mahnamahna Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 43 minutes ago, a2knet said: 8% drop today will give DORY 9.6m. But looking at MINIONS and IO, the Thu drop will be better than last week's Thu drop. That usually is the case for most movies, especially big openers, as even after the OW the first weekdays also have some front-loading. Last Thu DORY dropped -3.7%. That will give a Thu of 10m. So it should do a bit over 10m. I will go with 10.2m. Since $9.3-9.5 million ($330.9 million 14-day) sounds like the number based on previous posts, I'd say: $12.5 million $16 million $13 million $8.5 million 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 1, 2016 Author Share Posted July 1, 2016 I can buy a 44% drop, personally I need it to go over 45.0%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 4 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: Since $9.3-9.5 million ($330.9 million 14-day) sounds like the number based on previous posts, I'd say: $12.5 million $16 million $13 million $8.5 million I don't think Dory is going to hit $9m for Thursday. The drops are all going to be heavy. 3 big new openers and 7pm preview shows ate up a lot of prime showtimes that the previous films were getting earlier in the week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 I hope this means at least there were solid midnights for openers... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 1, 2016 Author Share Posted July 1, 2016 11 minutes ago, nilephelan said: I don't think Dory is going to hit $9m for Thursday. The drops are all going to be heavy. 3 big new openers and 7pm preview shows ate up a lot of prime showtimes that the previous films were getting earlier in the week. Wow! That's pretty stunning. Does this mean BFG is going to open much stronger than people thought? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 1, 2016 Author Share Posted July 1, 2016 Can you give us a range for Dory @Nilephelan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain H Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 I won't mind Dory falling like 15% if that means The BFG is breaking out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer said: Can you give us a range for Dory @Nilephelan? $0 - $8,999,999.00 is the best range I have. =) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 it will depend on the movie. Some will get hit harder than others The mon to wed drop was pretty bad for some close to flat for others with TF opening. But holds for the weekend should be less affected with a sunday evening bump 1 TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOONParamount (DreamWorks) 4,011 N/A $5,500,000(estimate)-- / $2,037$5,500,000 / 0 $37,725,329+585.9% / $9,405$43,225,329 / 1 $21,540,018-42.9% / $5,370$64,765,347 / 2 2 CARS 2Buena Vista 4,115 $6,958,490-59.2% / $1,691$73,093,997 / 4 $7,089,413+1.9% / $1,723$80,183,410 / 5 $5,540,193-21.9% / $1,346$85,723,603 / 6 $5,207,012-6% / $1,265$90,930,615 / 7 3 BAD TEACHERSony / Columbia 3,049 $4,008,884-52% / $1,315$35,611,990 / 4 $3,916,191-2.3% / $1,284$39,528,181 / 5 $2,979,609-23.9% / $977$42,507,790 / 6 $2,938,181-1.4% / $964$45,445,971 / 7 4 MR. POPPER'S PENGUINSFox 3,342 $1,362,476-48.7% / $408$40,655,817 / 11 $1,727,335+26.8% / $517$42,383,152 / 12 $1,340,791-22.4% / $401$43,723,943 / 13 $1,300,779-3% / $389$45,024,722 / 14 5 GREEN LANTERNWarner Bros. 3,514 $2,128,074-57.3% / $558$91,117,551 / 11 $2,092,450-1.7% / $548$93,210,001 / 12 $1,212,252-42.1% / $345$94,422,253 / 13 $1,266,031+4.4% / $360$95,688,284 / 14 6 SUPER 8Paramount 3,424 $1,518,809-54.8% / $444$96,633,133 / 18 $1,500,564-1.2% / $438$98,133,697 / 19 $1,192,725-20.5% / $348$99,326,422 / 20 $1,216,605+2% / $355$100,543,027 / 21 7 BRIDESMAIDSUniversal 1,590 $710,850-49.6% / $350$147,258,165 / 46 $812,400+14.3% / $400$148,070,565 / 47 $628,050-22.7% / $395$148,698,615 / 48 $675,750+7.6% / $425$149,374,365 / 49 8 X-MEN: FIRST CLASSFox 2,023 $858,965-55.2% / $326$133,754,373 / 25 $873,691+1.7% / $332$134,628,064 / 26 $525,562-39.8% / $260$135,153,626 / 27 $558,101+6.2% / $276$135,711,727 / 28 9 MIDNIGHT IN PARISSony Classics 951 $447,021-66.6% / $470$28,717,658 / 39 $531,316+18.9% / $559$29,248,974 / 40 $455,598-14.3% / $479$29,704,572 / 41 $495,500+8.8% / $521$30,200,072 / 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 1, 2016 Author Share Posted July 1, 2016 6 minutes ago, nilephelan said: $0 - $8,999,999.00 is the best range I have. =) Love ya man!! That's a terrific post....lol...post of the day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 (edited) There goes the chance of 500M Edited July 1, 2016 by Olive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 1, 2016 Author Share Posted July 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, Olive said: There goes the chance of 500M Right....lol....one day and the doom and gloom starts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JeepCSC Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 1 minute ago, Baumer said: Right....lol....one day and the doom and gloom starts? When it comes to Pixar, some people bring the doom and gloom before even one day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, Baumer said: Right....lol....one day and the doom and gloom starts? It wouldn't be BOT without some doom and gloom, and overreactions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 7 minutes ago, Olive said: There goes the chance of 500M it should make at least 65m Fri-thur and land at 395m. It will need to hold -35% average WoW for a few weeks to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 (edited) 39 minutes ago, nilephelan said: I don't think Dory is going to hit $9m for Thursday. The drops are all going to be heavy. 3 big new openers and 7pm preview shows ate up a lot of prime showtimes that the previous films were getting earlier in the week. BFG and Tarzan are actually doing well?? I'm fine with Dory 'only' doing $8 million-ish today if there's some good news for the other 3 releases. $4.5 million for Tarzan, $3.5 million for Purge 3 and $2.5-3 million for BFG would be refreshing after everything doing so poorly this summer. Edited July 1, 2016 by mahnamahna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Well, Dory's misfortune is good for my casino. Of course, if it fails to even get to $35.5m this weekend, I'm also fucked, but in a more surprising way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 Right now for my Derby Tournament my Dory prediction is the lower one (41M), hopefully it pays off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 2 minutes ago, mahnamahna said: BFG and Tarzan are actually doing well?? I'm fine with Dory 'only' doing $8 million-ish today if there's some good news for the other 3 releases. $4.5 million for Tarzan, $3.5 million for Purge 3 and $2.5-3 million for BFG would be refreshing after everything doing so poorly this summer. He didn't say the other films were doing well. He just said that because they're new releases they're going to be taking away show times and screens from the other films which would in effect cause bigger drops for the films already out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted July 1, 2016 Share Posted July 1, 2016 29 minutes ago, nilephelan said: $0 - $8,999,999.00 is the best range I have. =) Is there anyway you can give us some hints at some of the other films too....Im guessing if Dory dropped about 15%, the other drops were probably even worse than it, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
