Well, at least I won't Derby alone | Week 30

[AndyLL 15,401]

3 openers plus The Infiltrator which got missed last week.

 

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

[ChipDerby 4,827]

Ahh, damn, I knew you'd go that direction. I went with CI on the KJ Derby.

[e1828 512]

Percentage drop (or increase) not showing up for The Infiltrator. 

[TalismanRing 43,686]

4 minutes ago, e1828 said:

Percentage drop (or increase) not showing up for The Infiltrator. 

 

Probably because it wasn't in the Derby last week

[AndyLL 15,401]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Probably because it wasn't in the Derby last week

 

Correct

[POTUS 2020 8,354]

3 of the final four in the tourney are also in the top 4 for the month with 2 weekends to play.

the last weekend of July could be a battle for 2 titles

 

@TalismanRing	89.546	43	33	40	116
@Matrix4You	89.567	44	39	29	112
@Exxdee	85.976	22	36	46	104
No Prisoners	86.373	27	42	33	102
@JMorphin	86.423	29	45	24	98
@moviecriticguy	85.881	21	46	30	97
@Fanboy	86.893	32	19	45	96
@JohnnY	84.360	14	37	41	92
@Simionski	88.473	39	21	31	91

@AndyLL  is labor day weekend the last for summer season?

 

Im getting the hang of this importing exporting thing. ive avoided that and processing things my whole life

 

“I don't wanna sell anything, buy anything, or process anything as a career. I don't wanna sell anything bought or processed, or buy anything sold or processed, or process anything sold, bought, or processed, or repair anything sold, bought, or processed, you know, as a career, I don't wanna do that...right now I just wanna be with your daughter, sir.”

 

 

[POTUS 2020 8,354]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GsOSofpQdbjXwQmtjXQdxzFPa6CJZklsSH-FYBVJrXk/edit?usp=sharing

enter estimates next to andy only.  an entry elsewhere will induce a pop window warning you not to, proceeding will cause your computer to explode like Keanu's bus!

[ChipDerby 4,827]

Snuck in my predictions at like 11:45 last night. phew!

[Rolling Thunder 348]

1 hour ago, ChipMunky said:

Snuck in my predictions at like 11:45 last night. phew!

 

Meanwhile, I'm stuck with my preliminary KJ predictions thanks to the increasing technical difficulties they are experiencing.  As such, my effort for a prolific restorative rebound is limited to BOT.

[ChipDerby 4,827]

28 minutes ago, Rolling Thunder said:

 

Meanwhile, I'm stuck with my preliminary KJ predictions thanks to the increasing technical difficulties they are experiencing.  As such, my effort for a prolific restorative rebound is limited to BOT.

 

I'm stuck with nothing because I forgot to do mine on KJ earlier in the day. OOPS. Though that's not a big deal because the quarterly/yearly/etc charts have been broken for a long time, and Eagle couldn't fix it when I requested it over a year ago. :/

[POTUS 2020 8,354]

Deadline numbers. I put 2.2m for Purge which matches #12 Kabali

BOM and BO remain in the cellar for the 4th week in a row

 

							Tournament
1	Fanboy	89.84	25	Matrix4You	84.06		Matrix4You 1	84.06
2	Viceversa	89.81	26	Simionski	83.77		TalismanRing 4	89.12
3	TalismanRing	89.12	27	darkelf	83.62
4	Iraf	88.66	28	kayumanggi	83.00		Bozly 6	85.26
5	Rolling Thunder	87.97	29	AndyLL	82.97		No Prisoners 2	86.77
6	No Prisoners	86.77	30	heh	82.96
7	WrathOfHan	86.69	31	Wildbill	82.49
8	Exxdee	86.62	32	BoxOfficeMojo	82.45
9	Spaghetti	86.53	33	JMorphin	82.26
10	keysersoze123	86.52	34	AABATTERY	82.16
11	Bates	86.41	35	moviecriticguy	81.96
12	Arlborn	85.90	36	ChipMunky	81.35
13	Derby Average	85.68	37	nelmsey	81.34
14	PanaMovie	85.58	38	SquareWatcher	80.68
15	ShinyDave	85.57	39	Wonka	80.63
16	24Lost	85.36	40	BoxOffice.com	80.47
17	cannastop	85.33	41	Blanks McCoy	79.84
18	Bozly	85.26	42	8wombi7	79.66
19	boxofficeth	85.21	43	Boxx93	78.77
20	Olive	85.20	44	luxneji	78.26
21	JohnnY	85.08	45	bapi	77.93
22	CoolEric258	84.87	46	Lights Camera Action	76.02
23	Tower	84.68	47	RandomJC	73.96
24	Horror Wizard	84.19	48	e1828	71.49

l

using Rth's numbers

							Tournament
1	TalismanRing	90.81	25	ShinyDave	85.05		Matrix4You 1	84.71
2	Fanboy	90.40	26	Matrix4You	84.71		TalismanRing 4	90.81
3	Rolling Thunder	89.41	27	Wildbill	84.57
4	Iraf	89.27	28	darkelf	84.40		Bozly 6	86.77
5	Viceversa	89.24	29	kayumanggi	84.38		No Prisoners 2	88.46
6	No Prisoners	88.46	30	AndyLL	84.01
7	Bates	88.43	31	moviecriticguy	83.26
8	WrathOfHan	88.19	32	nelmsey	83.19
9	keysersoze123	88.19	33	AABATTERY	83.18
10	Spaghetti	87.76	34	heh	83.12
11	PanaMovie	87.71	35	Wonka	82.73
12	cannastop	87.43	36	BoxOfficeMojo	82.60
13	24Lost	87.10	37	JMorphin	82.57
14	Exxdee	86.84	38	SquareWatcher	81.80
15	Derby Average	86.82	39	BoxOffice.com	81.74
16	Bozly	86.77	40	ChipMunky	81.37
17	CoolEric258	86.64	41	8wombi7	80.99
18	JohnnY	86.60	42	bapi	79.96
19	boxofficeth	86.20	43	Blanks McCoy	79.30
20	Horror Wizard	86.16	44	luxneji	79.10
21	Arlborn	85.69	45	Boxx93	79.08
22	Simionski	85.63	46	Lights Camera Actn	77.54
23	Olive	85.61	47	RandomJC	72.95
24	Tower	85.15	48	e1828	72.84

[Fanboy 697]

Another excellent weekend for me. 

[keysersoze123 14,458]

i was way too pessimistic on holdovers. this was an easy week.

[POTUS 2020 8,354]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

i was way too pessimistic on holdovers. this was an easy week.

judging by the scores it wasn't an easy week. 20 players scored over 90% last week, may not be one this week. new releases were taking 12000 theater and 20000 screens for a take of $100m+. Hard decision to go tight on holdovers

Yore doing well for your first 3 weeks back

[POTUS 2020 8,354]

							Tournament
1	TalismanRing	90.29	25	AABATTERY	86.22		Matrix4You 1	86.37
2	Rolling Thunder	89.84	26	Arlborn	86.17		TalismanRing 4	90.29
3	Fanboy	89.53	27	ShinyDave	85.98
4	cannastop	89.18	28	JMorphin	85.55		Bozly 6	87.62
5	Viceversa	88.95	29	darkelf	85.48		No Prisoners 2	88.87
6	No Prisoners	88.87	30	moviecriticguy	85.43
7	Bates	88.66	31	Wildbill	85.19
8	WrathOfHan	88.61	32	kayumanggi	84.90
9	Spaghetti	88.54	33	heh	84.12
10	PanaMovie	88.29	34	ChipMunky	83.87
11	keysersoze123	88.00	35	AndyLL	83.85
12	Iraf	87.93	36	BoxOfficeMojo	83.79
13	Derby Average	87.80	37	nelmsey	83.50
14	JohnnY	87.67	38	8wombi7	83.17
15	Bozly	87.62	39	Wonka	83.14
16	CoolEric258	87.55	40	Blanks McCoy	83.00
17	Exxdee	87.41	41	SquareWatcher	82.99
18	24Lost	87.26	42	BoxOffice.com	82.76
19	boxofficeth	87.21	43	bapi	81.39
20	Horror Wizard	87.15	44	Boxx93	80.47
21	Tower	86.95	45	luxneji	79.83
22	Simionski	86.95	46	Lights Camera Action	78.57
23	Olive	86.55	47	RandomJC	77.41
24	Matrix4You	86.37	48	e1828	72.37

 

Derby average continues to do well

Its amazing how 1 movie can keep ya from winning a week way too often. I don't mean new releases, that's part guess work, but a holdover.

I picked a fine day to quit sniffing glue when I went with 3.1m on Mike and Dave.

@TalismanRing its you and me next week. im gonna load up on glue and meth. bring on walter white

[PanaMovie 998]

Finally a good week again

[Rolling Thunder 348]

Thought The Purge would hold well despite Lights Out opening, but oh well.  Guess there is horror overlap with PG-13 and R audiences.

[cannastop 16,914]

Holy fuck, top 5 for me. 

[ShinyDave 26]

Not a terrible first go for me.

 

I skewed above the prediction average on quite a few movies - including the highest guess on both Ghostbusters and Pets. (One of these went far better than the other!) I was also too high on Ice Age, but was only just above the prediction average there. I should have trusted my gut that Lights Out might break out, and if I had, would likely have been top 10.

 

I'm well up for next week now!

[cannastop 16,914]

Score based on studio estimates:

 

1	Rolling Thunder	89.84	21	Arlborn	85.91	41	BoxOffice.com	81.45
2	TalismanRing	89.22	22	Bozly	85.68	42	Wonka	81.31
3	Viceversa	89.2	23	boxofficeth	85.68	43	bapi	80.52
4	Fanboy	88.96	24	Olive	85.68	44	Boxx93	79.75
5	Iraf	88.31	25	JohnnY	85.61	45	luxneji	79.59
6	cannastop	87.69	26	CoolEric258	85.48	46	Lights Camera Action	76.88
7	Spaghetti	87.48	27	heh	84.99	47	RandomJC	75.88
8	ShinyDave	87.47	28	moviecriticguy	84.88	48	e1828	71.93
9	Tower	87.24	29	JMorphin	84.66
10	No Prisoners	87.01	30	AABATTERY	84.6
11	24Lost	87	31	darkelf	84.13
12	WrathOfHan	86.9	32	kayumanggi	83.62
13	Exxdee	86.82	33	ChipMunky	83.44
14	keysersoze123	86.77	34	Wildbill	83.25
15	Bates	86.69	35	BoxOfficeMojo	82.84
16	PanaMovie	86.35	36	8wombi7	82.55
17	Matrix4You	86.34	37	nelmsey	82.33
18	Simionski	86.32	38	AndyLL	82.04
19	Derby Average	86.13	39	SquareWatcher	81.81
20	Horror Wizard	85.96	40	Blanks McCoy	81.61