Jake Gittes Posted August 23, 2016 Share Posted August 23, 2016 I'm thinking this is between Scorsese and Chazelle unless we get someone out of left field. Parker is out, Ang Lee already has two statues, Villeneuve's is an unambiguous sci-fi movie, Lonergan's is more of a writer's movie, Washington would have to seriously up his game to be considered for a win. Who else is there? I'd love it to be James Gray but it'll be a long shot even if the movie blows everyone away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted August 24, 2016 Share Posted August 24, 2016 Chazelle Jenkins Lee Lonergan Villeneuve Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted August 30, 2016 Share Posted August 30, 2016 First GoldDerby expert predictions for Best Director nominations (doesn't include Silence): http://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/expert-predictions/oscars-nominations-2017/director/sort/recent/ Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea - 17 Ang Lee, Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 17 Damien Chazelle, La La Land - 16 Jeff Nichols, Loving - 11 Denzel Washington, Fences - 10 Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation - 7 Denis Villeneuve, Arrival - 4 Ewan McGregor, American Pastoral - 3Clint Eastwood, Sully - 2 Maren Ade, Toni Erdmann - 1 Andrea Arnold, American Honey - 1 Garth Davis, Lion - 1 Stephen Frears, Florence Foster Jenkins - 1 Yorgos Lanthimos, The Lobster - 1 Tate Taylor, The Girl on the Train - 1 Morten Tyldum, Passengers - 1 Robert Zemeckis, Allied - 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 1. Chazelle 2. Scorsese 3. Lonergan 4. Lee 5. Villeneuve Alt.: Washington or Jenkins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted October 4, 2016 Share Posted October 4, 2016 On 9/26/2016 at 0:58 PM, Jake Gittes said: 1. Chazelle 2. Scorsese 3. Lonergan 4. Lee 5. Villeneuve Alt.: Washington or Jenkins Top four feels right. I'll go Jenkins over Villeneuve. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 5, 2016 Share Posted October 5, 2016 (edited) New predictions: 1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land 2. Ang Lee, Billy Lynn 3. Martin Scorsese, Silence 4. Denis Villeneuve, Arrival 5. Pablo Larrain, Jackie Edited October 5, 2016 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 15, 2016 Share Posted October 15, 2016 On 26.09.2016 at 9:58 PM, Jake Gittes said: 1. Chazelle 2. Scorsese 3. Lonergan 4. Lee 5. Villeneuve Alt.: Washington or Jenkins 1. Chazelle 2. Scorsese 3. Lonergan 4. Villeneuve 5. Larrain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 16, 2016 Share Posted October 16, 2016 Billy Lynn failing frees this category up a bit. I think Jenkins could sneak in, small movies have gotten in before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 29, 2016 Author Share Posted October 29, 2016 Something to consider about Chazelle-if he wins he will break a 85 year old record of the youngest director win ever (youngest was 32 years old). Which is something to consider for those putting him as the frontrunner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 Don't think that'll be much of an obstacle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 After seeing Moonlight, I think Jenkins is in. His work his superb and I can see the director's branch really going for it (FYI: when the movie screened at TIFF, Jonathan Demme and Darren Aronofsky were some of the big names in attendance at the screening, and Demme was one of the people to ask him a question during the Q&A afterwards). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 5 hours ago, filmlover said: After seeing Moonlight, I think Jenkins is in. His work his superb and I can see the director's branch really going for it (FYI: when the movie screened at TIFF, Jonathan Demme and Darren Aronofsky were some of the big names in attendance at the screening, and Demme was one of the people to ask him a question during the Q&A afterwards). It depends on how much they push Moonlight, even with all the acclaim, A24 will probably campaign the film for best picture primarily, Jenkins could wind up being getting snubbed because of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 well A24 did a similar thing last year with room and lenny abrahamson got that directing nod most people weren't expecting. if the director's branch likes the movie that's all it needs man. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsoft Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 32 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: well A24 did a similar thing last year with room and lenny abrahamson got that directing nod most people weren't expecting. if the director's branch likes the movie that's all it needs man. Yeah, I didn't think Lenny could get in before the nomination day, I think Moonlight will likely have stronger buzz even than room. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 2 hours ago, Fancyarcher said: It depends on how much they push Moonlight, even with all the acclaim, A24 will probably campaign the film for best picture primarily, Jenkins could wind up being getting snubbed because of it. The Beasts of the Southern Wild guy got in over heavyweights like Affleck and Bigelow. Nothing is impossible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted October 30, 2016 Share Posted October 30, 2016 10 hours ago, filmlover said: The Beasts of the Southern Wild guy got in over heavyweights like Affleck and Bigelow. Nothing is impossible. True, anything's possible at this point I suppose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted October 31, 2016 Author Share Posted October 31, 2016 18 hours ago, Fancyarcher said: True, anything's possible at this point I suppose. Yes even Max Steel, Dirty Grandpa, The Witch and 50 Shades of Black all picking up nominations (Going off of what I've heard are some of the worse of the year-The Witch is one I've heard from horror fans is not scary or disturbing like the critics said it was) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 The Witch is top 5 of the year material dude. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Chazelle Jenkins Larrain Scorcese Villeneuve Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 7 minutes ago, Spaghetti said: Chazelle Jenkins Larrain Scorcese Villeneuve That's where I'm at. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
