen, I'm guessing that it's also a showier performance than Affleck's quieter work (even if Affleck does get that devastating monologue that will almost certainly be played as his Oscar clip). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 Mahershalah Ali and Viola Davis will win , the oscars are already not so white that they don't need to award Denzel to prove it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 It is really difficult to see Casey not winning at this point. Not only because of the performance, but also because Manchester is such a big player this year. AMPAS will want to reward it accordingly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 At this moment, 90% of us would agree that the nominees will be Casey Affleck Denzel Washington Andrew Garfield Ryan Gosling Viggo Mortensen With two possible spoilers: Joel Edgerton and Tom Hanks 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 27, 2016 Share Posted December 27, 2016 3 hours ago, stripe said: At this moment, 90% of us would agree that the nominees will be Casey Affleck Denzel Washington Andrew Garfield Ryan Gosling Viggo Mortensen With two possible spoilers: Joel Edgerton and Tom Hanks Yep. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 (edited) I think this Sunday will give me a better idea of who the possible spoilers will be in terms of getting that fifth spot. My shoe ins are Ryan Gosling, Casey Affleck, Denzel Washington and Andrew Garfield. Edited out because I'm still catching up on who is eligible in the category lol I don't think Tom Hanks is getting a nom. Sully has been shown the door in terms of awards love. I agree with Joel Edgerton sneaking in as well. Loving has been getting a lot of love so I can see the Academy giving Edgerton that fifth slot. It'll be interesting to see who the Academy gives that fifth slot to though. Either way Casey Affleck is winning this thing. I'm more sure of it than I was last year with Leo winning his lol Edited January 6, 2017 by Nova Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 Grant will go supporting at the oscars like he did at the SAG awards. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted January 6, 2017 Share Posted January 6, 2017 (edited) 14 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: Grant will go supporting at the oscars like he did at the SAG awards. I was just coming in to say that I just saw this after reading that online lol Never mind then. I think the spoiler will be Edgerton then and the other 4 I mentioned. I don't think Viggo is getting a nom. Edited January 6, 2017 by Nova 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
