Durden Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 9 minutes ago, moviesRus said: I don't see Apocalypse outgrossing DOFP domestically with such weak buzz and reviews. After seeing the reviews for Angry Birds/X-Men/Neighbors 2/Alice 2, I'm inclined to revise my May 2016 predicts Captain America - Civil War: $480 million X-Men - Apocalypse: $190 million Alice Through the Looking Glass: $165 million The Angry Birds Movie: $110 million Neighbors 2: $90 million The Nice Guys: $75 million Money Monster: $25 million The Darkness: $5 million Hopefully June, July and August have some films that finish between $190-299 million DOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, mahnamahna said: Angry Birds could break out. And X-Men should still do $220-260 million DOM. I do admit that Neighbors 2 and Alice 2 are wild-cards. Way too harsh for Wednesday. 35% drop? Wed - 10.4 Thurs - 9.8 Fri - 23 Sat - 35 Sun - 24 $82 million 2nd weekend ($308 million) 9.4 is -31.3% from 13.7 edit: -31.7% from 13.76 Edited May 11, 2016 by a2knet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
babz06 Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 1 minute ago, mahnamahna said: After seeing the reviews for Angry Birds/X-Men/Neighbors 2/Alice 2, I'm inclined to revise my May 2016 predicts Captain America - Civil War: $480 million X-Men - Apocalypse: $190 million Alice Through the Looking Glass: $165 million The Angry Birds Movie: $110 million Neighbors 2: $90 million The Nice Guys: $75 million Money Monster: $25 million The Darkness: $5 million Hopefully June, July and August have some films that finish between $190-299 million DOM. Too high on The Nice Guys and too low on Angry Birds. Reviews dont matter that much for kids films, and its going to be the only kids film until Finding Dory. (three weeks) Its going to make atleast Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs numbers. The Nice Guys will get lost in the summer, they should have given it a fall release date where reviews would have helped it alot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
department store basement Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: Hopefully June, July and August have some films that finish between $190-299 million DOM. I think Bourne is the most likely, with ID4-2 and Star Trek Beyond behind it. Suicide Squad is a huge wildcard at this point but I can see it making that much with good reviews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, Durden said: Even better for Cap. A 25-28% drop today would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, cookie said: Rouge One has a strong chance of passing BvS's total before the year ends even. It has two more days of December than TFA and even if it only does half the gross it could pass BvS by December 31st. Disney's DOM for 2016 should surpass $2.5 billion. Finding Dory: $330 million Rogue One: $315 million Captain America - Civil War: $300 million Moana: $245 million Doctor Strange: $155 million Alice Through the Looking Glass: $140 million Pete's Dragon: $100 million The BFG: $85 million The Jungle Book: $55 million The Light Between Oceans: $40 million The Queen of Katwe: $15 million Zootopia: $10 million Even with these fairly conservative numbers by 12/31/16, Disney would have $2.9 billion for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 (edited) 3 minutes ago, babz06 said: Too high on The Nice Guys and too low on Angry Birds. Reviews dont matter that much for kids films, and its going to be the only kids film until Finding Dory. (three weeks) Its going to make atleast Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs numbers. The Nice Guys will get lost in the summer, they should have given it a fall release date where reviews would have helped it alot. Both of his predictions are pretty much correct. Angry Birds isn't doing more than 120M with those reviews and 75M is a good target for Nice Guys. Edited May 11, 2016 by WrathOfHan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moviesRus Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 Just now, mahnamahna said: Disney's DOM for 2016 should surpass $2.5 billion. Rogue One: $315 million Captain America - Civil War: $300 million CW would have to completely die this weekend for that to happen. lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: He's talking about the remainder of its run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 With the actuals, Civil War's Tuesday is roughly 4.8% ahead of Ultron. If it keeps the same lead, the weekend gross would be about $81.5m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 (edited) 10 minutes ago, moviesRus said: CW would have to completely die this weekend for that to happen. lol. He actually listed the additional amount each movie will make for Disney from this point on. Which means he predicted 500M finish for CW. Edited May 11, 2016 by Sam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 CW projections based on Tuesday numbers... Wednesday: $11M (-19.8%) Thursday: $9.98M (-9.59%) OPENING WEEK TOTAL: $227M Friday: $24.9M (+149%) Saturday: $38.8M (+56%) Sunday: $26.4M (-31.9%) SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $90.1M (-49.7%) PROJECTED TEN-WEEK DOMESTIC: $525M (2.93x) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moviesRus Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 1 minute ago, Sam said: He actually listed the additional amount each movie will make for Disney from this point on. Which means he predicted 500M finish for CW. Gotcha lol. $500m is too much though. I guess it now has a better shot since Apocalypse got meh reviews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 1 minute ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: Even more laughable since it'll cross that in probably 3 weeks.. You didn't understood. He is saying that Cap3 will do 500M in total lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 12 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: Disney's DOM for 2016 should surpass $2.5 billion. Finding Dory: $330 million Rogue One: $315 million Captain America - Civil War: $300 million Moana: $245 million Doctor Strange: $155 million Alice Through the Looking Glass: $140 million Pete's Dragon: $100 million The BFG: $85 million The Jungle Book: $55 million The Light Between Oceans: $40 million The Queen of Katwe: $15 million Zootopia: $10 million Even with these fairly conservative numbers by 12/31/16, Disney would have $2.9 billion for the year. OK, I'm confused by these numbers lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said: Even more laughable since it'll cross that in probably 3 weeks.. Oh BKB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Sam said: Even better for Cap. A 25-28% drop today would be good. Iron Man 3 and Ultron dropped 28.1% and 28.3% on Wednesday respectively. Anything below 28% would further increase CW's lead. Edited May 11, 2016 by cookie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 Maybe someone should start a Disney 3B DOM club. What the above totals show is that while my gut is that Disney would fall just a little short, if they have even one more breakout hit from the ones not expected to be big (Alice, Doctor Strange, Moana, Pete's Dragon or BFG) then getting to 3B would actually be in reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMAbacus Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 (edited) Edit. Edited May 11, 2016 by LMAbacus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...