BOT User Tracking 5/27-29 Alice 2, X-Men: Apocalypse *4-day*

[Wrath]

And we're now fully into the summer. Please keep your seatbelts fastened and your arms and legs inside the forum at all times, until the summer comes to a complete stop in mid-August.

 

Please provide your 5/20-22 Opening Weekend *4-day* predicts for, 

Alice 2

X-Men: Apocalypse

 

Deadline this week will be Thursday afternoon (US Eastern time), whenever I get to it. Note that we will be using our median predict rather than our mean predict going forward.

Edited May 24, 2016 by Wrath

[WrathOfHan]

3/4 day

 

X-Men: 70/85

Alice: 57/65

[Ethan Hunt]

X-Men: 68/82

Alice: 59/68

 

[Wrath]

Oh, right, Memorial Day. Get your white shoes ready.

 

Hmm, going to look up how I've done these mid-tier holidays in the past with regard to 3-day vs 4-day.

 

Edit - 4-day predicts, please. Obviously making 3-day predicts as well is fine, just please be sure to make 4-day predicts.

Edited May 23, 2016 by Wrath

[Arlborn]

X-Men -  3/4 days:  77 / 94

Alice - 3/4 days:  62 / 75

Edited May 23, 2016 by Arlborn

[johnboy3434]

X-Men: Apocalypse - $74.3M

Alice Through the Looking Glass - $81.6M

 

Edited May 23, 2016 by johnboy3434

[Dbot1800]

X-Men - $87M

Alice - $56M

[babz06]

X-men-75/90m

Alice-48/60m

[Blankments]

X-Men: Apocalypse - 89.701M

Alice Through the Looking Glass - 63.662M

[dudalb]

I smell two big budget films that will underperform this weekend.

[Wrath]

I'd agree.

 

Hey, I grew up in Sacramento. Went to Rio Americano HS. Not there anymore, though.

[Eric Atreides]

X-Men: $74M/91M

Alice: $58M/68M

Edited May 24, 2016 by CoolEric258

[CJohn]

X-Men: Apocalypse - 80.5M

Alice Through the Looking Glass - 66.3M

[Belakor]

X-Men: $72m/85m

Alice: $51m/62m

Edited May 24, 2016 by Belakor

[DAJK]

$74/88M

Alice 2 - $55/67M

[PanaMovie]

X-Men - 78.4/94.5M

 

Alice 2 - 50.0/62.5M 

[cheesypoofs]

X-men 77m/92m

Alice 54m/62m

[Wrath]

Alice 2 - 55M

X-Men: Apocalypse - 86M

[SteveJaros]

X-Men .... $110m

 

Alice ......  $65m

[Wrath]

Deadline's predict on X-Men basically boiled down to "somewhere between 80-110M" which doesn't quite get it done as a predict so its excluded. We're pretty optimistic, coming in as the highest predict for both movies.

 

Also, as a reminder, our prediction numbers are now the median result, rather than the mean result, of everyone's picks and revised StnDev is the standard deviation of the predictions, including the other web-sites. Also, these are all 4-day predicts.

 

As usual, I totaled all predicts (22 for Alice 2, 23 for X-Men) and here are the results: 

 

Alice 2

Mean: 65.5M

Median: 65M

StnDev: 7.27M (revised StnDev: 7.02M)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 11.18%

High: 81.6M

Low: 48M

 

BO.com 61M 

Deadline 58M

MovieWeb 56.2M

ShowBuzzDaily 61.7M

Variety 60M

 

X-Men: Apocalypse

Mean: 88.8M

Median: 88M

StnDev: 10.92M (revised StnDev: 10.33)

Ratio (StnDev/Mean): 12.41%

High: 115M

Low: 65M

 

BO.com 82M 

Deadline 

MovieWeb 81.5M

ShowBuzzDaily 85.2M

Variety 81M