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BOT User Tracking 5/27-29 Alice 2, X-Men: Apocalypse *4-day*

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And we're now fully into the summer. Please keep your seatbelts fastened and your arms and legs inside the forum at all times, until the summer comes to a complete stop in mid-August.


Please provide your 5/20-22 Opening Weekend *4-day* predicts for, 

Alice 2

X-Men: Apocalypse


Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward.

Edited by Wrath
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Oh, right, Memorial Day. Get your white shoes ready.


Hmm, going to look up how I've done these mid-tier holidays in the past with regard to 3-day vs 4-day.


Edit - 4-day predicts, please. Obviously making 3-day predicts as well is fine, just please be sure to make 4-day predicts.

Edited by Wrath
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Deadline's predict on X-Men basically boiled down to "somewhere between 80-110M" which doesn't quite get it done as a predict so its excluded. We're pretty optimistic, coming in as the highest predict for both movies.


Also, as a reminder, our prediction numbers are now the median result, rather than the mean result, of everyone's picks and revised StnDev is the standard deviation of the predictions, including the other web-sites. Also, these are all 4-day predicts.


As usual, I totaled all predicts (22 for Alice 2, 23 for X-Men) and here are the results: 


Alice 2

Mean: 65.5M

Median: 65M

StnDev: 7.27M (revised StnDev: 7.02M)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 11.18%

High: 81.6M

Low: 48M


BO.com 61M 

Deadline 58M

MovieWeb 56.2M

ShowBuzzDaily 61.7M

Variety 60M


X-Men: Apocalypse

Mean: 88.8M

Median: 88M

StnDev: 10.92M (revised StnDev: 10.33)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 12.41%

High: 115M

Low: 65M


BO.com 82M 


MovieWeb 81.5M

ShowBuzzDaily 85.2M

Variety 81M

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