Tuesday Numbers: 6.10 M ZOOTOPIA | 2.57 M 10 CLOVERFIELD LANE | 1.41 M DEADPOOL

[narniadis]

5 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

Still, it's a bit relieving that it did increase rather than match or decrease the original's numbers in some form, but I guess the real test of how well it'll perform will be this weekend. I think a 50% drop is the very minimal base, but I don't think it will spike as bad as the original did. Not from the looks of it, at least.

 

Yeah, its doing better at this point - but there are so many factors that have changed since 2008 - not even taking into account the difference in release windows, the cheap Tuesday / Freefall Wednesday pattern didn't really start to be a huge thing until early 2009 and didn't become an established pattern until 2010 or so (as you can see with cloverfield it's T/W patterns were generally stable down similar percentages on both days.) There does seem to be better WOM for 10CL but again you really can't judge that anymore unless it's incredibly bad or extremely good. It's going to collapse a good 25%+ tomorrow and probably another 5-6% on thursday as the early showings of Allegient bite into the IMAX / showtimes and then it wont go up on Friday nearly as well as Cloverfield did due to spring break. 

 

so....

Wed = 1.92 (-25%)

Thurs = 1.83 (-5%)

Fri = 3.38 (+85, generous IMO)

Sat = 4.74 (+40, also generous)

Sun = 3.08 (-35%)

Weekend of 11.21m -54.7% and I think thats a Best Case (course I could be wrong, I am a lot so take it with a grain of salt )

[narniadis]

double post sorry - not sure how that happened

Edited March 16, 2016 by narniadis
double post

[cannastop]

This is amazing for Zootopia. Certainly isn't dampening my enthusiasm at all!

[CelestialFairyIX]

Zootopia's third weekend is going to probably champion over Inside Out's... 0_0  If even Inside Out had an adversity achieving a 4x multiplier, I certainly hope Zootopia doesn't fall flat by 0.01% or something.

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

Zootopia's third weekend is going to probably champion over Inside Out's... 0_0  If even Inside Out had an adversity achieving a 4x multiplier, I certainly hope Zootopia doesn't fall flat by 0.01% or something.

Even people who aren't blinded by fandom think that Zootopia's 3rd weekend will be over $30 million.

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

Zootopia's third weekend is going to probably champion over Inside Out's... 0_0  If even Inside Out had an adversity achieving a 4x multiplier, I certainly hope Zootopia doesn't fall flat by 0.01% or something.

 

Even with a bigger weekend than IO it's still going to be tough going to get to the 4x point (300m) but I understand your concern - I would much rather it peter out at like 270 than get to 295 lol

[mahnamahna]

42 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Even with a bigger weekend than IO it's still going to be tough going to get to the 4x point (300m) but I understand your concern - I would much rather it peter out at like 270 than get to 295 lol

Its already $41 million ahead of BH6 at the same point - which puts it on pace for $264 million DOM, currently.

 

Since its 3rd weekend should be much stronger than BH6, the lead should just continue growing until mid-April. 

[Arlo245]

Box Office Mojo put up a new showdown for Zootopia comparing it to recent animation (Minions, Inside Out, The Lego Movie, and Frozen) I believe it can only pass The Lego Movie though.

Recent CG Animated Hits

 

• Summary Stats
•  
• Daily Box Office
•  
• Weekend Box Office
•  
• Weekly Box Office

 

Movie Summary	Zootopia	Inside Out	The LEGO Movie	Minions	Frozen
Genre	Animation	Animation	Animation	Animation	Animation
Studio	Buena Vista	Buena Vista	Warner Bros.	Universal	Buena Vista
Release Date	March 4, 2016	June 19, 2015	February 7, 2014	July 10, 2015	November 22, 2013
Domestic Gross	$154,609,402	$356,461,711	$257,760,692	$336,045,770	$400,738,009
Production Budget	n/a	$175 million	$60 million	$74 million	$150 million
Running Time	1 hr. 48 min.	1 hr. 34 min.	1 hr. 40 min.	1 hr. 31 min.	1 hr. 48 min.
MPAA Rating	PG	PG	PG	PG	PG
MPAA Reason	some thematic elements, rude humor and action	mild thematic elements and some action.	mild action and rude humor.	action and rude humor.	some action and mild rude humor.

[langer]

10 minutes ago, mahnamahna said:

Its already $41 million ahead of BH6 at the same point - which puts it on pace for $264 million DOM, currently.

 

Since its 3rd weekend should be much stronger than BH6, the lead should just continue growing until mid-April. 

 

BH6 is not the perfect  comparison because it was not release at the same time of the year.  You're right that it is pacing for a total around 270M though.

Edited March 16, 2016 by langer

[sfran43]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Zootopia	BV	$6,053,209	+32%	+13%	3,827	$1,582	$154,609,402	12
2	2	10 Cloverfield Lane	Par.	$2,567,729	+23%	-	3,391	$757	$29,358,246	5
3	3	Deadpool	Fox	$1,406,236	+19%	-16%	3,331	$422	$330,803,968	33
4	4	London Has Fallen	Focus	$1,346,863	+33%	-37%	3,492	$386	$41,374,788	12
5	5	Whiskey Tango Foxtrot	Par.	$608,477	+45%	-25%	2,413	$252	$15,666,322	12
6	6	The Brothers Grimsby	Sony	$398,753	+25%	-	2,235	$178	$3,977,288	5
7	9	The Young Messiah	Focus	$381,484	+49%	-	1,761	$217	$3,932,812	5
8	8	Gods of Egypt	LG/S	$357,366	+35%	-37%	2,306	$155	$27,981,316	19
9	7	The Perfect Match	LGF	$331,747	+8%	-	925	$359	$4,933,076	5
10	11	Kung Fu Panda 3	Fox	$331,716	+59%	+25%	1,650	$201	$137,005,309	47
11	10	Risen	Sony	$294,176	+32%	-36%	2,095	$140	$32,944,733	26
12	-	Eddie the Eagle	Fox	$230,164	+33%	-32%	1,568	$147	$13,892,611	19
-	12	The Revenant	Fox	$223,338	+16%	-27%	1,303	$171	$179,615,436	82
-	-	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$166,095	+15%	+2%	760	$219	$931,067,821	89
-	-	How to Be Single	WB	$158,108	+50%	-43%	767	$206	$45,372,289	33
-	-	Spotlight	ORF	$122,389	+22%	-42%	847	$144	$43,410,394	131
-	-	Race (2016)	Focus	$92,234	+23%	-48%	689	$134	$18,000,212	26
-	-	The Other Side of the Door	Fox	$77,786	+21%	-35%	585	$133	$2,442,445	12
-	-	Triple 9	ORF	$74,062	+9%	-77%	695	$107	$12,034,219	19
-	-	Brooklyn	FoxS	$41,130	+32%	-17%	225	$183	$37,710,590	133
-	-	Ride Along 2	Uni.	$40,580	+9%	-22%	368	$110	$90,181,060	61
-	-	The Mermaid (Mei ren yu)	Sony	$35,852	+80%	-43%	82	$437	$3,059,421	26
-	-	Daddy's Home	Par.	$33,235	+17%	+13%	232	$143	$149,322,663	82
-	-	Hail, Caesar!	Uni.	$31,775	+11%	-28%	255	$125	$29,763,200	40
-	-	The Big Short	Par.	$30,687	+11%	-32%	222	$138	$69,874,182	96
-	-	Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip	Fox	$28,709	+45%	+119%	181	$159	$85,284,400	89
-	-	The Boy (2016)	STX	$28,306	+25%	-9%	216	$131	$35,531,505	54
-	-	Zoolander 2	Par.	$22,595	+8%	-37%	244	$93	$28,659,204	33
-	-	13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi	Par.	$13,983	+3%	-25%	181	$77	$52,729,623	61
-	-	Norm of the North	LGF	$13,265	+41%	+53%	134	$99	$17,039,809	61
-	-	Dirty Grandpa	LGF	$11,776	+20%	-39%	156	$75	$35,559,147	54
-	-	The Choice	LGF	$8,946	+19%	-51%	165	$54	$18,624,684	40
-	-	Busco Novio Para Mi Mujer	LGF	$8,051	+54%	+1%	39	$206	$1,734,980	26
-	-	Spectre	Sony	$5,849	+22%	+43%	16	$366	$199,959,126	131
-	-	Fifty Shades of Black	ORF	$5,207	-26%	-22%	57	$91	$11,624,869	47
-	-	Carol	Wein.	$3,861	+2%	-21%	33	$117	$12,665,897	117
-	-	The Hateful Eight	Wein.	$3,813	+8%	-8%	41	$93	$53,692,552	82
-	-	The Forest	Focus	$2,870	+14%	-6%	36	$80	$26,588,760	68
-	-	Marguerite	Cohen	$2,796	+11%	-	3	$932	$25,230	5
-	-	The Danish Girl	Focus	$2,724	+91%	-49%	15	$182	$11,109,941	110
-	-	Mustang	Cohen	$2,595	+43%	-	21	$124	$797,530	117
-	-	Rams (Hrútar)	Cohen	$959	+42%	-	5	$192	$94,121	42

[superduperm]

4 hours ago, tribefan695 said:

Don't get too excited, y'all. Rango also had a big increase its second Tuesday

Rango increased 9%

 

This increased 31.5%

 

Nice try, though.

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, superduperm said:

Rango increased 9%

 

This increased 31.5%

 

Nice try, though.

Zootopia is just surpassing all kinds of estimates. I think I'll be vindicated on this one.  

[AniNate]

4 hours ago, tribefan695 said:

Don't get too excited, y'all. Rango also had a big increase its second Tuesday

Rango increased 9%

 

This increased 31.5%

 

Nice try, though.

From the Monday. Rango increased 24% from the previous Tuesday while Zootopia increased 13%

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, tribefan695 said:

From the Monday. Rango increased 24% from the previous Tuesday while Zootopia increased 13%

Thanks for that clarification. I'm still delighted at Zootopia's success, though.

[AniNate]

Rango had steep drops its third week. If Zootopia can avoid that that would be the big sign of a leggy run

[yjs]

too early to ask and a bit of a pointless question too but, will Zootopia make the yearend dom top 10? even if it makes like $260M which is the most conservative prediction right now, I'm not so sure about this particularly competitive year. At least 9 or 10 other future releases I can easily see potentially breaking $260M, hell even $300M.

Edited March 17, 2016 by yjs

[TalismanRing]

4 hours ago, narniadis said:

 

Even with a bigger weekend than IO it's still going to be tough going to get to the 4x point (300m) but I understand your concern - I would much rather it peter out at like 270 than get to 295 lol

I can't see it doing less than $280m and $290m+ is looking pretty possible

 

LEGO was at $183m after a $31m 3rd weekend, and made another $74m+

 

After this w/e Zoo will be near $200m probably coming off a $35m+ w/e with Spring Break and Easter Holiday coming up the next week, then it has 3 more weeks after that until JB.

[WrathOfHan]

11 minutes ago, yjs said:

too early to ask and a bit of a pointless question too but, will Zootopia make the yearend dom top 10? even if it makes like $260M which is the most conservative prediction right now, I'm not so sure about this particularly competitive year. At least 9 or 10 other future releases I can easily see potentially breaking $260M, hell even $300M.

Yes. 

[zackzack]

4 hours ago, narniadis said:

 

Even with a bigger weekend than IO it's still going to be tough going to get to the 4x point (300m) but I understand your concern - I would much rather it peter out at like 270 than get to 295 lol

 

It would probably do Incredibles' number $260M 

[zackzack]

4 hours ago, Arlo245 said:

Box Office Mojo put up a new showdown for Zootopia comparing it to recent animation (Minions, Inside Out, The Lego Movie, and Frozen) I believe it can only pass The Lego Movie though.

Recent CG Animated Hits

 

• Summary Stats
•  
• Daily Box Office
•  
• Weekend Box Office
•  
• Weekly Box Office

 

Movie Summary	Zootopia	Inside Out	The LEGO Movie	Minions	Frozen
Genre	Animation	Animation	Animation	Animation	Animation
Studio	Buena Vista	Buena Vista	Warner Bros.	Universal	Buena Vista
Release Date	March 4, 2016	June 19, 2015	February 7, 2014	July 10, 2015	November 22, 2013
Domestic Gross	$154,609,402	$356,461,711	$257,760,692	$336,045,770	$400,738,009
Production Budget	n/a	$175 million	$60 million	$74 million	$150 million
Running Time	1 hr. 48 min.	1 hr. 34 min.	1 hr. 40 min.	1 hr. 31 min.	1 hr. 48 min.
MPAA Rating	PG	PG	PG	PG	PG
MPAA Reason	some thematic elements, rude humor and action	mild thematic elements and some action.	mild action and rude humor.	action and rude humor.	some action and mild rude humor.

 

I don't understand how Disney animation cost so damn much....?? The cast is in the voice box, no location shooting, everything is done inside a computer, how can it cost $150-$175M? Mad Max Fury Road costing close to $200M is understandable: delayed production, location is in the middle of nowhere, practical stunts, and expensive looking CGI.

Minions & Lego price tags are more reasonable.

 

Edited March 17, 2016 by zackzack