NCsoft Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: ~$32mn weekend $50mn full run. That would be terrifying for Alita, thankfully it won't suffer that fate... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said: ~$32mn weekend $50mn full run. eh? what are you on about Olives was talking about a half-black panther, I'm not sure what colour half-black is meant to be? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Alita (7 days out) Midnight - 672k OD - 4.08m (29%) (33353 shows) Sat - 1.49m Sun - 727k Total - ¥6.96mn or $1.03mn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: eh? what are you on about Olives was talking about a half-black panther, I'm not sure what colour half-black is meant to be? That 32 and 50 is half of what Panther did. I don't think so however, pre sales are good. I haven't checked them for non CBM movies so can't really tell how good they are until Monday. @POTUS and @ZeeSoh will have better idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Alita (7 days out) Midnight - 672k OD - 4.08m (29%) (33353 shows) Sat - 1.49m Sun - 727k Total - ¥6.96mn or $1.03mn Should be 6 days out 1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said: That 32 and 50 is half of what Panther did. I don't think so however, pre sales are good. I haven't checked them for non CBM movies so can't really tell how good they are until Monday. @POTUS and @ZeeSoh will have better idea. Maybe Olive meant that Alita's PS was close to half of what BP was at the same point in time. OD PS of some other movies 6 days out Venom - 8.46m (60934 shows) Black Panther - 6.82m (33509 shows) Spiderman Homecoming - 6m Ant Man 2 - 5.87m (42587 shows) Aquaman - 5.1m (43698 shows) <-- only second day of PS Bumblebee - 4.86m (51020 shows) Guardians of the galaxy 2 - 3.2m PS heading to about 30-40m range based on data at this point. Show count still lags though. OW could be in the 50's USD range if ratings are good but we will have a clearer idea closer to release. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 11 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: PS heading to about 30-40m range based on data at this point. Show count still lags though. OW could be in the 50's USD range if ratings are good but we will have a clearer idea closer to release. i concur 1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said: That 32 and 50 is half of what Panther did. I don't think so however, pre sales are good. I haven't checked them for non CBM movies so can't really tell how good they are until Monday. @POTUS and @ZeeSoh will have better idea. PS at 4.08. Should increase roughly (douban rating can affect this) S 25% 5.1m S 25% 6.4 M 35% 8.6 T 40% 12 W 40% 16.9 Th 75% 29.5m Final PS Average PSm 3.5. Good/bad Maoyan rating can boost it to 4 or drop it to 3 OD 103m Fri Multi average is 3.3. Again rating can drop it under 3 or well over 4 OW 340m/$50.3m If its poorly received all 3 factors can be affected by 10% or more. PS= 25 PSm =3 FriM= 3 and its just 225m/$33m or the opposite like BBee where it was looking low $40s OW but a good rating pushed the PSm to 4 and the FriM to 3.67 and $59m OW 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 hour ago, POTUS said: i concur PS at 4.08. Should increase roughly (douban rating can affect this) S 25% 5.1m S 25% 6.4 M 35% 8.6 T 40% 12 W 40% 16.9 Th 75% 29.5m Final PS Average PSm 3.5. Good/bad Maoyan rating can boost it to 4 or drop it to 3 OD 103m Fri Multi average is 3.3. Again rating can drop it under 3 or well over 4 OW 340m/$50.3m If its poorly received all 3 factors can be affected by 10% or more. PS= 25 PSm =3 FriM= 3 and its just 225m/$33m or the opposite like BBee where it was looking low $40s OW but a good rating pushed the PSm to 4 and the FriM to 3.67 and $59m OW how is the buzz for alita ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Alita looks healthy. Not huge for the OW, but the Cameronites are hoping for big legs anyway. CM PS should start up next weekend, right? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Alita looks healthy. Not huge for the OW, but the Cameronites are hoping for big legs anyway. CM PS should start up next weekend, right? I think $100 million would be a successful total for a film like Alita, although I'm a bit concerned about its legs when it has HTTYD3 (buzz seems good for an animated film) just one week after and Captain Marvel the week immediately after that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 10 hours ago, IronJimbo said: eh? what are you on about Olives was talking about a half-black panther, I'm not sure what colour half-black is meant to be? At least this make more sense than those 0.5A silliness. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, justvision said: At least this make more sense than those 0.5A silliness. Nothing silly about 0.5A, that's more than black panther made. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justvision Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 hours ago, IronJimbo said: Nothing silly about 0.5A, that's more than black panther made. Shall I say childish then. Or Cameronitish... If you pretended not to understand what 0.5BP meant, yet you know what 0.5A means, then you deserved to be called out for silliness. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 (edited) 4 hours ago, justvision said: Shall I say childish then. Or Cameronitish... If you pretended not to understand what 0.5BP meant, yet you know what 0.5A means, then you deserved to be called out for silliness. O.5A would be $60M. Edited February 16, 2019 by efialtes76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 (edited) NVM wrong thread Edited February 16, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 On 2/16/2019 at 12:56 AM, Charlie Jatinder said: Alita (6 days out) Midnight - 672k OD - 4.08m (29%) (33353 shows) Sat - 1.49m Sun - 727k Total - ¥6.96mn or $1.03mn Alita (5 days out) Midnight - 794k OD - 4.95m (21.32%) (37098 shows) Sat - 1.73m Sun - 1.03m 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 $50-60 OW * 1.8-2.0x = $90-120 looks like the range for ALITA. Just guesstimating based on everyone's posts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 How to Train Your Dragon 3 has started presales a few days ago, at ¥779k OD with 12k shows. Green Book also opening that day (March 1st) with ¥48k and 1k shows at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, feasby007 said: How to Train Your Dragon 3 has started presales a few days ago, at ¥779k OD with 12k shows. Green Book also opening that day (March 1st) with ¥48k and 1k shows at the moment. any predictions the last one made 65 million there can this hit 80 million ? even though captain marvel will cut its legs and animation is not that big in china 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stewart Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 minute ago, john2000 said: any predictions the last one made 65 million there can this hit 80 million ? even though captain marvel will cut its legs and animation is not that big in china I'm not sure, still too far out on presales. This is the one market I hope it doesn't disappoint as I really loved the movie! Will need to see how its presales change over the next week and how many shows get added. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 (edited) 31 minutes ago, feasby007 said: How to Train Your Dragon 3 has started presales a few days ago, at ¥779k OD with 12k shows. Green Book also opening that day (March 1st) with ¥48k and 1k shows at the moment. HTTYD3 will have previews on February 23rd. Edited February 17, 2019 by efialtes76 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...