a2k Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 (edited) BVS $94,050 -7% $327,679,243 Edited May 13, 2016 by a2knet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Yikes, saw the Wed number. That was bad. Very small drop for Thursday though so good I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 14 minutes ago, Sam said: Yikes, saw the Wed number. That was bad. Very small drop for Thursday though so good I guess. 9.5% Thursday drop isn't really small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Baumer said: 9.5% Thursday drop isn't really small. I read the wrong number, thought it was 8.3 And then messed up my math It's doomed then lol. Edited May 13, 2016 by Sam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Not saying its doomed. Just that the drop isnt all that small Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 I was just joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 I'm not. It is doomed. After all, the video game event of the year came out today and will surely hurt numbers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 1 minute ago, MrPink said: I'm not. It is doomed. After all, the video game event of the year came out today and will surely hurt numbers. Annnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnd nobody cares. It will get crushed by the biggest gaming event of a lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 So what's the Thursday number? 8.1 or 8.3? 8.13 is in the title but 8.3 is in the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 Captain America: Civil War $8,100,000 -10% 4,226 $223,268,509 http://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart (For some reason, just an estimate for CW) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 IM3, AOU did 3.66-3.68x of Friday in the 2nd weekend. WS did 3.48x. Using 3.68x, CW needs a 20.4m Friday to do 75m over the weekend. So would need Friday jump of ~152%. AOU was +146.5%, IM3 & WS +159%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 MD is only down 32% from last week. A lot of people are severely overestimating how much it's going to drop this weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 $435-445 million DOM puts it Deadpool, Zootopia, BvS and Jungle Book by a considerable margin and is a 50%+ increase from Winter Soldier. Plus, Dory and Rogue One might not pass that figure, so it has a chance at #1 for 2016 DOM. However, I'm thinking Dory and/or Rogue One will finish at least slightly above CW. Either way, Disney's having a phenomenal year they' just might have 7 of the top 10 DOM spots for this year (Dory, Rogue One, Civil War, Moana, The Jungle Book, Zootopia, SW7's $284.7 million from 2016; Deadpool, BvS and Pets/SS/Fantastic Beasts taking the other 3 spots) 30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: MD is only down 32% from last week. A lot of people are severely overestimating how much it's going to drop this weekend. As the only film targeting women over 30 from now until August/September, it just might leg its way to $50-60 million DOM. Unlike Valentine's Day, Christmas or Halloween, there's nothing about Mother's Day that makes people immediately discard it after the day passes. Now, it'll just look like an appealing date night movie. $7-8 million sounds reasonable for its third weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 20 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: $435-445 million DOM puts it Deadpool, Zootopia, BvS and Jungle Book by a considerable margin and is a 50%+ increase from Winter Soldier. Plus, Dory and Rogue One might not pass that figure, so it has a chance at #1 for 2016 DOM. However, I'm thinking Dory and/or Rogue One will finish at least slightly above CW. Either way, Disney's having a phenomenal year they' just might have 7 of the top 10 DOM spots for this year (Dory, Rogue One, Civil War, Moana, The Jungle Book, Zootopia, SW7's $284.7 million from 2016; Deadpool, BvS and Pets/SS/Fantastic Beasts taking the other 3 spots) As the only film targeting women over 30 from now until August/September, it just might leg its way to $50-60 million DOM. Unlike Valentine's Day, Christmas or Halloween, there's nothing about Mother's Day that makes people immediately discard it after the day passes. Now, it'll just look like an appealing date night movie. $7-8 million sounds reasonable for its third weekend. 7-8M is way too high, it won't have that big Saturday and Sunday boost. It should at least do 4.5M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 1 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $8,160,569 -9% - 4,226 $1,931 $223,329,078 7 2 2 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $1,399,828 -1% -21% 4,144 $338 $293,996,110 28 3 3 Mother's Day ORF $514,878 -12% -32% 3,141 $164 $25,498,120 14 4 4 Keanu WB $300,184 -9% -28% 2,681 $112 $16,712,503 14 5 5 The Huntsman: Winter's War Uni. $261,015 -6% -39% 2,901 $90 $41,959,250 21 6 6 Zootopia BV $200,476 +4% -14% 2,077 $97 $329,014,439 70 7 7 Barbershop: The Next Cut WB $165,846 -6% -28% 1,734 $96 $49,680,702 28 8 8 The Boss Uni. $135,805 -17% -33% 1,933 $70 $59,961,700 35 9 9 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $94,050 -7% -37% 1,593 $59 $327,679,243 49 10 10 Ratchet & Clank Focus $85,636 -14% -37% 2,895 $30 $7,517,257 14 11 11 Green Room A24 $49,789 -17% -24% 470 $106 $2,296,595 28 12 12 Eye in the Sky BST $47,351 -16% -32% 419 $113 $17,525,402 63 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 49 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: $435-445 million DOM puts it Deadpool, Zootopia, BvS and Jungle Book by a considerable margin and is a 50%+ increase from Winter Soldier. Plus, Dory and Rogue One might not pass that figure, so it has a chance at #1 for 2016 DOM. However, I'm thinking Dory and/or Rogue One will finish at least slightly above CW. Either way, Disney's having a phenomenal year they' just might have 7 of the top 10 DOM spots for this year (Dory, Rogue One, Civil War, Moana, The Jungle Book, Zootopia, SW7's $284.7 million from 2016; Deadpool, BvS and Pets/SS/Fantastic Beasts taking the other 3 spots) As the only film targeting women over 30 from now until August/September, it just might leg its way to $50-60 million DOM. Unlike Valentine's Day, Christmas or Halloween, there's nothing about Mother's Day that makes people immediately discard it after the day passes. Now, it'll just look like an appealing date night movie. $7-8 million sounds reasonable for its third weekend. Don't forget Katwe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 I just made a quick spreadsheet comparing OW multiplier of CW, AoU, and IM3 after same days. Daily numbers seem to be in line with those comps and when looking at OW multiplier. OW Multiplier Day CW AoU CW/AoU IM3 CW/IM3 4 1.074199 1.0691613 100.5% 1.06470261 100.9% 5 1.151017 1.137822 101.2% 1.12951598 101.9% 6 1.201125 1.1870183 101.2% 1.1761002 102.1% 7 1.246679 1.2320495 101.2% 1.21979724 102.2% CW is slightly stronger, so far. Yeah it's early and this weekend could change the numbers drastically but so far so good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnboy3434 Posted May 13, 2016 Share Posted May 13, 2016 CW predictions based on Thursday numbers... Friday: $22.6M (+177%) Saturday: $37.1M (+64.3%) Sunday: $25.8M (-30.4%) SECOND WEEKEND TOTAL: $85.5M (-52.3%) Monday: $6.22M (-75.9%) Tuesday: $6.23M (+0.158%) Wednesday: $4.81M (-22.7%) Thursday: $4.16M (-13.6%) SECOND WEEK TOTAL: $107M (-52.1%) PROJECTED TEN-WEEK DOMESTIC GROSS: $533M (2.98x) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
