Official Weekend Estimates (Page 30): The Jungle Book - 60.8M (96M OS) | The Huntsman: Winter's War - 20.1M | Barbershop 3 - 10.8M | Zootopia - 6.6M | BvS - 5.5M

[BourneFan #1]

Exhibitor Relations‏@ERCboxoffice 6m6 minutes ago

If you're going to do a sequel to Snow White...make sure Snow White is in it next time. The more you know...

[kayumanggi]

lol That was actually BVS's lowest drop.

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, SoSaysI said:

 

Jungle Book still has South Korea and Japan releases left. 

 

Cool - I knew it had Japan, but to be honest I don't consider that a major territory for most US films anymore when talking about big grosses.

 

SK on the other hand should eat this film up but it will still require Europe to really get on board with "legs" in order to ensure the 1B mark.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

What are you talking about? lol

 

I'm talking about that people wouldn't see either Zoo or TJB hitting $1B WW....due to not feeling that Disney would try their best to push them there.

 

It's like you guys, don't want them to hit the billion-mark.

[La Binoche]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next weekend:

 

The Jungle Book: 36.5M

Keanu: 17M

Mothers Day: 9M

The Huntsman: 8.4M

Barbershop: 5.8M

Zootopia: 5M

Green Room: 4.4M

Ratchet and Clank: 4M

The Boss: 3.5M

Batman v Superman: 2.9M

Criminal: 1.8M

Everybody Wants Some: 1.5M

 

Depending how big Green Room and EWS expand, BVS might not even be in the Top 10.

 

17M for Keanu? What in the world? 

[WrathOfHan]

Green Room expanded decently but nothing amazing, should do well when it goes wide next weekend at least. Solid debuts for Compadres and Hologram considering the lack of marketing. Elvis and Nixon on the other hand  

[Mojoguy]

GREAT drop for The Jungle Book!

[narniadis]

Just now, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

I'm talking about that people wouldn't see either Zoo or TJB hitting $1B WW....due to not feeling that Disney would try their best to push them there.

 

It's like you guys, don't want them to hit the billion-mark.

 

Its not about wanting it one way or the either.... good grief I am one of the biggest Disney stans on this board (just look at my screenname!) but I also have been tracking the numbers long enough to know that while 1b is knocked down a lot every year its still a difficult milestone to reach as evidenced by the fact that 99% of films cannot get there every year!

 

I want both of them to hit 1B so that Disney can have 4 1B grossers this year - I just think it will be an uphill climb IF it happens.

[kayumanggi]

7 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

I'm talking about that people wouldn't see either Zoo or TJB hitting $1B WW....due to not feeling that Disney would try their best to push them there.

 

It's like you guys, don't want them to hit the billion-mark.

 

lol Can't people just be basing it on current numbers?

[MrFanaticGuy34]

3 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Its not about wanting it one way or the either.... good grief I am one of the biggest Disney stans on this board (just look at my screenname!) but I also have been tracking the numbers long enough to know that while 1b is knocked down a lot every year its still a difficult milestone to reach as evidenced by the fact that 99% of films cannot get there every year!

 

I want both of them to hit 1B so that Disney can have 4 1B grossers this year - I just think it will be an uphill climb IF it happens.

 

Narniadis, i get the point already.  

 

Just saying.

[SoSaysI]

6 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Its not about wanting it one way or the either.... good grief I am one of the biggest Disney stans on this board (just look at my screenname!) but I also have been tracking the numbers long enough to know that while 1b is knocked down a lot every year its still a difficult milestone to reach as evidenced by the fact that 99% of films cannot get there every year!

 

I want both of them to hit 1B so that Disney can have 4 1B grossers this year - I just think it will be an uphill climb IF it happens.

Disney would have a really good chance at having 5 1B grossers this year if Jungle Book and Zootopia both hit that mark with Civil War, Rogue one and Finding Dory still to come.

[a2k]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	1	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$60,803,000	-41.1%	4,028	-	$15,095	$191,477,426	$175	2
2	N	The Huntsman: Winter's War	Uni.	$20,080,000	-	3,791	-	$5,297	$20,080,000	$115	1
3	2	Barbershop: The Next Cut	WB	$10,830,000	-46.5%	2,676	+15	$4,047	$36,031,492	-	2
4	5	Zootopia	BV	$6,611,000	-18.8%	2,798	-411	$2,363	$316,435,606	-	8
5	3	The Boss	Uni.	$6,080,000	-38.9%	3,375	-120	$1,801	$49,508,205	$29	3
6	4	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	WB	$5,520,000	-38.9%	3,066	-439	$1,800	$319,501,603	$250	5
7	6	Criminal (2016)	LG/S	$3,100,000	-46.2%	2,683	-	$1,155	$10,864,486	-	2
8	7	My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2	Uni.	$2,100,000	-35.6%	1,749	-548	$1,201	$55,374,740	-	5
9	N	Compadres	PNT	$1,350,000	-	368	-	$3,668	$1,350,000	-	1
10	N	A Hologram for the King	RAtt.	$1,175,000	-	401	-	$2,930	$1,175,000	-	1

[Cynosure]

I think both Zootopia and TJB will finish slightly under $1B WW. At this point, I'd say the only locked $1B movies of the year are Civil War and Rogue One.

Edited April 24, 2016 by Cynosure

[kayumanggi]

BATMAN V SUPERMAN: $532.1M Overseas Total / $851.6M Global Total #BatmanVSuperman

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) April 24, 2016

[narniadis]

5 minutes ago, SoSaysI said:

Disney would have a really good chance at having 5 1B grossers this year if Jungle Book and Zootopia both hit that mark with Civil War, Rogue one and Finding Dory still to come.

 

Heh forgot about Rogue One lol.....

 

@MrFanaticGuy34 its all cool

 

[kayumanggi]

BATMAN V SUPERMAN scored $8.3M overseas this weekend, $532M total, $851M worldwide.

— Exhibitor Relations (@ERCboxoffice) April 24, 2016

[kayumanggi]

So maybe an 870 M - 880 M finish for BVS worldwide.

[Walt Disney]

I am more interested in domestic numbers than WW numbers. I am hoping that both Zootopia and The Jungle Book can reach $340M domestic.

Edited April 24, 2016 by Walt Disney

[a2k]

Zootopia is 3.07m behind BVS.

Last week Mon-Thu was 2.65 (BVS) vs 2.44 (Zootopia). But that was after a Sunday where BVS led 2.520 vs 2.139.

This Sunday Zootopia leads 1.752 vs 1.515. So this Mon-Thu should be even with both pulling nearly the same amount.

Next weekend the gap will reduce by 1-1.5m.

Another 1-1.5 the following week, including CW's ow weekend.

By then or the at the latest the weekend after CW, Zootopia will go ahead.

[mahnamahna]

41 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Predictions for next weekend:

 

The Jungle Book: 36.5M

Keanu: 17M

Mothers Day: 9M

The Huntsman: 8.4M

Barbershop: 5.8M

Zootopia: 5M

Green Room: 4.4M

Ratchet and Clank: 4M

The Boss: 3.5M

Batman v Superman: 2.9M

Criminal: 1.8M

Everybody Wants Some: 1.5M

 

Depending how big Green Room and EWS expand, BVS might not even be in the Top 10.

That drop for Jungle Book seems way too large. Zero competition, great WOM and everyone's last chance to catch it before Civil War lights up the box office.

 

$40-45 million is more likely since it'll drop 45-55% against CW. I don't see a near 50% drop next weekend.