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CaptainJackSparrow

The Little Mermaid | Disney | May 26, 2023 | Queen Halle will rule the summer!

By CaptainJackSparrow, in Box Office Discussion

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PlatnumRoyce Box Office Gold

PlatnumRoyce

Posted
Posted
21 hours ago, ThePrinceIsOnFire said:

It would be interesting to have an updated breakdown from Deadline, since the 560 break-even point was based on a larger Dom to Int ratio... I guess with dom possibly failing to reach 300 M, the break-even should be closer to 575 M WW (taking into account all the big revenues that deadline expects it to generate from PVOD, disney+ home video etc)

Not really? I did some back of the envelope extrapolations and getting to 560M WW with a higher INT gross requires a pretty low average rental rate, 

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Speedorito Sleeper Hit

Speedorito

Posted
Posted
27 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Hocus Pocus 2 was only released like 10 months ago. The only Disney family release that has come out on D+ since then is Strange World.  

I don’t know how broad they mean by “Disney film”, but even if it means “Disney family release” Peter Pan and Wendy came out in April on Disney+.

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PlatnumRoyce Box Office Gold

PlatnumRoyce

Posted
Posted (edited)

For TLM context, sharing an old ESG post's graphs

 

IMAGE-6-Viewership-Per-Day.png?resize=77 

(Domestically - uses viewership per day to account for uneven  release date patterns)
and "viewership per fake view"

IMAGE-7-VPDAH.png?resize=766%2C536&ssl=1

Though in terms of "fake views" that means BP2 is at 3.2M fake views per day versus Thor 4's 3.15M fake views per day. 

Hocus pocus 2 isn't in the graph but it's at roughly 15.1 in graph 1 and 8.8 in graph 2. 

 

GOTG3 is at ~5.53 & 2.1 and Ant-Man 3 is at 2.55/1.2 (so defeating them isn't nearly as significant). OTOH 5 days versus 3 presumably deflates daily average. Peter Pan and Wendy would be at~1.59/1.75

Looking at this domestic graph, I suspect TLM is below Encanto and possibly Raya in fake views (otherwise they'd find a wonky definition to say it was the true record holder). On the other hand global growth probably means Raya isn't competitive. 

Edited by PlatnumRoyce
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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

Posted
Posted

For everything I’d heard about this movie, from the idiot trolls to the proclamations that it would “rule the summer” (for lack of a better example), this movie just kind of came and went, huh? Racked up a decent amount of money, a splashy (haha) debut on D+ and then poof.

 

I guess that’s the standard for most of these live-action remakes though. 

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WittyUsername Summer Tentpole

WittyUsername

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, DAJK said:

For everything I’d heard about this movie, from the idiot trolls to the proclamations that it would “rule the summer” (for lack of a better example), this movie just kind of came and went, huh? Racked up a decent amount of money, a splashy (haha) debut on D+ and then poof.

 

I guess that’s the standard for most of these live-action remakes though. 

I mean, yeah. These live action remakes are forgettable by their very nature. That’s why Alice 2 bombed, despite being a sequel to a billion dollar movie. No reason to ever think was gonna be different. 

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