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Olive

Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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10 minutes ago, Olive said:

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First movie ever to cross 100M on midnights shows.

Damn, absolutely annihilated the old record and we still have 5 days until the midnight screening. That number will keep increasing, we're potentially looking at 150M midnight!!!!:ohmygod:

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1 minute ago, druv10 said:

Damn, absolutely annihilated the old record and we still have 5 days until the midnight screening. That number will keep increasing, we're potentially looking at 150M midnight!!!!:ohmygod:

¥175-200mn baby.:sparta:

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11 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

¥175-200mn baby.:sparta:

I'm not sure that's realistic with only 30-35k shows.

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5 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I don't know if they updated completely, but at ¥93mn, the occupancy is still 30% on 28k shows, which mean at 100% it will be around ¥300mn. There will still 7k shows more, going by higher limit of @Olive number, assuming they add just ¥50mn to capacity, the midnight capacity shall be around ¥350mn.

 

A:EG was 51% on 19k in midnight, FF8 was 61%  on 19k, A:AOU 54% on 8k and FF7 at 82% on 11k.

 

I will be content with 45%, giving it ¥160mn. If somehow it manage 50%, that will be ¥175mn. Totally do-able.

2 minutes ago, druv10 said:

I'm not sure that's realistic with only 30-35k shows.

 

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Posted (edited)
23 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

If I’m reading it correctly now, it’s gonna up ¥6m in 20 minutes?

Yeah pretty sure (maybe making up for the time frozen?). OD alone has jumped over 2k in the past 30 or so minutes.

 

Edit: Now gone up another 5m in 15 minutes, did prices decrease or something?

Edited by Menor
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19 minutes ago, druv10 said:

I'm not sure that's realistic with only 30-35k shows.

Lets say 75% more shows than IW at 35k.

IW MN 60m × 1.75 =105m

It could have 65% capacity instead of 50%.

105 x 1.3= 136m

Atp 25% higher

136 x 1.25= 163m

It does seem like a reach.

Will need 40k shows or 70%+ capacity-possible

But the current PS and rate do suggest 175m+

 

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Total PS up to 370M , beating FF8( 325M) and MH2(366M), only second to AIW.

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1 minute ago, Olive said:

Total PS up to 370M , beating FF8( 325M) and MH2(366M), only second to AIW.

 

¥372.8m on Maoyan, which is a ¥13m gain in 45 minutes. Must just be catching up because I can’t see real-time sales moving this fast at this hour.

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Posted (edited)
49 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

 

Ahhh ok I was just counting through Sunday. Thanks y’all :) 

Up to Sunday is what we normally look at as its close to zero after sunday this far out but with the holiday there is an extra 10m

At 370m now

671m/ $100m PS is locked

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
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23 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Lets say 75% more shows than IW at 35k.

IW MN 60m × 1.75 =105m

It could have 65% capacity instead of 50%.

105 x 1.3= 136m

Atp 25% higher

136 x 1.25= 163m

It does seem like a reach.

Will need 40k shows or 70%+ capacity-possible

But the current PS and rate do suggest 175m+

 

Yeah, Olive, Gavin or Firedeep can answer. Will midnight capacity exceed 70%?

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28 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Up to Sunday is what we normally look at as its close to zero after sunday this far out but with the holiday there is an extra 10m

At 370m now

671m/ $100m PS is locked

 

Almost ¥380m now. Up ¥20m in just over a hour. What’s going on?!?

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20 hours ago, jordantan29 said:

From Alibaba app all in RMB million

 

23th Midnight: 97.5 (29224)

24th: 118.8 (154112)

25th: 32.4 (109567)

26th: 41.8 (101641)

27th: 51.8 (92235)

28th: 13.8 (76805)

Total presales: 371

Can someone give Taopiaopiao data for today. Will help in estimating yesterday daily gain.

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Avengers: Endgame T-6 days

Midnight: ¥94mn (28k shows) (+11%)
Wednesday: ¥114.7mn (149k shows) (+11%)
Thursday: ¥27.3mn (103k shows) (+17%)
Friday: ¥36.3mn (92k shows) (+15%)
Saturday: ¥44.4mn (85k shows) (+16%)
Sunday: ¥11.3mn (71k shows) (+19%)


Total: ¥328mn or $49mn (+14%)

Comp
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk

 

All numbers are estimated for Yesterday. Today's report in one hour.

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16 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Almost ¥380m now. Up ¥20m in just over a hour. What’s going on?!?

After every great freeze... is a great thaw 🎉

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3 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Are previews rolled into the opening day gross like it is in America or are they separated in China?

Sometimes studios report opening day including previews, but mostly it's weekend that get most traction.

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4 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Are previews rolled into the opening day gross like it is in America or are they separated in China?

Depends on context as Charlie inferred.

 

Record wise they're separated: http://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/day

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Avengers: Endgame T-5 days

Midnight: ¥104.5mn (29k shows) (+11%)
Wednesday: ¥126.9mn (154k shows) (+11%)
Thursday: ¥31.6mn (103k shows) (+16%)
Friday: ¥42.3mn (102k shows) (+17%)
Saturday: ¥51.6mn (93k shows) (+18%)
Sunday: ¥13.5mn (78k shows) (+19%)


Total: ¥370.4mn or $55mn (+12%)

Comp
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14veIao3B3dsFN11hxTEdpCgqkrdb9fq2PX3HiNH060s/edit?usp=drivesdk

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