Weekend Actuals (Page 96): Dory 73M | IDR 41M | CI 18.2M | Shallows 16.8M | Conjuring 7.7M | Jones 7.6M

[JohnnyGossamer]

Wait a minute, The Shallows is PG-13? How the fuck? A shark attack genre flick is PG-13? If only Renny Harlin had directed...

[John Marston]

What are some comparisons for ID4?

[TalismanRing]

Just now, Captain Craig said:

If it does $60m instead of $80m that puts the $475m challenge back in play and makes things interesting!

 

 

There are no Friday numbers yet except for the first East coast morning shows.  It's just another wacky Deadline projection.
 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, John Marston said:

What are some comparisons for ID4?

White House Down did 1.35M

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Wait a minute, The Shallows is PG-13? How the fuck? A shark attack genre flick is PG-13? If only Renny Harlin had directed...

I thought the premise of Hot Girl vs. Shark always had PG-13 written all over it.

[superweirdo87]

So, with 4M in previews, is 60M doable for ID:R for the OW?

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, superweirdo87 said:

So, with 4M in previews, is 60M doable for ID:R for the OW?

$55M is probably where it's at.

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

What are some comparisons for ID4?

 

2013-06-07

Purge

Friday

3.40

-

0

16.8

34.1

2015-07-31

Mission Impossible 5 - Rogue Nation

Friday

4.00

2800

0

20.3

55.5

2016-06-10

Conjuring 2

Friday

3.40

2700

16.4

40.4

2013-07-12

Pacific Rim

Friday

3.60

-

0

14.6

37.3

2012-06-08

Prometheus

Friday

3.60

1368

0

51.1

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, superweirdo87 said:

So, with 4M in previews, is 60M doable for ID:R for the OW?

It's possible but unlikely. MI5 did 4M at the same time but this doesn't have good WOM

[John Marston]

55m seems to be the opening. Could have been worse I guess but really should have been better 

[filmlover]

ID4 2 is on track for a $55M opening and a $150M total IMO. Honestly not that bad for a wildly untimely sequel that didn't have a fresh hook to it.

[JohnnyGossamer]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I thought the premise of Hot Girl vs. Shark always had PG-13 written all over it.

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, Nova said:

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL 

Yeah... 

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

55m seems to be the opening. Could have been worse I guess but really should have been better 

 

That is the absolute best case scenario and I don't see it happening.  MI5 had very good reviews and WOM, this does not.   And even then it had 15% more theaters for previews.

 

I think mid 40s is more realistic and I could see it even hitting 40.

 

 

[druv10]

15 minutes ago, Captain Craig said:

If it does $60m instead of $80m that puts the $475m challenge back in play and makes things interesting!

 

Its not doing only 60M weekend. With the Thursday number Dory had, it would need to stay flat on Friday to hit 60M. It follows TS3

23.925M(+37.5%)

30.15M(+25.8%)

25.0M (-16.8%)

79.1M

[baumer]

18 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

It could have been much worse. Maybe it's a horrible number when you thought it would be the biggest movie of the summer  

 

It's a horrible number regardless of what your expectations are. This is a 200 million dollar film and I don't think Fox was praying for a 150 million dollar gross.

[superweirdo87]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

ID4 2 is on track for a $55M opening and a $150M total IMO. Honestly not that bad for a wildly untimely sequel that didn't have a fresh hook to it.

 

Yeah. Though OS markets may be a big piece.

[Nova]

I still see Finding Dory hitting $80M. Deadline always pulls numbers out their ass. 

For ID:R I see about a $45M opening. 

The Shallows....I have no idea. Like am I comparing it to other horror films or how Blake Lively's last film opened because I mean that range is pretty wide open at the moment. Anywhere from $10M to $20M. 

[WrathOfHan]

Deadline is saying FSOJ's budget is 50M - not the 65M as originally reported

[baumer]

There was absolutely no need for Shallows to be R. I saw it last night and it was pretty bloody and the test is left up to your imagination.